Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 84-91

21-22 20-23 18-24 25-22

Position#2

Record8-5

FormWLWLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game71.8

Alvark

Brave Thunders 🏆

Position#1

Record11-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game75.3

NBLRound 7

Other2013-14

Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

84-96

-12

A06/10

NBL

Hokkaido

85-65

+20

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

55-73

-18

A13/10

NBL

Chiba

82-59

+23

H19/10

NBL

Chiba

73-41

+32

H20/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

102-60

102

+42

A26/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-65

-2

A27/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

77-73

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

85-86

-1

A03/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

65-73

-8

H09/11

NBL

10-29

23-19

24-24

27-24

18-7

21-14

21-21

25-23

15-28

14-11

13-20

13-14

18-13

15-15

24-11

25-20

17-10

25-5

21-14

10-12

24-22

25-12

20-10

33-16

17-23

12-15

21-5

13-22

24-15

21-22

13-15

19-21

19-23

24-19

24-32

18-12

18-16

14-17

15-20

18-20

146.2Avg total

77.1Scored

69.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.4	71.8	152.2	+8.5	62%
Season at home (5)	80.8	65.8	146.6	+15.0	80%
Season away (8)	80.1	75.6	155.8	+4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	69.1	146.2	+8.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	71.4	149.8	+7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	79.7	85.3	165.0	-5.7	33%
vs Weaker (27)	79.0	69.0	148.0	+10.0	70%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

96-84

+12

H06/10

NBL

Chiba

79-64

+15

A12/10

NBL

Chiba

79-65

+14

A13/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

84-77

H19/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

87-68

+19

H20/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

83-69

+14

A26/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

79-88

-9

A27/10

NBL

Hokkaido

89-83

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

86-77

H03/11

NBL

Alvark

73-65

A09/11

NBL

29-10

19-23

24-24

24-27

18-9

23-14

25-17

13-24

14-24

20-6

24-14

21-21

25-18

7-21

21-15

31-23

24-16

19-20

27-16

17-16

25-17

14-19

19-18

25-15

19-21

24-22

15-18

21-27

26-21

22-12

17-22

24-28

18-24

21-15

25-23

22-15

16-18

17-14

20-15

20-18

157.5Avg total

83.5Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	85.5	75.3	160.8	+10.2	85%
Season at home (6)	88.2	79.8	168.0	+8.3	83%
Season away (7)	83.1	71.4	154.6	+11.7	86%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	74.0	157.5	+9.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	76.4	158.4	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	69.9	74.7	144.6	-4.8	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	77.2	74.3	151.6	+2.9	67%
vs Weaker (10)	85.5	74.0	159.5	+11.5	90%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	12.8	31.7	+6.0	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.4	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.2	40.4	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	16.8	34.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	15.3	34.5	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	15.1	35.2	+5.1	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	14.9	34.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	19.0	15.1	34.1	+3.9	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.5	17.6	33.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	17.1	32.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	13.6	17.1	30.7	-3.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	14.4	17.8	32.2	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	60%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

33-48

-15

A06/10

NBL

Hokkaido

39-21

+18

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

29-39

-10

A13/10

NBL

Chiba

33-28

H19/10

NBL

Chiba

42-15

+27

H20/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

49-34

+15

A26/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

29-38

-9

A27/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

45-37

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

43-42

A03/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

32-33

-1

H09/11

NBL

70.9Avg total

37.4Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	31.9	70.6	+6.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.8	28.4	65.2	+8.4	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.0	34.2	74.2	+5.8	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	33.5	70.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.0	36.3	75.3	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	38.7	31.4	70.1	+7.3	81%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

48-33

+15

H06/10

NBL

Chiba

41-23

+18

A12/10

NBL

Chiba

34-30

A13/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

32-39

-7

H19/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

43-36

H20/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-36

A26/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

43-43

A27/10

NBL

Hokkaido

48-33

+15

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-39

H03/11

NBL

Alvark

33-32

A09/11

NBL

74.4Avg total

40.0Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	35.2	70.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	36.8	73.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.2	33.8	67.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	34.4	74.4	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.6	77.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.8	36.1	67.9	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.4	34.8	67.2	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.3	34.6	74.9	+5.7	70%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.2	17.2	36.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.7	24.3	43.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (27)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.7	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	17.9	37.6	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.1	18.8	35.9	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	18.3	41.0	+4.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.9	20.9	40.9	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.0	24.7	46.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.1	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	19.9	41.6	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.1	37.1	78.2	+4.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.6	75.3	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.6	73.4	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	40.7	49.0	89.7	-8.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	39.8	36.4	76.3	+3.4	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	39.1	79.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	37.8	79.2	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	39.6	83.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.8	38.0	74.8	-1.2	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.0	37.8	79.8	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Brave Thunders wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/13	Alvark v Brave Thunders	65-73
06/10/13	Brave Thunders v Alvark	96-84
05/10/13	Brave Thunders v Alvark	87-90
26/02/12	Alvark v Brave Thunders	79-67
25/02/12	Alvark v Brave Thunders	71-78 OT
11/12/11	Brave Thunders v Alvark	65-85
10/12/11	Brave Thunders v Alvark	71-75
22/10/11	Alvark v Brave Thunders	81-61
21/10/11	Alvark v Brave Thunders	81-61
27/02/11	Brave Thunders v Alvark	49-77

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/13	H	Brave Thunders	65-73
03/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	85-86
02/11/13	A	Tochigi Brex	77-73
27/10/13	A	Sun Rockers	63-65
26/10/13	A	Sun Rockers	102-60
20/10/13	H	Chiba	73-41
19/10/13	H	Chiba	82-59
13/10/13	A	Hokkaido	55-73
12/10/13	A	Hokkaido	85-65
06/10/13	A	Brave Thunders	84-96

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/13	A	Alvark	73-65
03/11/13	H	Hokkaido	86-77
02/11/13	H	Hokkaido	89-83
27/10/13	A	Tochigi Brex	79-88
26/10/13	A	Tochigi Brex	83-69
20/10/13	H	Sun Rockers	87-68
19/10/13	H	Sun Rockers	84-77
13/10/13	A	Chiba	79-65
12/10/13	A	Chiba	79-64
06/10/13	H	Alvark	96-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	62%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	62%	80%	50%
Points / game	80.4	80.8	80.1
Allowed / game	71.8	65.8	75.6
Point differential	+8.5	+15.0	+4.5
Avg total	152.2	146.6	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	WWWLW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	85%	83%	86%
Points / game	85.5	88.2	83.1
Allowed / game	75.3	79.8	71.4
Point differential	+10.2	+8.3	+11.7
Avg total	160.8	168.0	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	33%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	13	13	0	100%	84.9	70.4	+14.5
2	Brave Thunders	13	11	2	85%	85.5	75.3	+10.2
3	Trians	11	8	3	73%	86.4	76.6	+9.7
4	Alvark	13	8	5	62%	80.4	71.8	+8.5
5	Diamond Dolphins	13	8	5	62%	79.8	73.7	+6.2
6	Tochigi Brex	14	8	6	57%	78.2	75.8	+2.4
7	Hokkaido	14	6	8	43%	76.7	78.3	-1.6
8	Chiba	14	4	10	29%	65.7	74.3	-8.6
9	Sun Rockers	14	4	10	29%	72.4	82.1	-9.6
10	Kobe	12	3	9	25%	76.0	80.1	-4.1
11	Kumamoto	13	3	10	23%	79.0	90.5	-11.5
12	Tsukuba	14	3	11	21%	68.6	81.4	-12.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	21	20	18	25	84
Brave Thunders	22	23	24	22	91

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature