PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alvark vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 81-77
20-24 24-13 20-19 17-21
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.0
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
22 Apr 2026
ALVA92
NAGO71
30 Mar 2025
ALVA76
NAGO72
29 Mar 2025
ALVA64
NAGO70
23 Oct 2024
ALVA81
NAGO77
16 Apr 2023
ALVA83
NAGO65
15 Apr 2023
ALVA80
NAGO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 75
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
66avg 75
H10/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
73-69
73
69
+4
72avg 75
H11/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
57-58
57
58
-1
46avg 75
H13/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 75
H05/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 75
H06/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
89-80
89
80
+9
89avg 75
A12/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
79-68
79
68
+11
71avg 75
A13/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
66-59
66
59
+7
51avg 75
A19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 75
A20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
15-22
27-15
19-15
18-18
25-11
10-20
14-18
19-9
27-26
13-17
14-17
9-12
20-20
16-16
12-10
16-15
15-7
20-18
24-17
24-19
28-18
22-14
17-21
29-23
14-19
22-16
24-22
22-22
16-11
18-21
23-14
22-14
15-14
11-12
18-19
18-22
33-24
21-20
10-24
148.9Avg total
77.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.371.0151.3+9.383%
Season at home (2)83.064.5147.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)79.074.2153.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)77.771.2148.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)81.473.8155.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Similar (2)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.172.1152.2+8.077%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 68
H27/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-77
75
77
-2
69avg 68
H28/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 68
A04/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
80-59
80
59
+21
75avg 68
A05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
79-69
79
69
+10
78avg 68
H05/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-83
62
83
-21
56avg 68
H06/10
B League
Osaka
#13
L
67-96
67
96
-29
53avg 68
A12/10
B League
Osaka
#13
L
56-70
56
70
-14
46avg 68
A13/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 68
H19/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
70-54
70
54
+16
63avg 68
H20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-29
19-29
25-9
21-17
19-19
17-20
18-21
19-18
19-26
22-11
17-15
23-15
21-24
17-10
19-10
28-18
15-12
22-23
14-16
21-30
15-9
11-20
15-24
23-20
16-23
16-33
12-20
14-19
9-17
15-10
18-24
27-25
19-22
25-19
10-17
12-14
22-19
23-6
13-15
148.4Avg total
73.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.275.8145.0-6.733%
Season at home (4)73.072.2145.2+0.850%
Season away (2)61.583.0144.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)73.674.8148.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)67.277.2144.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)75.778.8154.5-3.140%
vs Weaker (14)82.969.9152.8+12.993%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
AlvarkNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H05/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A20/10
B League
76.1Avg total
40.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.376.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.432.974.2+8.581%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.079.9+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.276.1+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (2)38.538.076.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.734.976.6+6.877%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A04/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/10
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A12/10
B League
Osaka
#13
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A13/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H19/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H20/10
B League
78.4Avg total
38.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.378.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.439.779.1-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.536.978.5+4.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (15)38.740.579.2-1.733%-
vs Weaker (14)42.135.377.4+6.979%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.5
46.2%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.3
31.5%
33.4%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
72.7%17.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
51.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws13.810.6
76.8%
72.7%10.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWWWWWLWLW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLLLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#12
+9.8
Net rating
+0.0
107.0
Offensive rating
100.5
97.2
Defensive rating
100.5
46.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.5%
3-point %
32.2%
66.0%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 100.5Defence97.2 · 100.5Shooting46.5% · 49.8%3-point %31.5% · 32.2%Ball care15.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds34.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Alvark   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alvark wins
1
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ANeoPhoenix82-90
19/10/24ANeoPhoenix66-59
13/10/24AYokohama79-68
12/10/24AYokohama89-80
06/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas91-72
05/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas75-57
13/05/24HRyukyu57-58
11/05/24HRyukyu73-69
10/05/24HRyukyu80-81 OT
04/05/24AHokkaido85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HHokkaido70-54
19/10/24HHokkaido81-83
13/10/24AOsaka56-70
12/10/24AOsaka67-96
06/10/24HDiamond Dolphins62-83
05/10/24HDiamond Dolphins79-69
05/05/24AToyama80-59
04/05/24AToyama77-70
28/04/24HKyoto75-77
27/04/24HKyoto89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game80.383.079.0
Allowed / game71.064.574.2
Point differential+9.3+18.5+4.8
Avg total151.3147.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.273.061.5
Allowed / game75.872.283.0
Point differential-6.7+0.8-21.5
Avg total145.0145.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane65183%81.870.2+11.7
2 Chiba65183%82.572.3+10.2
3 Alvark65183%80.371.0+9.3
4 Ryukyu64267%89.575.8+13.7
5 Diamond Dolphins64267%85.075.2+9.8
6 Osaka64267%81.876.2+5.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%79.073.5+5.5
8 NeoPhoenix64267%80.877.5+3.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex64267%82.079.0+3.0
10 Nagasaki64267%71.068.2+2.8
11 Saga64267%73.070.2+2.8
12 Gunma63350%76.871.8+5.0
13 Akita63350%74.272.3+1.8
14 Kyoto63350%73.271.8+1.3
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya63350%69.569.0+0.5
16 Yokohama63350%77.579.8-2.3
17 Brave Thunders62433%77.784.3-6.7
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles62433%69.275.8-6.7
19 Ibaraki Robots62433%72.282.5-10.3
20 Hiroshima D.61517%67.780.0-12.3
21 Hokkaido61517%64.276.7-12.5
22 Shiga61517%78.091.2-13.2
23 Koshigaya Alphas61517%69.385.5-16.2
24 Sendai6060%71.778.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2024201781
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2413192177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.