Amsterdam vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 17:30

Scheduled

Position#9

Record4-19

FormWLLWL

Points / game70.3

Allowed / game83.3

Amsterdam

Donar Groningen

Position#2

Record17-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game68.6

DBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Amsterdam v Donar Groningen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amsterdam win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Donar Groningen win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amsterdam

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zwolle

66-79

-13

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

103-79

103

+24

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

72-83

-11

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

67-90

-23

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

73-77

-4

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

84-68

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

71-102

102

-31

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

75-81

-6

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

76-75

H29/02

DBL

Leiden

84-95

-11

H11/03

DBL

16-21

15-16

16-18

19-24

23-16

18-19

25-25

37-19

17-14

17-30

20-28

18-11

13-24

16-21

20-29

18-16

19-22

13-17

18-18

23-20

21-14

24-15

20-21

19-18

19-26

17-28

21-29

14-19

13-17

21-17

21-24

20-23

14-24

21-18

19-23

22-10

22-24

16-32

23-24

23-15

160.0Avg total

77.1Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	70.3	83.3	153.5	-13.0	17%
Season at home (12)	75.6	83.8	159.4	-8.2	33%
Season away (11)	64.5	82.6	147.1	-18.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	82.9	160.0	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	84.2	162.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	69.1	91.3	160.4	-22.3	5%
vs Similar (11)	71.6	74.3	145.9	-2.6	36%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar Groningen Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

73-63

+10

H21/12

DBL

BAL Weert

91-54

+37

H04/01

DBL

Zwolle

98-69

+29

A12/01

DBL

Amsterdam

83-72

+11

H18/01

DBL

BAL Weert

97-48

+49

A25/01

DBL

Leiden

73-81

-8

A01/02

DBL

Den Helder

109-65

109

+44

H09/02

DBL

Den Bosch

79-69

+10

H15/02

DBL

BAL Weert

76-53

+23

A27/02

DBL

Feyenoord

66-79

-13

A07/03

DBL

20-14

17-20

12-17

24-12

19-16

29-6

24-13

19-19

21-15

23-18

31-17

23-19

14-17

30-17

28-20

11-18

22-8

22-13

27-11

26-16

14-18

21-23

17-15

21-25

25-12

20-23

33-11

31-19

21-12

19-13

16-21

23-23

14-17

22-15

23-5

17-16

13-12

24-23

12-23

17-21

149.8Avg total

84.5Scored

65.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	85.4	68.6	154.0	+16.7	77%
Season at home (9)	87.7	64.6	152.2	+23.1	100%
Season away (13)	83.8	71.5	155.2	+12.3	62%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	65.3	149.8	+19.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	69.4	150.0	+11.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	80.2	70.9	151.1	+9.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	88.3	66.5	154.8	+21.9	86%

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmsterdamDonar Groningen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	22.6	38.2	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.9	22.5	39.5	-5.6	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	16.1	36.7	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	13.4	35.1	+8.4	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	14.1	32.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	14.2	31.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.3	15.3	36.7	+6.0	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	22.4	39.6	-5.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.5	24.2	41.6	-6.7	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	17.8	39.8	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	16.1	38.3	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.2	41.2	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.1	39.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.2	16.3	35.6	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.3	18.4	41.7	+4.9	67%	-

AmsterdamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zwolle

31-37

-6

A22/12

DBL

Den Helder

41-35

H04/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

34-44

-10

A18/01

DBL

Den Bosch

29-45

-16

H25/01

DBL

Den Helder

32-39

-7

A01/02

DBL

Feyenoord

45-29

+16

H08/02

DBL

Zwolle

36-54

-18

A15/02

DBL

LWD Basket

34-34

A27/02

DBL

BAL Weert

35-42

-7

H29/02

DBL

Leiden

38-56

-18

H11/03

DBL

77.0Avg total

35.5Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.3	43.9	79.2	-8.6	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	42.9	80.5	-5.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	44.9	77.9	-12.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	41.5	77.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.4	46.7	81.1	-12.3	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

37-34

H21/12

DBL

BAL Weert

48-22

+26

H04/01

DBL

Zwolle

44-33

+11

A12/01

DBL

Amsterdam

44-34

+10

H18/01

DBL

BAL Weert

44-21

+23

A25/01

DBL

Leiden

35-41

-6

A01/02

DBL

Den Helder

45-35

+10

H09/02

DBL

Den Bosch

40-25

+15

H15/02

DBL

BAL Weert

36-32

A27/02

DBL

Feyenoord

37-35

A07/03

DBL

72.2Avg total

41.0Scored

31.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	33.9	76.5	+8.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	29.4	73.4	+14.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	31.2	72.2	+9.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	33.6	72.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	38.0	34.3	72.3	+3.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.6	33.7	78.3	+10.9	81%	-

This opponent (Amsterdam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.3	41.9	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	15.5	36.3	+5.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	15.3	37.6	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.0	35.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.8	16.3	36.1	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	16.1	37.3	+5.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.3	40.6	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.2	26%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	17.2	40.9	+6.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	16.7	39.1	+5.8	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.1	43.4	80.5	-6.3	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	41.4	78.6	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.6	44.6	79.3	-10.0	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.8	41.1	82.9	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	33.7	76.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	34.1	78.6	+10.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	33.2	75.2	+8.7	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	34.1	77.6	+9.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.8	77.8	+6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	41.7	35.8	77.4	+5.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.7	32.8	76.5	+11.0	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amsterdam wins

Donar Groningen wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/20	Donar Groningen v Amsterdam	83-72
16/11/19	Amsterdam v Donar Groningen	71-86
02/10/19	Donar Groningen v Amsterdam	100-63
28/04/19	Donar Groningen v Amsterdam	101-57
09/03/19	Amsterdam v Donar Groningen	58-72
05/01/19	Amsterdam v Donar Groningen	73-85
11/11/18	Donar Groningen v Amsterdam	86-55
22/04/18	Donar Groningen v Amsterdam	90-61
02/03/18	Amsterdam v Donar Groningen	81-87
14/12/17	Amsterdam v Donar Groningen	47-78

Amsterdamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	H	Leiden	84-95
29/02/20	H	BAL Weert	76-75
27/02/20	A	LWD Basket	75-81
15/02/20	A	Zwolle	71-102
08/02/20	H	Feyenoord	84-68
01/02/20	A	Den Helder	73-77
25/01/20	H	Den Bosch	67-90
18/01/20	A	Donar Groningen	72-83
04/01/20	H	Den Helder	103-79
22/12/19	A	Zwolle	66-79

Donar Groningenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	A	Feyenoord	66-79
27/02/20	A	BAL Weert	76-53
15/02/20	H	Den Bosch	79-69
09/02/20	H	Den Helder	109-65
01/02/20	A	Leiden	73-81
25/01/20	A	BAL Weert	97-48
18/01/20	H	Amsterdam	83-72
12/01/20	A	Zwolle	98-69
04/01/20	H	BAL Weert	91-54
21/12/19	H	LWD Basket	73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amsterdam

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	17%
Home	WLWWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	70.3	75.6	64.5
Allowed / game	83.3	83.8	82.6
Point differential	-13.0	-8.2	-18.2
Avg total	153.5	159.4	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Donar Groningen

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	77%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	9	13
Win %	77%	100%	62%
Points / game	85.4	87.7	83.8
Allowed / game	68.6	64.6	71.5
Point differential	+16.7	+23.1	+12.3
Avg total	154.0	152.2	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	89%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	20	17	3	85%	87.2	74.2	+13.0
2	Donar Groningen	22	17	5	77%	85.4	68.6	+16.7
3	Den Bosch	23	16	7	70%	84.0	70.4	+13.6
4	Leiden	21	12	9	57%	79.3	77.3	+2.0
5	Feyenoord	22	12	10	55%	78.0	77.0	+1.0
6	BAL Weert	24	9	15	38%	67.0	76.2	-9.2
7	Den Helder	23	7	16	30%	70.1	80.0	-9.8
8	LWD Basket	24	7	17	29%	64.5	75.2	-10.8
9	Amsterdam	23	4	19	17%	70.3	83.3	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Amsterdam vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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