Amsterdam vs Den Helder Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 19:00

Postponed

Position#9

Record4-19

FormWLLWL

Points / game70.3

Allowed / game83.3

Amsterdam

Den Helder

Position#7

Record7-16

FormWLLWL

Points / game70.1

Allowed / game80.0

DBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Amsterdam v Den Helder

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Den Helder win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zwolle

66-79

-13

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

103-79

103

+24

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

72-83

-11

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

67-90

-23

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

73-77

-4

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

84-68

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

71-102

102

-31

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

75-81

-6

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

76-75

H29/02

DBL

Leiden

84-95

-11

H11/03

DBL

16-21

15-16

16-18

19-24

23-16

18-19

25-25

37-19

17-14

17-30

20-28

18-11

13-24

16-21

20-29

18-16

19-22

13-17

18-18

23-20

21-14

24-15

20-21

19-18

19-26

17-28

21-29

14-19

13-17

21-17

21-24

20-23

14-24

21-18

19-23

22-10

22-24

16-32

23-24

23-15

160.0Avg total

77.1Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	70.3	83.3	153.5	-13.0	17%
Season at home (12)	75.6	83.8	159.4	-8.2	33%
Season away (11)	64.5	82.6	147.1	-18.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	82.9	160.0	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	84.2	162.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	69.1	91.3	160.4	-22.3	5%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	71.6	74.3	145.9	-2.6	36%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Den Helder Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

79-103

103

-24

A04/01

DBL

LWD Basket

67-78

-11

A11/01

DBL

Den Bosch

66-79

-13

H18/01

DBL

Amsterdam

77-73

H01/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

65-109

109

-44

A09/02

DBL

LWD Basket

76-51

+25

H15/02

DBL

Den Bosch

63-90

-27

A27/02

DBL

Feyenoord

76-91

-15

A01/03

DBL

Leiden

91-75

+16

H05/03

DBL

BAL Weert

73-76

-3

A07/03

DBL

16-23

19-18

25-25

19-37

11-21

18-21

19-13

19-23

19-24

16-12

18-25

13-18

22-19

17-13

18-18

20-23

12-25

23-20

11-33

19-31

26-17

20-17

10-9

20-8

13-24

17-26

19-23

14-17

24-22

9-23

18-20

25-26

16-20

26-18

23-19

26-18

13-15

20-17

15-25

25-19

155.8Avg total

73.3Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	70.1	80.0	150.1	-9.8	30%
Season at home (11)	69.8	69.7	139.5	+0.1	55%
Season away (12)	70.4	89.3	159.8	-18.9	8%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	82.5	155.8	-9.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	76.6	152.4	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	68.8	89.6	158.4	-20.7	6%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	72.8	66.7	139.5	+6.1	73%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	78.0	161.0	+5.0	100%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamDen Helder

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	22.6	38.2	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.9	22.5	39.5	-5.6	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	19.2	36.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	21.2	37.3	-5.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	22.4	39.6	-5.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.5	24.2	41.6	-6.7	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	23.3	40.1	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zwolle

31-37

-6

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

41-35

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

34-44

-10

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

29-45

-16

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

32-39

-7

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

45-29

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

36-54

-18

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

34-34

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

35-42

-7

H29/02

DBL

Leiden

38-56

-18

H11/03

DBL

77.0Avg total

35.5Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.3	43.9	79.2	-8.6	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	42.9	80.5	-5.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	44.9	77.9	-12.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	41.5	77.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.4	46.7	81.1	-12.3	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Den Helder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

35-41

-6

A04/01

DBL

LWD Basket

29-42

-13

A11/01

DBL

Den Bosch

35-36

-1

H18/01

DBL

Amsterdam

39-32

H01/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

35-45

-10

A09/02

DBL

LWD Basket

46-34

+12

H15/02

DBL

Den Bosch

30-50

-20

A27/02

DBL

Feyenoord

33-45

-12

A01/03

DBL

Leiden

42-38

H05/03

DBL

BAL Weert

33-32

A07/03

DBL

75.2Avg total

35.7Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.1	40.7	75.8	-5.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	36.7	74.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	44.5	77.4	-11.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	39.5	75.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.8	76.6	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	33.4	43.6	77.0	-10.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.9	35.3	73.2	+2.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	0%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.3	41.9	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.4	38.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.3	38.3	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-3.9	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.3	40.6	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.2	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	24.5	42.5	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.6	23.9	41.5	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.1	43.4	80.5	-6.3	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	41.4	78.6	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.6	44.6	79.3	-10.0	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.8	41.1	82.9	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.2	42.4	79.7	-5.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	45.7	80.9	-10.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.1	45.3	80.4	-10.2	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.2	38.1	78.3	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	34.0	80.0	+12.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Den Helder wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	Den Helder v Amsterdam	77-73
04/01/20	Amsterdam v Den Helder	103-79
05/10/19	Den Helder v Amsterdam	20-0
25/04/19	Den Helder v Amsterdam	102-82
07/03/19	Amsterdam v Den Helder	92-80
03/01/19	Den Helder v Amsterdam	77-68
08/11/18	Amsterdam v Den Helder	85-91 OT
19/04/18	Den Helder v Amsterdam	56-80
10/02/18	Amsterdam v Den Helder	94-72
06/01/18	Den Helder v Amsterdam	84-74

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	H	Leiden	84-95
29/02/20	H	BAL Weert	76-75
27/02/20	A	LWD Basket	75-81
15/02/20	A	Zwolle	71-102
08/02/20	H	Feyenoord	84-68
01/02/20	A	Den Helder	73-77
25/01/20	H	Den Bosch	67-90
18/01/20	A	Donar Groningen	72-83
04/01/20	H	Den Helder	103-79
22/12/19	A	Zwolle	66-79

Den Helderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	A	BAL Weert	73-76
05/03/20	H	Leiden	91-75
01/03/20	A	Feyenoord	76-91
27/02/20	A	Den Bosch	63-90
15/02/20	H	LWD Basket	76-51
09/02/20	A	Donar Groningen	65-109
01/02/20	H	Amsterdam	77-73
18/01/20	H	Den Bosch	66-79
11/01/20	A	LWD Basket	67-78
04/01/20	A	Amsterdam	79-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	17%
Home	WLWWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	70.3	75.6	64.5
Allowed / game	83.3	83.8	82.6
Point differential	-13.0	-8.2	-18.2
Avg total	153.5	159.4	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Den Helder

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	30%
Home	LLWWW	55%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	30%	55%	8%
Points / game	70.1	69.8	70.4
Allowed / game	80.0	69.7	89.3
Point differential	-9.8	+0.1	-18.9
Avg total	150.1	139.5	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	20	17	3	85%	87.2	74.2	+13.0
2	Donar Groningen	22	17	5	77%	85.4	68.6	+16.7
3	Den Bosch	23	16	7	70%	84.0	70.4	+13.6
4	Leiden	21	12	9	57%	79.3	77.3	+2.0
5	Feyenoord	22	12	10	55%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
6	BAL Weert	24	9	15	38%	67.0	76.2	-9.2
7	Den Helder	23	7	16	30%	70.1	80.0	-9.8
8	LWD Basket	24	7	17	29%	64.5	75.2	-10.8
9	Amsterdam	23	4	19	17%	70.3	83.3	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Den Helder Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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