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Alvark vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 76-72
14-17 11-25 22-15 29-15
Position#4
Record33-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.1
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record21-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.1
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
22 Apr 2026
ALVA92
NAGO71
30 Mar 2025
ALVA76
NAGO72
29 Mar 2025
ALVA64
NAGO70
23 Oct 2024
ALVA81
NAGO77
16 Apr 2023
ALVA83
NAGO65
15 Apr 2023
ALVA80
NAGO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 71
A09/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
71avg 71
H01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 71
H02/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
54avg 71
H05/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 71
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 71
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-70
73
70
+3
67avg 71
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
90avg 71
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 71
H29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-11
19-16
22-18
14-18
14-17
22-20
19-14
19-23
21-19
15-10
26-14
15-13
11-13
14-20
23-15
25-20
16-23
15-17
12-20
20-13
17-21
27-15
16-22
14-17
23-21
21-24
15-8
14-19
19-16
20-21
24-21
21-24
18-20
24-12
23-17
17-22
12-18
18-15
17-15
148.9Avg total
76.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)76.771.1147.8+5.672%
Season at home (22)74.770.9145.6+3.868%
Season away (24)78.571.2149.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)76.772.2148.9+4.580%
Last 5 (5)78.674.0152.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.571.5139.0-4.050%
vs Similar (15)73.472.5145.9+0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.970.9148.8+7.077%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 72
H09/02
B League
Shiga
#24
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 72
A01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 72
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 72
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 72
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 72
H19/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
81avg 72
A22/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 72
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
69avg 72
H26/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 72
A29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-20
27-13
22-14
13-15
21-18
30-23
23-25
13-15
21-17
23-28
18-21
21-14
15-13
20-25
29-21
20-25
23-16
17-15
20-12
28-17
19-17
19-13
18-18
15-33
26-14
18-22
25-23
18-24
20-21
14-19
18-17
20-21
18-13
23-20
12-28
22-17
18-12
15-18
15-17
155.6Avg total
80.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)77.880.1157.9-2.246%
Season at home (24)78.381.4159.7-3.138%
Season away (22)77.478.7156.0-1.355%
Last 10 (10)80.475.2155.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)76.276.8153.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.380.5160.8-0.254%
vs Similar (13)80.877.5158.3+3.254%
vs Weaker (4)80.578.8159.2+1.850%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
AlvarkNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A09/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
B League
71.5Avg total
34.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.972.2+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.136.771.9-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)37.435.172.5+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.771.5-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.273.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.533.068.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (15)34.538.172.7-3.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.433.872.2+4.654%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/02
B League
Shiga
#24
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H19/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/03
B League
75.8Avg total
39.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.682.7-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.478.1-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.075.8+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.878.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.141.882.9-0.854%-
vs Similar (13)40.141.381.4-1.238%-
vs Weaker (4)36.034.270.2+1.875%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.6
48.6%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.5
34.7%
33.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
72.7%12.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.6
51.6%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
72.7%13.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWWWWLWWWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLLLWWWLWW
#4
League position
#12
+6.0
Net rating
+6.5
105.5
Offensive rating
106.5
99.5
Defensive rating
100.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
32.9%
71.5%
Assist %
65.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 106.5Defence99.5 · 100.0Shooting49.8% · 50.8%3-point %34.7% · 32.9%Ball care15.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Alvark   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvark wins
3
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles64-70
26/03/25ADiamond Dolphins86-73
23/03/25AIbaraki Robots90-86 OT
22/03/25AIbaraki Robots73-70
19/03/25HYokohama80-71
12/03/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles68-80
05/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex63-61
02/03/25HKyoto81-66
01/03/25HKyoto83-81 OT
09/02/25ASendai79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AAlvark70-64
26/03/25HSeaHorses Mikawa73-82
23/03/25AAkita70-81
22/03/25AAkita84-92
19/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya84-65
12/03/25HAlvark80-68
05/03/25ADiamond Dolphins85-73
02/03/25AShiga75-81
01/03/25AShiga87-81
09/02/25HNagasaki96-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %72%68%75%
Points / game76.774.778.5
Allowed / game71.170.971.2
Point differential+5.6+3.8+7.2
Avg total147.8145.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%36%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)83% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %46%38%55%
Points / game77.878.377.4
Allowed / game80.181.478.7
Point differential-2.2-3.1-1.3
Avg total157.9159.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4639785%92.980.1+12.8
2 Utsunomiya Brex4638883%85.976.0+10.0
3 Ryukyu46331372%84.877.5+7.3
4 Alvark46331372%76.771.1+5.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa47321568%82.074.9+7.1
6 Chiba47321568%82.477.4+5.0
7 Gunma46311567%78.472.6+5.8
8 Shimane47301764%80.174.3+5.8
9 Diamond Dolphins46252154%81.580.9+0.6
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%74.471.9+2.5
11 Kyoto47252253%81.579.9+1.6
12 Osaka47232449%82.482.7-0.3
13 Akita47222547%74.074.9-0.9
14 Hiroshima D.47222547%79.482.6-3.1
15 Nagasaki46212546%76.277.8-1.7
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles46212546%77.880.1-2.2
17 Yokohama47212645%76.579.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido46172937%75.179.4-4.3
19 Koshigaya Alphas46153133%76.780.7-4.0
20 Saga47153232%75.378.8-3.6
21 Brave Thunders47143330%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4793819%72.981.1-8.2
23 Sendai4793819%73.583.7-10.2
24 Shiga4563913%76.790.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark1411222976
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1725151572
← all games of the day
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