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Alvik vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-88
31-24 21-16 28-18 19-30
Position#7
Record10-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.5
Alvik 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.7
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvik v Eskilstuna
04 Oct 2026
ALVI90
ESKI63
06 May 2026
ALVI82
ESKI96
04 Mar 2026
ALVI99
ESKI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Aros Basket
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 74
A06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
99avg 74
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H13/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
58avg 74
A20/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
95-84
95
84
+11
84avg 74
H10/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A17/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 74
H25/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
61-99
61
99
-38
49avg 74
A31/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 74
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 74
H18/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-22
26-10
24-30
17-26
22-18
27-16
17-23
31-17
18-20
14-15
16-22
23-25
15-22
16-15
19-19
26-18
22-21
19-25
28-20
11-23
23-16
21-16
18-21
27-17
16-23
21-21
27-20
22-22
10-25
16-20
13-32
15-25
22-31
21-17
15-13
25-17
15-27
28-24
22-24
166.5Avg total
81.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.581.5160.0-3.150%
Season at home (10)80.281.7161.9-1.550%
Season away (10)76.781.4158.1-4.750%
Last 10 (10)81.984.6166.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)77.686.8164.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.883.8157.5-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.386.4164.7-8.131%
vs Weaker (10)89.176.3165.4+12.880%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 75
A06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
73avg 75
A07/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
78avg 75
H14/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A17/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 75
H24/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
67avg 75
A31/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
101-102
101
102
-1
96avg 75
A07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 75
H14/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
61-95
61
95
-34
52avg 75
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
54avg 75
A01/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
28-22
22-22
23-16
21-29
12-26
32-18
18-18
18-19
34-15
16-20
19-21
17-14
23-16
10-24
35-19
20-19
13-16
28-29
22-33
22-24
17-21
22-13
15-25
31-35
20-19
29-32
21-16
31-19
24-17
20-25
15-15
19-18
10-24
20-32
12-21
26-23
23-14
19-25
21-27
173.5Avg total
85.3Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.286.7171.9-1.545%
Season at home (10)82.085.1167.1-3.150%
Season away (10)88.388.3176.6+0.040%
Last 10 (10)85.388.2173.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)84.292.0176.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.688.7172.3-5.129%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.181.7166.8+3.462%
vs Weaker (3)86.380.7167.0+5.767%
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
AlvikEskilstuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aros Basket
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A31/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/02
Superettan
83.0Avg total
39.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.484.7-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.242.986.1+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)41.241.983.1-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.383.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.282.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.050.585.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.242.883.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (10)48.438.687.0+9.880%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A07/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H14/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H14/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H21/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A01/03
Superettan
84.6Avg total
43.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.182.8+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.780.7+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.342.584.9-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.684.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.943.183.9-2.243%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.838.780.5+3.146%-
vs Weaker (3)45.342.387.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.4
50.0%
50.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.3
25.3%
30.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws27.718.6
67.1%
67.0%18.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.7
52.5%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.4
29.4%
30.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.7
70.0%
67.0%14.7
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
LLLWLWLWWW
Eskilstuna
LLWLLLWWLW
#7
League position
#8
-8.9
Net rating
-5.2
91.2
Offensive rating
94.6
100.1
Defensive rating
99.8
44.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.3%
3-point %
29.4%
60.3%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 94.6Defence100.1 · 99.8Shooting44.8% · 48.7%3-point %25.3% · 29.4%Ball care17.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds35.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alvik   ■ Eskilstuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alvik wins
0
Eskilstuna wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Eskilstuna v Alvik70-75
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HHuddinge90-92
15/02/26HMalbas73-86
31/01/26ATrelleborg61-99
25/01/26HTrelleborg91-81
17/01/26AFryshuset Basket73-76
10/01/26HSollentuna95-84
20/12/25AWetterbygden Stars73-81
13/12/25HAIK Basket79-74
10/12/25AHuddinge97-93 OT
06/12/25AAros Basket87-80
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ADjurgarden93-104 OT
21/02/26HDjurgarden61-95
14/02/26HTrelleborg90-76
07/02/26ATrelleborg101-102
31/01/26AOckelbo76-83
24/01/26HHuddinge83-97
17/01/26AWetterbygden Stars85-73
14/12/25HSollentuna87-75
07/12/25AMalbas83-91
06/12/25AIK Eos94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.580.276.7
Allowed / game81.581.781.4
Point differential-3.1-1.5-4.7
Avg total160.0161.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Eskilstuna
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game85.282.088.3
Allowed / game86.785.188.3
Point differential-1.6-3.1+0.0
Avg total171.8167.1176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2117481%88.181.0+7.2
2 Malbas2116576%88.376.2+12.0
3 Wetterbygden Stars2114767%79.278.6+0.6
4 Djurgarden2113862%84.178.0+6.2
5 Huddinge2213959%88.086.5+1.5
6 Sollentuna20101050%79.277.7+1.5
7 Alvik20101050%78.581.5-3.1
8 IK Eos2091145%82.881.2+1.6
9 Eskilstuna2091145%85.286.7-1.6
10 Trelleborg2191243%82.584.0-1.5
11 AIK Basket2081240%79.879.2+0.6
12 Ockelbo2181338%76.680.0-3.4
13 Aros Basket2061430%80.885.0-4.2
14 Blackeberg2231914%75.592.6-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik3121281999
Eskilstuna2416183088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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