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Anadolu Efes vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record4-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#7
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
European cup2026
Meetings · Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce
19 Mar 2027
EFS v FEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
EFS v FEN
upcoming
07 Jun 2026
EFS93
FEN102
05 Jun 2026
EFS102
FEN93
13 Apr 2026
EFS73
FEN89
24 Oct 2025
EFS69
FEN79
23 Mar 2025
EFS81
FEN82
10 Oct 2024
EFS78
FEN83
08 Jun 2024
EFS70
FEN101
06 Jun 2024
EFS74
FEN85
18 Feb 2024
EFS67
FEN80
28 Dec 2023
EFS84
FEN89
11 Dec 2023
EFS81
FEN80
09 Jun 2023
EFS87
FEN78
07 Jun 2023
EFS97
FEN91
16 May 2023
EFS96
FEN91
28 Oct 2022
EFS79
FEN88
13 Jun 2022
EFS80
FEN92
11 Jun 2022
EFS103
FEN92
03 Mar 2022
EFS84
FEN79
30 Jan 2022
EFS91
FEN71
26 Dec 2020
EFS85
FEN72
08 Oct 2020
EFS71
FEN80
14 Dec 2019
EFS79
FEN66
26 Sep 2019
EFS79
FEN74
03 Mar 2019
EFS67
FEN65
25 Oct 2018
EFS89
FEN83
19 Jan 2018
EFS84
FEN89
15 Oct 2017
EFS84
FEN80
10 May 2017
EFS57
FEN96
23 Mar 2017
EFS80
FEN77
15 Feb 2017
EFS82
FEN74
05 Feb 2016
EFS73
FEN77
13 Feb 2015
EFS71
FEN77
21 Feb 2014
EFS63
FEN71
14 Feb 2012
EFS82
FEN69
21 Feb 2009
EFS68
FEN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anadolu Efes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A09/10
Euroleague
Denizli Basket
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
L
93-101
93
101
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A16/10
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H22/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A28/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-18
16-15
24-26
16-26
15-9
18-27
17-27
26-16
24-18
22-27
13-15
22-26
24-28
22-21
25-26
21-12
21-24
25-20
18-14
18-24
25-19
15-9
12-21
29-17
28-19
11-24
21-20
24-14
25-18
18-30
26-15
21-27
20-36
18-27
29-28
21-18
24-19
16-14
22-17
166.8Avg total
83.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.686.2169.8-2.744%
Season at home (4)89.883.2173.0+6.575%
Season away (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)83.783.1166.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)84.683.2167.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.784.6164.2-4.944%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.2+1.155%
vs Weaker (10)89.479.2168.6+10.280%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
162.6Avg total
82.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.976.6156.4+3.367%
Season at home (5)85.471.0156.4+14.4100%
Season away (4)73.083.5156.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.591.0164.5-17.50%
vs Similar (18)82.278.8161.1+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.574.4164.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Anadolu EfesFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A09/10
Euroleague
Denizli Basket
#13
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/10
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H22/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A28/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/10
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
44.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.884.4+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.440.487.8+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.339.281.5+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.885.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.341.383.7+1.044%-
vs Similar (11)43.739.082.7+4.764%-
vs Weaker (10)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.283.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.281.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (18)39.640.880.3-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.535.682.1+10.988%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.0
57.4%
55.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.9
80.1%
77.3%14.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
77.3%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Anadolu Efes
WLWWLWLWLW
Fenerbahce
LLWWLWWWLW
#14
League position
#7
-0.8
Net rating
+1.9
96.6
Offensive rating
96.7
97.5
Defensive rating
94.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
32.9%
70.2%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 96.7Defence97.5 · 94.8Shooting54.9% · 53.7%3-point %34.1% · 32.9%Ball care16.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Anadolu Efes   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Anadolu Efes wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPanathinaikos83-68
28/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv88-118
25/10/26HKorfez Basket93-77
22/10/26HBesiktas89-80
19/10/26AEsenler Erokspor70-73
16/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-70
14/10/26HBayern93-101
11/10/26HDenizli Basket85-76
09/10/26AOlympiacos66-89
04/10/26ABordo Bandirma85-79
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game83.689.878.6
Allowed / game86.283.288.6
Point differential-2.7+6.5-10.0
Avg total169.8173.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game79.985.473.0
Allowed / game76.671.083.5
Point differential+3.3+14.4-10.5
Avg total156.4156.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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