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Alvik vs Sollentuna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#8
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.3
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvik v Sollentuna
06 Mar 2027
ALVI v SOLL
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
ALVI95
SOLL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sollentuna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 81
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 81
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 81
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 81
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 81
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 81
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 81
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 81
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 81
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SollentunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSollentuna
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
82avg 76
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
79avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
67-93
67
93
-26
44avg 76
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 76
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 76
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
74avg 76
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
81-61
81
61
+20
74avg 76
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A01/11
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
78-104
78
104
-26
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
16-20
31-17
18-19
21-16
18-18
21-20
25-13
10-18
23-19
19-34
15-22
24-21
20-32
23-19
18-15
22-25
26-23
21-23
22-23
21-23
19-5
22-11
20-24
20-19
26-20
18-6
17-16
13-15
29-29
30-22
28-18
23-29
20-21
18-19
17-35
14-20
17-14
20-16
19-17
166.0Avg total
83.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.380.3164.5+4.055%
Season at home (6)82.779.2161.8+3.550%
Season away (5)86.281.6167.8+4.660%
Last 10 (10)83.782.3166.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.275.8158.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.993.4175.3-11.614%
vs Similar (14)82.184.5166.6-2.443%
vs Weaker (9)85.474.9160.3+10.667%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
AlvikSollentuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (Sollentuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SollentunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H14/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A28/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/11
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H08/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/11
Superettan
81.6Avg total
40.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.942.082.9-1.139%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.541.581.9-1.038%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.583.8-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.581.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.548.088.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (13)40.143.383.4-3.238%-
vs Weaker (9)42.336.278.6+6.156%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sollentunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sollentuna: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.1
26.6%
29.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.717.1
66.5%
65.7%17.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
Sollentuna
WLWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+12.7
Net rating
+3.6
94.6
Offensive rating
86.4
81.8
Defensive rating
82.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
46.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.3%
3-point %
26.6%
65.0%
Assist %
58.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 86.4Defence81.8 · 82.7Shooting51.2% · 46.2%3-point %33.3% · 26.6%Ball care16.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Alvik   ■ Sollentuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alvik wins
1
Sollentuna wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Sollentuna v Alvik78-104
10/01/26Alvik v Sollentuna95-84
01/11/25Sollentuna v Alvik79-54
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
Sollentunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWetterbygden Stars70-67
08/11/26HAlvik78-104
01/11/26ADjurgarden100-84
28/10/26AHuddinge81-61
25/10/26HTrelleborg82-63
18/10/26HEskilstuna91-94
14/10/26HFryshuset Basket85-87
10/10/26ATrelleborg67-93
04/10/26ACross Over85-67
03/10/26AWetterbygden Stars98-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sollentuna
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game84.382.786.2
Allowed / game80.379.281.6
Point differential+4.0+3.5+4.6
Avg total164.5161.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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