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Saga vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 78-81
20-15 22-18 20-21 16-27
Position#18
Record11-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
Position#10
Record16-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Kyoto
20 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAGA83
KYOT87
11 Apr 2026
SAGA90
KYOT89
29 Jan 2025
SAGA78
KYOT81
31 Mar 2024
SAGA81
KYOT66
30 Mar 2024
SAGA64
KYOT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 66
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 66
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
43avg 66
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 66
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
71avg 66
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
51-81
51
81
-30
42avg 66
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-54
82
54
+28
66avg 66
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-72
73
72
+1
69avg 66
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 66
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 66
H26/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
16-20
20-12
9-17
16-19
12-13
21-17
10-32
31-17
19-27
26-24
12-30
23-17
19-25
11-15
14-15
7-26
25-12
24-18
13-10
20-14
16-16
20-22
19-17
18-17
19-24
23-18
17-16
15-24
17-24
24-21
18-19
16-26
150.7Avg total
74.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.176.7150.8-2.634%
Season at home (15)74.480.5154.9-6.113%
Season away (17)73.873.4147.2+0.553%
Last 10 (10)74.276.5150.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.382.8151.1-14.50%
vs Similar (13)76.076.5152.5-0.531%
vs Weaker (7)82.170.3152.4+11.986%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 74
A21/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
96-80
96
80
+16
92avg 74
A22/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
53avg 74
A28/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
75avg 74
A29/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
78-75
78
75
+3
78avg 74
H04/01
B League
Osaka
#13
L
83-94
83
94
-11
79avg 74
H05/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 74
A11/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
84-68
84
68
+16
85avg 74
A12/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
75avg 74
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
57-71
57
71
-14
53avg 74
H26/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
37-15
16-29
27-19
21-24
26-16
25-18
24-22
18-21
20-27
20-27
13-18
19-24
22-32
20-17
19-17
17-21
19-14
24-18
18-22
23-24
21-22
16-25
23-23
24-17
22-22
29-17
17-20
17-12
17-15
28-22
22-19
15-20
17-22
21-8
22-25
10-16
14-21
13-20
20-14
163.9Avg total
81.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.280.3161.5+0.950%
Season at home (14)79.278.6157.8+0.650%
Season away (18)82.781.7164.4+1.150%
Last 10 (10)81.882.1163.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.279.8160.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.389.0165.3-12.70%
vs Similar (14)79.582.7162.2-3.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.878.5164.2+7.369%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
SagaKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/01
B League
78.4Avg total
38.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.277.3-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.478.9-1.927%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.975.6-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.578.4-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.242.176.3-7.910%-
vs Similar (13)40.037.277.2+2.846%-
vs Weaker (7)40.138.678.7+1.643%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A21/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A22/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A28/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A29/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/01
B League
Osaka
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H05/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A11/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A12/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H26/01
B League
79.7Avg total
39.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.082.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.140.178.2-2.033%-
Last 30 away (18)42.941.684.5+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.679.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.350.389.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.940.981.7+0.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.538.980.5+2.669%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
51.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.9
29.7%
33.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
72.7%13.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.4
52.3%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
72.7%14.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLLLLWW
Kyoto
LLWWLWLLWW
#18
League position
#10
-2.9
Net rating
-1.4
103.6
Offensive rating
109.8
106.5
Defensive rating
111.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.7%
3-point %
34.5%
63.0%
Assist %
68.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 109.8Defence106.5 · 111.2Shooting48.0% · 52.0%3-point %29.7% · 34.5%Ball care19.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
2
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas75-90
25/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas74-82
12/01/25AIbaraki Robots73-72
11/01/25AIbaraki Robots82-54
05/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex80-98
29/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-79
28/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles61-68
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HHiroshima D.57-71
25/01/25HHiroshima D.85-90 OT
12/01/25AHokkaido84-68
11/01/25AHokkaido92-76
05/01/25HOsaka83-94
04/01/25HOsaka78-75
29/12/24ARyukyu80-90
28/12/24ARyukyu71-93
22/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas96-80
21/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL34%
HomeLLLLL13%
AwayLWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %34%13%53%
Points / game74.174.473.8
Allowed / game76.780.573.4
Point differential-2.6-6.1+0.5
Avg total150.8154.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%13%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.279.282.7
Allowed / game80.378.681.7
Point differential+0.9+0.6+1.1
Avg total161.5157.8164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%21%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3127487%92.378.0+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex3226681%86.076.4+9.6
3 Ryukyu3224875%84.476.4+8.0
4 Gunma3223972%78.671.2+7.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa32221069%80.674.2+6.4
6 Alvark32221069%76.471.1+5.3
7 Chiba32211166%81.276.9+4.3
8 Shimane32201262%80.674.7+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%75.271.7+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins32171553%83.082.6+0.4
11 Kyoto32161650%81.280.3+0.9
12 Osaka32161650%82.381.7+0.6
13 Akita32161650%72.873.3-0.5
14 Hiroshima D.32151747%77.481.2-3.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%76.080.3-4.3
16 Nagasaki32131941%73.776.3-2.6
17 Yokohama32122038%76.280.4-4.2
18 Saga32112134%74.176.7-2.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas32112134%77.881.2-3.4
20 Hokkaido32112134%73.979.6-5.8
21 Brave Thunders32102231%75.984.6-8.7
22 Sendai3282425%73.781.8-8.1
23 Ibaraki Robots3272522%73.082.1-9.2
24 Shiga3132810%74.487.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2022201678
Kyoto1518212781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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