Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 84-95

22-24 16-32 23-24 23-15

Position#9

Record4-18

FormLWLLW

Points / game69.6

Allowed / game82.7

Amsterdam

Leiden 🏆

Position#4

Record11-9

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game77.0

DBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Amsterdam v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BAL Weert

73-75

-2

A14/12

DBL

Zwolle

66-79

-13

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

103-79

103

+24

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

72-83

-11

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

67-90

-23

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

73-77

-4

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

84-68

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

71-102

102

-31

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

75-81

-6

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

76-75

H29/02

DBL

9-27

22-14

23-14

19-20

16-21

15-16

16-18

19-24

23-16

18-19

25-25

37-19

17-14

17-30

20-28

18-11

13-24

16-21

20-29

18-16

19-22

13-17

18-18

23-20

21-14

24-15

20-21

19-18

19-26

17-28

21-29

14-19

13-17

21-17

21-24

20-23

14-24

21-18

19-23

22-10

156.9Avg total

76.0Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	69.6	82.7	152.4	-13.1	18%
Season at home (11)	74.8	82.8	157.6	-8.0	36%
Season away (11)	64.5	82.6	147.1	-18.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	80.9	156.9	-4.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	80.6	156.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	68.2	91.1	159.3	-22.9	6%
vs Similar (12)	73.0	73.0	146.0	+0.0	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

88-78

+10

H14/12

DBL

Den Helder

90-79

+11

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

96-81

+15

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

77-84

-7

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

92-98

-6

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-73

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

60-64

-4

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

78-69

H29/02

DBL

Den Helder

75-91

-16

A05/03

DBL

Zwolle

84-92

-8

A08/03

DBL

28-11

16-19

19-25

25-23

15-28

18-26

30-13

27-12

36-12

21-23

20-14

19-32

26-20

19-22

16-26

16-16

25-17

28-25

23-30

16-26

18-14

23-21

15-17

25-21

14-15

10-10

15-22

21-17

19-19

20-18

19-12

20-20

20-16

18-26

19-23

18-26

22-23

23-18

19-20

20-31

163.0Avg total

82.1Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.5	77.0	155.5	+1.5	55%
Season at home (11)	84.9	75.3	160.2	+9.6	82%
Season away (9)	70.7	79.1	149.8	-8.4	22%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	80.9	163.0	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	77.8	153.4	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.7	84.9	166.6	-3.2	44%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	76.8	155.1	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	78.2	68.1	146.3	+10.2	67%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	22.6	38.2	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.5	36.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.8	28%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	19.9	38.5	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.1	40.9	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	18.2	37.6	+1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	22.4	39.6	-5.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.6	23.7	41.3	-6.2	28%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.4	20.3	42.8	+2.1	78%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	55%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BAL Weert

31-41

-10

A14/12

DBL

Zwolle

31-37

-6

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

41-35

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

34-44

-10

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

29-45

-16

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

32-39

-7

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

45-29

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

36-54

-18

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

34-34

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

35-42

-7

H29/02

DBL

74.8Avg total

34.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.9	42.8	78.7	-6.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	40.8	79.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	44.9	77.9	-12.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	40.0	74.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.6	76.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.2	46.2	80.4	-11.9	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	37.3	75.8	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

44-30

+14

H14/12

DBL

Den Helder

33-54

-21

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

57-35

+22

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

45-42

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

53-42

+11

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

41-35

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

24-25

-1

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

39-37

H29/02

DBL

Den Helder

38-42

-4

A05/03

DBL

Zwolle

45-41

A08/03

DBL

80.2Avg total

41.9Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	37.0	79.1	+5.2	72%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	35.6	79.3	+8.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	38.7	78.8	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.3	80.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.4	39.7	83.1	+3.8	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	34.6	75.6	+6.4	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.9	35.5	78.4	+7.5	73%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.3	41.9	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.4	23.4	41.9	-5.0	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.4	43.6	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.3	40.6	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	15.6	21.5	37.1	-5.9	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	19.4	39.6	+0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.6	40.9	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.5	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.7	43.3	80.0	-6.6	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.4	41.1	77.5	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	40.9	82.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.0	44.9	78.9	-10.9	6%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	40.6	79.9	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.3	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.8	80.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	45.2	83.4	-7.0	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	41.5	78.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.5	37.0	79.5	+5.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/19	Amsterdam v Leiden	81-100
27/03/19	Leiden v Amsterdam	89-58
21/03/19	Amsterdam v Leiden	83-91
13/01/19	Amsterdam v Leiden	87-89
12/01/19	Leiden v Amsterdam	89-56
18/11/18	Leiden v Amsterdam	93-72
16/11/18	Amsterdam v Leiden	61-93
21/04/18	Leiden v Amsterdam	87-60
17/03/18	Amsterdam v Leiden	79-100
01/02/18	Leiden v Amsterdam	82-69

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/20	H	BAL Weert	76-75
27/02/20	A	LWD Basket	75-81
15/02/20	A	Zwolle	71-102
08/02/20	H	Feyenoord	84-68
01/02/20	A	Den Helder	73-77
25/01/20	H	Den Bosch	67-90
18/01/20	A	Donar Groningen	72-83
04/01/20	H	Den Helder	103-79
22/12/19	A	Zwolle	66-79
14/12/19	A	BAL Weert	73-75

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Zwolle	84-92
05/03/20	A	Den Helder	75-91
29/02/20	H	Den Bosch	78-69
08/02/20	A	LWD Basket	60-64
01/02/20	H	Donar Groningen	81-73
18/01/20	H	Zwolle	92-98
11/01/20	A	BAL Weert	77-84
04/01/20	H	Feyenoord	96-81
21/12/19	H	Den Helder	90-79
14/12/19	H	Den Bosch	88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	18%
Home	LWLWW	36%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	18%	36%	0%
Points / game	69.6	74.8	64.5
Allowed / game	82.7	82.8	82.6
Point differential	-13.1	-8.0	-18.2
Avg total	152.4	157.6	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	55%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	55%	82%	22%
Points / game	78.5	84.9	70.7
Allowed / game	77.0	75.3	79.1
Point differential	+1.5	+9.6	-8.4
Avg total	155.5	160.2	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	55%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	20	17	3	85%	87.2	74.2	+13.0
2	Donar Groningen	22	17	5	77%	85.4	68.6	+16.7
3	Den Bosch	23	16	7	70%	84.0	70.4	+13.6
4	Leiden	20	11	9	55%	78.5	77.0	+1.5
5	Feyenoord	22	12	10	55%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
6	BAL Weert	24	9	15	38%	67.0	76.2	-9.2
7	Den Helder	23	7	16	30%	70.1	80.0	-9.8
8	LWD Basket	24	7	17	29%	64.5	75.2	-10.8
9	Amsterdam	22	4	18	18%	69.6	82.7	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amsterdam	22	16	23	23	84
Leiden	24	32	24	15	95

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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