PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alvik vs Cross Over Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 100-68
Projected total 167.9
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
Alvik
Sweden
Vs
99%
■ ALVI 99%■ CROS 1%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Cross Over
Sweden
Position#14
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game93.7
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Alvik host Cross Over on 15 November 2026 in the Superettan, and the Pythia model names Alvik as the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win because of their 7-2 record, 93.3 points per game and only 75.1 allowed, placing them third in the league. Alvik have won all five of their most recent games, including a 104-78 away win over Sollentuna on 8 November, a 78-65 away win over Ockelbo on 1 November and a 86-65 home win over Malbas on 25 October, and they have a 4-2 home record with 93.5 points per game and 74.8 allowed. Cross Over, by contrast, are 0-9 with 70.2 points per game and 93.8 allowed, 0-3 on the road, and have lost every one of their last five games, most recently 75-86 to Huddinge on 7 November, 65-77 to Wetterbygden Stars on 4 November and 78-109 to Fryshuset Basket on 31 October. The model projects a 98-68 score, 166.7 total points, and gives Alvik a 99% chance to win, Cross Over only 1%. The game is expected to finish in regulation with a 0% overtime probability.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik win
99.4%fair 1.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cross Over win
0.6%fair 157.45
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 18:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 78
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 78
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 78
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 78
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 78
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 78
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 78
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 78
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 78
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (Cross Over) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cross OverSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOver
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
9avg 51
A19/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 51
A20/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 51
H26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 51
H04/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 51
A11/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
68-120
68
120
-52
50avg 51
H18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
78-109
78
109
-31
69avg 51
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H04/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H07/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
61-93
61
93
-32
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-27
13-25
18-27
13-24
18-19
13-30
16-17
20-16
19-22
12-28
24-28
16-21
18-18
20-21
13-25
15-21
17-23
21-17
18-22
18-24
19-25
18-34
13-37
20-31
20-25
26-26
12-27
14-18
23-16
12-21
16-22
24-17
19-26
7-22
25-21
17-25
17-31
12-15
15-22
163.0Avg total
69.3Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.393.7163.0-24.40%
Season at home (6)71.395.2166.5-23.80%
Season away (4)66.291.5157.8-25.20%
Last 10 (10)69.393.7163.0-24.40%
Last 5 (5)69.497.0166.4-27.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.393.7163.0-24.40%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5
Over 156.5
76.1%
Under 156.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
65.5%
Under 161.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
53.4%
Under 166.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alvik total 78
Over 78
98.7%
Under 78
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 82
Over 82
96.6%
Under 82
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 86
Over 86
92.3%
Under 86
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 75.5
Over 75.5
23.0%
Under 75.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 79.5
Over 79.5
12.7%
Under 79.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cross Over total 83.5
Over 83.5
6.2%
Under 83.5
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alvik -3
ALVI -3
99.1%
CROS +3
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
ALVI
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.
Spread Alvik 0
ALVI 0
99.4%
CROS 0
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
ALVI
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.
Spread Alvik +3
ALVI +3
99.6%
CROS -3
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
ALVI
No market prices yet.
CROS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -7.8-7.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -7.8-7.8
AlvikCross Over
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (Cross Over) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cross OverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A14/11
Superettan
81.9Avg total
36.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)36.945.081.9-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.343.281.5-4.833%-
Last 30 away (4)34.847.882.5-13.00%-
Last 10 (10)36.945.081.9-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.685.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.945.081.9-8.120%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cross Overtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cross Over: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.6
49.3%
50.0%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.94.3
24.0%
29.5%12.9
🏀 Free throws12.49.0
72.4%
65.7%9.0
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
Cross Over
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#14
+12.7
Net rating
-33.6
94.6
Offensive rating
71.1
81.8
Defensive rating
104.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
45.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
22.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.3%
3-point %
24.0%
65.0%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 71.1Defence81.8 · 104.7Shooting51.2% · 45.2%3-point %33.3% · 24.0%Ball care16.4% · 22.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Alvik   ■ Cross Over
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alvik wins
0
Cross Over wins
No previous meetings.
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
Cross Overlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAIK Basket61-93
07/11/26HHuddinge75-86
04/11/26HWetterbygden Stars65-77
31/10/26HFryshuset Basket78-109
18/10/26HIK Eos68-120
11/10/26ADjurgarden71-83
04/10/26HSollentuna67-85
26/09/26HOckelbo75-94
20/09/26ASollentuna60-90
19/09/26ANorrort73-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cross Over
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.371.366.2
Allowed / game93.795.291.5
Point differential-24.4-23.8-25.2
Avg total163.0166.5157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.