PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aros Basket vs Alvik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-87
18-20 22-17 10-26 30-24
Position#13
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Alvik 🏆
Sweden
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.5
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aros Basket v Alvik
06 Dec 2025
AROS80
ALVI87
09 Nov 2024
AROS71
ALVI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 72
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
64avg 72
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 72
A11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 72
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 72
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
92-60
92
60
+32
90avg 72
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
49avg 72
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 72
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 72
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 72
H29/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
12-13
19-26
26-15
13-26
26-34
16-24
14-23
17-27
20-15
18-20
15-21
17-18
17-20
21-21
18-21
12-29
22-18
20-27
19-22
15-18
32-16
23-9
22-17
14-30
6-12
21-11
23-21
21-23
20-23
15-17
21-22
29-28
27-16
20-24
23-18
12-26
34-26
16-26
29-18
161.7Avg total
78.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.483.3161.7-4.930%
Season at home (3)82.376.7159.0+5.733%
Season away (7)76.786.1162.9-9.429%
Last 10 (10)78.483.3161.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)84.680.2164.8+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.685.9163.5-8.327%
vs Similar (11)78.576.6155.2+1.955%
vs Weaker (8)84.684.1168.8+0.562%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 76
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
72avg 76
H28/09
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
107-70
107
70
+37
114avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
64-91
64
91
-27
60avg 76
H19/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
81avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
54-79
54
79
-25
51avg 76
A01/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
70avg 76
A09/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
H12/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
63-93
63
93
-30
52avg 76
A22/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 76
H26/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-15
29-20
13-15
14-33
23-29
25-15
16-13
31-21
19-14
28-15
29-20
24-19
14-24
13-26
13-22
24-15
19-21
13-20
21-17
13-19
19-18
5-30
17-12
21-14
23-18
18-22
13-16
23-16
27-19
8-21
23-11
16-20
16-20
9-24
22-29
15-23
17-22
18-26
21-12
153.5Avg total
75.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.078.5153.5-3.550%
Season at home (5)74.880.0154.8-5.240%
Season away (5)75.277.0152.2-1.860%
Last 10 (10)75.078.5153.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)68.878.4147.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
vs Similar (13)75.686.5162.2-10.915%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.576.0166.5+14.586%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Aros BasketAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
20-42
20
42
-22
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/11
Superettan
81.5Avg total
38.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.6-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.240.882.0+0.436%-
Last 30 away (19)39.243.883.0-4.632%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.081.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.745.384.0-6.59%-
vs Similar (11)36.540.576.9-4.045%-
vs Weaker (8)46.442.288.6+4.150%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H28/09
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A01/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H12/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H26/11
Superettan
79.5Avg total
39.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.584.5+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.143.785.8-1.625%-
Last 30 away (14)44.139.083.1+5.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.979.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.749.083.7-14.30%-
vs Similar (13)39.943.483.3-3.515%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.738.185.9+9.679%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.4
51.6%
50.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
67.0%15.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.9
50.8%
50.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
30.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.114.1
66.8%
67.0%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
LWLLWLLLLW
Alvik
LLWWLWLWLW
#13
League position
#7
-6.7
Net rating
-5.1
94.6
Offensive rating
92.5
101.3
Defensive rating
97.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
23.7%
Turnover %
25.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.7%
3-point %
30.4%
65.6%
Assist %
70.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 92.5Defence101.3 · 97.6Shooting48.3% · 48.4%3-point %28.7% · 30.4%Ball care23.7% · 25.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Aros Basket   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aros Basket wins
0
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Alvik v Aros Basket92-97 OT
09/11/24Aros Basket v Alvik71-70
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HFryshuset Basket91-96
22/11/25ABlackeberg99-86
15/11/25AEskilstuna77-85
02/11/25HWetterbygden Stars64-74
31/10/25HOckelbo92-60
26/10/25AIK Eos73-96
25/10/25AMalbas73-80
11/10/25ASollentuna70-83
05/10/25AFryshuset Basket69-107
27/09/25AWetterbygden Stars76-66
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HDjurgarden71-83
22/11/25AAIK Basket63-93
12/11/25HBlackeberg81-67
09/11/25AEskilstuna75-70
01/11/25ASollentuna54-79
25/10/25AOckelbo77-73
19/10/25HIK Eos64-91
04/10/25ABlackeberg107-70
28/09/25HFryshuset Basket78-90
20/09/25HOckelbo80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%33%29%
Points / game78.482.376.7
Allowed / game83.376.786.1
Point differential-4.9+5.7-9.4
Avg total161.7159.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game75.074.875.2
Allowed / game78.580.077.0
Point differential-3.5-5.2-1.8
Avg total153.5154.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket1211192%89.578.1+11.4
2 Wetterbygden Stars107370%79.078.2+0.8
3 Sollentuna106460%77.972.6+5.3
4 Malbas84450%83.078.9+4.1
5 Djurgarden105550%82.178.6+3.5
6 Eskilstuna105550%85.085.2-0.2
7 Huddinge105550%83.385.7-2.4
8 Alvik105550%75.078.5-3.5
9 IK Eos115645%79.977.2+2.7
10 Trelleborg115645%80.382.1-1.8
11 Ockelbo94544%77.079.8-2.8
12 AIK Basket83538%76.977.5-0.6
13 Aros Basket103730%78.483.3-4.9
14 Blackeberg91811%74.189.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket1822103080
Alvik2017262487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.