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Ockelbo vs Alvik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 65-78
13-20 18-26 20-20 14-12
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game84.0
Ockelbo
Sweden
Vs
19%
81%
■ OCKE 19%■ ALVI 81%
Pythia win probability
Projected 75-85
Projected total 160.7
Alvik 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game76.1
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ockelbo v Alvik
01 Nov 2026
OCKE65
ALVI78
25 Oct 2025
OCKE73
ALVI77
02 Nov 2024
OCKE78
ALVI62
06 Dec 2020
OCKE v ALVI
upcoming
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Ockelbo host Alvik in the Superettan. Pythia makes Alvik the favourite at 81% and projects 75-85, about 161 points in all. On the market's main spread (Ockelbo +12.5) Pythia gives Ockelbo 59% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Ockelbo are 3-4 this season (74.4 scored, 84.0 allowed a game), form WLLLW; Alvik are 5-2 this season (94.0 scored, 76.1 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winLost
19.0%fair 5.27
Best odds5.75
Implied17.3%
Edge+1.6pp
Alvik winWon
81.0%fair 1.23
Best odds1.13
Implied82.7%
Edge-1.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 66
H28/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 66
H10/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 66
A12/04
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
59-127
59
127
-68
41avg 66
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 66
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
64avg 66
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#7
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 66
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
64avg 66
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 66
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 66
H31/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
14-18
19-21
13-18
19-7
18-16
17-15
18-19
18-25
23-24
18-17
17-16
20-33
16-35
12-36
11-23
16-20
22-19
28-12
28-24
22-18
15-16
23-18
13-19
14-21
29-27
14-18
14-24
15-18
17-17
16-24
21-21
15-20
23-13
20-28
17-15
17-21
25-12
26-15
12-21
153.4Avg total
73.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.484.0158.4-9.643%
Season at home (3)74.775.0149.7-0.333%
Season away (4)74.290.8165.0-16.550%
Last 10 (10)73.280.2153.4-7.040%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.284.7158.9-10.622%
vs Similar (7)76.081.3157.3-5.329%
vs Weaker (5)74.865.8140.6+9.080%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
81-60
81
60
+21
75avg 77
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 77
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 77
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#11
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 77
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 77
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#6
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 77
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 77
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 77
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 77
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 77
H25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
18-21
16-11
19-13
20-18
18-22
21-28
24-19
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
168.0Avg total
90.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.076.1170.1+17.971%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (1)97.084.0181.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.477.6168.0+12.860%
Last 5 (5)87.474.6162.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)81.682.3163.9-0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.275.5167.7+16.780%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
61.8%
Under 155.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160.75 · main lineActual: Under 160.75
Over 160.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 160.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
37.8%
Under 165.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ockelbo total 70Actual: Ockelbo under 70
Over 70
70.2%
Under 70
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ockelbo total 74 · main lineActual: Ockelbo under 74
Over 74
54.7%
@ 1.72+4.7pp
Under 74
45.3%
@ 1.72-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
Ockelbo total 78Actual: Ockelbo under 78
Over 78
38.7%
Under 78
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alvik total 82.5Actual: Alvik under 82.5
Over 82.5
61.1%
@ 1.39-1.8pp
Under 82.5
38.9%
@ 2.36+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Alvik total 86.5 · main lineActual: Alvik under 86.5
Over 86.5
45.3%
@ 1.83-4.8pp
Under 86.5
54.7%
@ 1.88+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.74
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.70
Alvik total 90.5Actual: Alvik under 90.5
Over 90.5
30.2%
@ 2.44-5.8pp
Under 90.5
69.8%
@ 1.37+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Under
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ockelbo +9.5Actual: Alvik -9.5
OCKE +9.5
48.3%
@ 2.19+7.9pp
ALVI -9.5
51.7%
@ 1.48-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
1xBet
2.19
ALVI
1xBet
1.48
Spread Ockelbo +12.5 · main lineActual: Alvik -12.5
OCKE +12.5
59.1%
@ 1.85+8.0pp
ALVI -12.5
40.9%
@ 1.87-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.79
SBO
1.79
ALVI
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Spread Ockelbo +15.5Actual: Ockelbo +15.5
OCKE +15.5
69.0%
@ 1.44+7.6pp
ALVI -15.5
31.0%
@ 2.29-7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
1xBet
1.44
ALVI
1xBet
2.29

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
OckelboAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H10/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/10
Superettan
77.3Avg total
37.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.740%40%
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.175.4+1.147%33%
Last 30 away (15)37.742.380.0-4.533%47%
Last 10 (10)37.539.877.3-2.340%30%
Last 5 (5)38.436.675.0+1.860%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.141.779.7-3.633%50%
vs Similar (7)39.440.479.9-1.043%43%
vs Weaker (5)35.831.667.4+4.260%0%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#11
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
87.1Avg total
45.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)42.440.983.3+1.447%60%
Last 30 at home (18)45.840.886.7+5.061%78%
Last 30 away (12)37.241.178.2-3.925%33%
Last 10 (10)45.441.787.1+3.750%60%
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%40%
vs Similar (15)41.440.682.0+0.840%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.540.486.9+6.160%60%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Alvik win
OCKE win
no forecast
@ 3.80
ALVI win
no forecast
@ 1.30
1st half Spread Ockelbo +6.5 · main lineActual: Alvik -6.5
OCKE +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
ALVI -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Ockelbo 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Ockelbo under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Alvik 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Alvik over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: OCKE + total 80.5
OCKE & over
no forecast
@ 6.25
OCKE & under
no forecast
@ 6.25
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 34.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 34.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alvik (regulation)
OCKE
no forecast
@ 4.09
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
ALVI
no forecast
@ 1.34

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OCKE win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
ALVI win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OCKE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALVI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (OCKE:ALVI): OCKE wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Ockelbo +16.572.1%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+7.2ppWon
Ockelbo +17.574.9%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+6.6ppWon
Alvik under 91.573.2%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+6.2ppWon
Ockelbo over 69.571.2%1.35
1xBet
1.35		----+5.9ppLost
Alvik under 92.576.4%1.24
1xBet
1.24		----+5.8ppWon
Overtime: no96.4%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+3.9pp-
Alvik (regulation)78.9%1.10
1xBet
1.10		----+0.7ppWon
Alvik win81.0%1.11
Betano
1.13
WilliamHill
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
SBO
1.11		-1.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
50.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.25.2
21.5%
29.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws23.115.0
64.9%
65.5%15.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.8
52.0%
50.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
29.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.718.3
66.1%
65.5%18.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WLLLWWLLWL
Alvik
WWWLWLWLLW
#11
League position
#3
-7.7
Net rating
+13.6
79.3
Offensive rating
94.9
87.0
Defensive rating
81.3
44.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
21.5%
3-point %
33.0%
63.9%
Assist %
62.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.3 · 94.9Defence87.0 · 81.3Shooting44.5% · 51.0%3-point %21.5% · 33.0%Ball care18.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ockelbo wins
4
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
19/09/26Alvik v Ockelbo127-59
25/10/25Ockelbo v Alvik73-77
20/09/25Alvik v Ockelbo80-69
02/11/24Ockelbo v Alvik78-62
19/10/24Alvik v Ockelbo80-76
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HMalbas80-69
24/10/26HHuddinge75-76
10/10/26HNorrort69-80
04/10/26AIK Eos71-90
03/10/26AMalbas73-71
26/09/26ACross Over94-75
19/09/26AAlvik59-127
12/04/26ADjurgarden76-82
10/04/26HBlackeberg72-57
28/03/26HMalbas63-75
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
30/04/26AEskilstuna83-87
26/04/26HWetterbygden Stars81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game74.474.774.2
Allowed / game84.075.090.8
Point differential-9.6-0.3-16.5
Avg total158.4149.7165.0
Over 160.7543%0%75%
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game94.093.597.0
Allowed / game76.174.884.0
Point differential+17.9+18.7+13.0
Avg total170.1168.3181.0
Over 160.7557%50%100%
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket54180%85.474.0+11.4
2 Fryshuset Basket86275%90.681.5+9.1
3 Alvik75271%94.076.1+17.9
4 Wetterbygden Stars75271%88.082.1+5.9
5 Eskilstuna75271%92.388.0+4.3
6 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
7 IK Eos53260%93.473.6+19.8
8 Sollentuna84450%84.978.5+6.4
9 Trelleborg63350%81.882.8-1.0
10 Huddinge84450%76.181.6-5.5
11 Ockelbo73443%74.484.0-9.6
12 Djurgarden62433%76.287.5-11.3
13 Malbas9090%69.286.2-17.0
14 Cross Over7070%70.397.3-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo1318201465
Alvik2026201278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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