Alvark vs Sun Rockers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 07:00

Final 98-84 (OT)

28-23 13-11 22-23 12-18 23-9

Position#2

Record12-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game71.3

Alvark 🏆

Sun Rockers

Position#8

Record4-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.7

Allowed / game83.9

NBLRound 10

Other2013-14

Meetings · Alvark v Sun Rockers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sun Rockers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

102-60

102

+42

A26/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-65

-2

A27/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

77-73

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

85-86

-1

A03/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

65-73

-8

H09/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

84-91

-7

H10/11

NBL

Hokkaido

76-62

+14

H16/11

NBL

Hokkaido

84-70

+14

H17/11

NBL

Chiba

66-57

A23/11

NBL

Chiba

83-69

+14

A24/11

NBL

24-22

25-12

20-10

33-16

17-23

12-15

21-5

13-22

24-15

21-22

13-15

19-21

19-23

24-19

24-32

18-12

18-16

14-17

15-20

18-20

21-22

20-23

18-24

25-22

15-16

18-11

19-20

24-15

23-17

16-27

25-16

20-10

15-17

27-9

7-22

17-9

23-12

22-19

18-15

20-23

149.1Avg total

78.5Scored

70.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.9	71.3	151.2	+8.6	67%
Season at home (8)	81.0	69.0	150.0	+12.0	75%
Season away (10)	79.0	73.1	152.1	+5.9	60%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	70.6	149.1	+7.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	69.8	148.4	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	80.8	86.8	167.5	-6.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	78.6	67.0	145.5	+11.6	81%

This opponent (Sun Rockers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sun Rockers Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

60-102

102

-42

H26/10

NBL

Alvark

65-63

H27/10

NBL

Chiba

82-67

+15

H02/11

NBL

Chiba

72-64

H03/11

NBL

Hokkaido

72-85

-13

A09/11

NBL

Hokkaido

81-98

-17

A10/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

63-91

-28

A16/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

86-97

-11

A17/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

73-91

-18

H22/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

54-82

-28

H23/11

NBL

22-24

12-25

10-20

16-33

23-17

15-12

5-21

22-13

23-19

18-23

21-10

20-15

9-20

17-13

29-18

17-13

14-13

19-21

16-25

23-26

19-27

15-28

16-21

31-22

21-19

15-21

11-28

16-23

17-21

30-26

22-29

12-36

18-18

20-20

23-17

19-24

9-14

15-26

11-18

154.8Avg total

70.8Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	71.7	83.9	155.6	-12.2	22%
Season at home (10)	70.0	79.9	149.9	-9.9	40%
Season away (8)	73.8	88.9	162.6	-15.1	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.8	84.0	154.8	-13.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	91.8	163.2	-20.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	69.4	83.2	152.6	-13.7	11%
vs Similar (8)	74.6	73.9	148.5	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (4)	76.0	72.2	148.2	+3.8	75%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkSun Rockers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	14.1	32.0	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.7	18.4	38.2	+1.3	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.2	20.2	38.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+3.0	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	25.4	43.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.7	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	15.5	37.5	+6.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	15.0	34.6	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	16.0	33.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.8	14.3	35.1	+6.4	89%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.4	14.5	33.9	+4.9	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	18.1	33.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.4	18.2	33.7	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	19.6	35.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.4	35.2	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.5	25%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

49-34

+15

A26/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

29-38

-9

A27/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

45-37

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

43-42

A03/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

32-33

-1

H09/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-45

-4

H10/11

NBL

Hokkaido

33-27

H16/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-44

-5

H17/11

NBL

Chiba

42-26

+16

A23/11

NBL

Chiba

45-31

+14

A24/11

NBL

75.5Avg total

39.8Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	31.7	70.3	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.8	30.1	65.9	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.5	32.8	73.3	+7.7	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	35.7	75.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.6	74.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	38.5	30.7	69.2	+7.8	81%	-

This opponent (Sun Rockers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sun RockersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

34-49

-15

H26/10

NBL

Alvark

38-29

H27/10

NBL

Chiba

41-42

-1

H02/11

NBL

Chiba

26-33

-7

H03/11

NBL

Hokkaido

33-34

-1

A09/11

NBL

Hokkaido

34-55

-21

A10/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

36-40

-4

A16/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

34-42

-8

A17/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

30-54

-24

H22/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

28-38

-10

H23/11

NBL

75.0Avg total

33.4Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	37.5	71.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	38.4	73.7	-3.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	36.4	69.9	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	41.6	75.0	-8.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	45.8	78.2	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	33.0	38.2	71.2	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.9	37.4	73.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	34.8	72.5	+3.0	75%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.5	24.2	42.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	19.2	35.9	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.5	38.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.7	11%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	16.8	35.2	+1.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.1	18.7	40.8	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.1	22.9	42.9	-2.8	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.9	78.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.1	37.3	79.4	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	34.9	73.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.2	73.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.2	48.2	89.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.7	79.0	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.2	39.1	75.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	44.8	83.4	-6.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	42.4	79.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	46.0	85.0	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.4	45.0	81.4	-8.6	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.8	36.5	75.2	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	37.5	75.8	+0.8	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Sun Rockers wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/13	Sun Rockers v Alvark	65-63
26/10/13	Sun Rockers v Alvark	60-102
08/04/12	Alvark v Sun Rockers	74-71
07/04/12	Alvark v Sun Rockers	64-56
18/03/12	Alvark v Sun Rockers	63-61
16/03/12	Alvark v Sun Rockers	86-69
28/01/12	Sun Rockers v Alvark	56-87
27/01/12	Sun Rockers v Alvark	62-59
13/11/11	Alvark v Sun Rockers	87-51
12/11/11	Alvark v Sun Rockers	52-65

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/13	A	Chiba	83-69
23/11/13	A	Chiba	66-57
17/11/13	H	Hokkaido	84-70
16/11/13	H	Hokkaido	76-62
10/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	84-91
09/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	65-73
03/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	85-86
02/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	77-73
27/10/13	A	Sun Rockers	63-65
26/10/13	A	Sun Rockers	102-60

Sun Rockerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	54-82
22/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	73-91
17/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	86-97
16/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	63-91
10/11/13	A	Hokkaido	81-98
09/11/13	A	Hokkaido	72-85
03/11/13	H	Chiba	72-64
02/11/13	H	Chiba	82-67
27/10/13	H	Alvark	65-63
26/10/13	H	Alvark	60-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	WLLWW	75%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	79.9	81.0	79.0
Allowed / game	71.3	69.0	73.1
Point differential	+8.6	+12.0	+5.9
Avg total	151.2	150.0	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	62%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sun Rockers

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	22%	40%	0%
Points / game	71.7	70.0	73.8
Allowed / game	83.9	79.9	88.9
Point differential	-12.2	-9.9	-15.1
Avg total	155.6	149.9	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	19	19	0	100%	87.7	71.6	+16.1
2	Brave Thunders	19	17	2	89%	87.1	74.7	+12.4
3	Trians	17	13	4	76%	86.4	74.9	+11.5
4	Alvark	18	12	6	67%	79.9	71.3	+8.6
5	Diamond Dolphins	19	11	8	58%	80.4	73.9	+6.5
6	Tochigi Brex	19	10	9	53%	80.2	78.7	+1.5
7	Hokkaido	18	8	10	44%	76.8	78.7	-1.9
8	Tsukuba	19	5	14	26%	69.3	82.4	-13.1
9	Chiba	18	4	14	22%	66.4	75.6	-9.1
10	Sun Rockers	18	4	14	22%	71.7	83.9	-12.2
11	Kobe	16	3	13	19%	73.1	82.8	-9.8
12	Kumamoto	18	3	15	17%	80.2	92.3	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Alvark	28	13	22	12	23	98
Sun Rockers	23	11	23	18	9	84

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Sun Rockers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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