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Real Madrid

Spain EuroLeague 7-4 · 5/20 ACB 7-0 · 1/18
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWWWWWWLWW
Points / game
95.8
allowed 86.2
Over 177.5
48%
game total, 44 games
Game total
181.9
both teams per game
Win rate
77%
34-10
Margin / game
+9.6
points
1st half
46.0
points scored / game
Overtime
5%
games to overtime
Sections
Real Madrid

Real Madrid 2026-27 are riding a 13-4 season, topping the Liga ACB with a flawless 7-0 record and holding first place in a 18-team table, while their EuroLeague run sits at 6-4, 10th of 20. In the last five outings they are 4-1, with a 90-71 home win over Murcia, a 112-115 loss to Panathinaikos, and a 90-79 victory over San Pablo Burgos. Their Liga ACB power rating is 13.6, rank 1 out of 18, up from rank 2 a few games ago, and they are 8-1 at home (101.3 p/f, 84.8 p/a) versus 5-3 away (101.2 p/f, 92.6 p/a). Theo Maledon leads in points at 17.1 per game, Edy Tavares pulls down 7.4 rebounds, and Facundo Campazzo discharges 5.7 assists. The next fixture is an away ACB match against Baskonia on 15 November, where the model projects a 72% win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Real Madrid stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Liga ACB (2025-26 + 2026-27) Real Madrid score 95.8 points a game and allow 86.2 across 44 games – 48% of their games go over 177.5 and they clear 88.5 team points in 75%. They win 77% (71% at home, 85% away), by +9.6 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Real MadridLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 90
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 90
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 90
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 90
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 90
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 90
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 90
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
76avg 90
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
120-83
120
83
+37
122avg 90
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 90
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 90
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 90
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 90
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 90
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 90
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 90
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 90
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
190.9Avg total
102.0Scored
88.9Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
22.7
21.0
+1.6
won 57%
Q2
23.4
20.9
+2.4
won 57%
Q3
24.7
21.5
+3.2
won 73%
Q4
24.3
22.3
+2.0
won 52%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 68% of 44 games, the 2nd half in 68%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=24AWAY n=20
96.0
Points / game
95.5
86.2
Allowed / game
86.2
182.2
Game total
181.7
42%
Over 177.5
55%
71%
Win %
85%
+9.8
Margin
+9.4
46.3
1st half scored
45.7
58%
Won the 1st half
80%
54%
Won by 10+
45%
Points scored per game
6%12%19%25%2%75-7916%80-849%85-8923%90-9425%95-997%100-1040%105-1097%110-1145%115-1197%120-124
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%11%17%23%9%70-7423%75-7923%80-8416%85-899%90-945%95-995%100-10411%105-109
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 89.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)97.189.298.088.796.289.757%
vs Stronger (0)-------
vs Similar (7)92.389.4100.095.786.584.843%
vs Weaker (23)98.689.197.586.999.791.561%
Over 177.5 (game total)60% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
1stof 2077%
Attack: points scored per game
1stof 2095.8
Defence: points allowed per game
5thof 2086.2
Game total: both teams' points per game
5thof 20181.9
Ranked against the 20 teams of the league over 2025-26 + 2026-27. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏆 Win %
2025-26 + 2026-27
1 Real Madrid77%
2 Valencia76%
3 Baskonia70%
4 Barcelona69%
5 Murcia66%
6 Joventut Badalona55%
7 Tenerife54%
8 Bilbao53%
9 Unicaja49%
10 Breogan48%
11 Basquet Girona44%
12 Obradoiro CAB43%
13 Leyma Coruna43%
14 Manresa41%
15 Basket Zaragoza37%
16 San Pablo Burgos33%
17 Forca Lleida32%
18 Gran Canaria29%
19 MoraBanc Andorra26%
20 Granada18%
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
1 Real Madrid95.8
2 Valencia95.8
3 Breogan93.6
4 Baskonia92.7
5 Leyma Coruna91.9
6 Barcelona91.0
7 Murcia90.4
8 Obradoiro CAB90.3
9 San Pablo Burgos90.0
10 Tenerife88.7
11 Basket Zaragoza88.0
12 Unicaja87.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra87.3
14 Basquet Girona86.5
15 Manresa86.3
16 Joventut Badalona86.1
17 Bilbao85.6
18 Forca Lleida85.5
19 Granada83.8
20 Gran Canaria81.3
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
1 Joventut Badalona83.5
2 Valencia84.3
3 Barcelona85.3
4 Baskonia86.1
5 Real Madrid86.2
6 Gran Canaria86.2
7 Murcia86.5
8 Unicaja86.8
9 Tenerife86.9
10 Bilbao87.0
11 Basquet Girona90.4
12 Basket Zaragoza92.4
13 Manresa92.6
14 Granada92.7
15 San Pablo Burgos92.8
16 Forca Lleida93.6
17 MoraBanc Andorra93.8
18 Breogan94.6
19 Obradoiro CAB96.6
20 Leyma Coruna99.9
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
1 Leyma Coruna191.7
2 Breogan188.2
3 Obradoiro CAB186.9
4 San Pablo Burgos182.8
5 Real Madrid181.9
6 MoraBanc Andorra181.1
7 Basket Zaragoza180.5
8 Valencia180.1
9 Forca Lleida179.1
10 Manresa178.9
11 Baskonia178.8
12 Murcia176.9
13 Basquet Girona176.9
14 Granada176.5
15 Barcelona176.3
16 Tenerife175.5
17 Unicaja174.6
18 Bilbao172.6
19 Joventut Badalona169.7
20 Gran Canaria167.5
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
2ndof 2049.3%
2-point accuracy
2ndof 2059.4%
3-point accuracy
7thof 2035.7%
Free-throw accuracy
2ndof 2080.3%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 Barcelona51.9%
2 Real Madrid49.3%
3 Tenerife48.6%
4 Breogan48.4%
5 Valencia48.3%
6 Baskonia48.2%
7 Basket Zaragoza47.2%
8 Joventut Badalona46.6%
9 Leyma Coruna46.3%
10 Forca Lleida46.0%
11 Murcia46.0%
12 Unicaja45.9%
13 San Pablo Burgos45.8%
14 Gran Canaria45.3%
15 MoraBanc Andorra45.2%
16 Granada45.1%
17 Basquet Girona44.4%
18 Bilbao44.2%
19 Manresa43.9%
20 Obradoiro CAB43.1%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 Barcelona60.0%
2 Real Madrid59.4%
3 Valencia57.9%
4 Baskonia56.6%
5 Leyma Coruna56.4%
6 Breogan55.6%
7 Tenerife55.6%
8 Basket Zaragoza55.5%
9 Murcia54.6%
10 Joventut Badalona54.4%
11 Forca Lleida54.3%
12 Unicaja54.3%
13 Gran Canaria54.0%
14 Basquet Girona53.6%
15 San Pablo Burgos53.1%
16 MoraBanc Andorra53.0%
17 Granada52.8%
18 Bilbao52.6%
19 Obradoiro CAB52.3%
20 Manresa51.9%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Tenerife39.8%
2 Barcelona39.7%
3 Breogan38.9%
4 Baskonia36.9%
5 Valencia36.2%
6 MoraBanc Andorra35.7%
7 Real Madrid35.7%
8 Unicaja35.6%
9 Murcia35.6%
10 Joventut Badalona34.9%
11 Basquet Girona34.3%
12 Basket Zaragoza34.2%
13 Bilbao34.1%
14 Granada34.0%
15 Gran Canaria34.0%
16 Manresa33.4%
17 San Pablo Burgos32.8%
18 Forca Lleida32.5%
19 Leyma Coruna30.9%
20 Obradoiro CAB29.4%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Tenerife82.5%
2 Real Madrid80.3%
3 MoraBanc Andorra80.1%
4 Baskonia80.1%
5 Breogan78.1%
6 Granada76.9%
7 Basket Zaragoza76.2%
8 Barcelona75.7%
9 Joventut Badalona75.3%
10 Murcia75.2%
11 Bilbao75.0%
12 Basquet Girona74.9%
13 Forca Lleida74.3%
14 San Pablo Burgos74.0%
15 Valencia73.7%
16 Manresa73.7%
17 Unicaja73.7%
18 Leyma Coruna73.4%
19 Gran Canaria73.3%
20 Obradoiro CAB73.2%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
49.3%+2.5pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#2 of 20 in ACB
✋ 2-pointers
59.4%+4.3pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#2 of 20 in ACB
🌟 3-pointers
35.7%+0.2pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#7 of 20 in ACB
🏹 Free throws
80.3%+4.0pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#2 of 20 in ACB

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real MadridLeague average
95.6
Offensive rating
101.3
87.3
Defensive rating
101.3
59.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
36.4%
48.9%
3-point attempt rate
43.1%
64.1%
Assist %
57.0%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 101.3Defence87.3 · 101.3Shooting59.0% · 55.3%3-point %37.3% · 36.4%Ball care14.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34
■ Real Madrid   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 177.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+14757%5-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+7871%2-13-10%LWWWW
3 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2086%4-01-2100%WLWWW
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+5425%3-12-150%WWWLW
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+3471%3-12-1100%WWLWW
6 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+7557%3-02-267%WLLWW
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+28100%2-12-2-WLLWL
8 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-4686%4-00-3100%LWWLW
9 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-471%3-01-333%WLWWL
10 Murcia73443%90.193.3-2243%3-10-3-LLWWL
11 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+1843%1-22-20%WWWLL
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-4471%1-22-267%WWLLL
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-5671%3-10-3100%LLLWW
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-443%2-10-40%WWLLL
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-462%0-32-20%LLWLL
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-7538%1-20-40%LWLLL
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-8986%0-31-333%LLLLL
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-11086%1-30-3100%LLLLW
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 177.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Real MadridLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
120-83
120
83
+37
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
190.9Avg total
102.0Scored
88.9Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 177.5
Last 30 (30)97.189.2186.3+7.957%60%
Last 30 at home (15)98.088.7186.7+9.360%53%
Last 30 away (15)96.289.7185.9+6.553%67%
Last 10 (10)106.187.2193.3+18.990%70%
Last 5 (5)98.485.0183.4+13.480%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)92.389.4181.7+2.943%43%
vs Weaker (23)98.689.1187.7+9.561%65%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 177.5 = the league line
Over 177.560%
n=30
Under 177.540%
n=30
Won the game57%
n=30
Lost the game43%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025-26 + 2026-27, ACB games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 177.5)Team points (line 88.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (44)181.9182.2181.795.896.095.5+9.6+9.8+9.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)183.8183.0184.794.792.397.0+5.5+1.7+9.3
vs Weaker (38)181.6182.0181.195.996.595.2+10.3+11.0+9.4
% over line / win48%42%55%75%79%70%77%71%85%
% under line / loss52%58%45%25%21%30%23%29%15%
Scoring dials
Points / game95.8
League avg 89.0 · above by 6.8
Allowed / game86.2
League avg 89.0 · below by 2.8
1st half scored46.0
League avg 42.8 · above by 3.2
3-pointers made10.0
League avg 10.6 · below by 0.7
Free throws made20.9
League avg 17.5 · above by 3.4
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025-26 + 2026-27)
Over 83.5 pts82%
🔥 70%+n=44
Under 83.5 pts18%
n=44
Over 88.5 pts75%
🔥 70%+n=44
Under 88.5 pts25%
n=44
Over 93.5 pts57%
n=44
Under 93.5 pts43%
n=44
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 167.584%
🔥 70%+n=44
Under 167.516%
n=44
Over 177.548%
n=44
Under 177.552%
n=44
Over 187.536%
n=44
Under 187.564%
n=44
Result markets
Win77%
🔥 70%+n=44
Win by 6+ (-5.5)61%
n=44
Cover +5.591%
🔥 70%+n=44
Win by 10+50%
n=44
Win the 1st half68%
n=44
Overtime5%
n=44
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Real Madrid: 84.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.3
50.8%
55.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
36.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
76.0%14.6
Their opponents take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Theo MaledonEuroLeague ACB141022.317.13.65.246.6%48.8%
Edy TavaresEuroLeague ACB151518.97.97.40.174.6%-
Andres FelizEuroLeague ACB14819.911.23.23.448.2%48.1%
Facundo CampazzoEuroLeague ACB14419.59.42.45.738.6%36.9%
Timothe Luwawu-CabarrotEuroLeague ACB13419.913.02.60.941.4%36.7%
Jaime PradillaEuroLeague ACB15415.96.24.51.352.2%24.0%
Alberto AbaldeEuroLeague ACB14617.06.72.91.454.0%50.0%
Chuma OkekeEuroLeague ACB13617.86.72.71.442.1%37.5%
Mikael JantunenEuroLeague ACB13617.47.63.21.159.3%50.0%
Damian JonesEuroLeague ACB12013.07.12.30.376.6%66.7%
Nick SmithEuroLeague ACB10414.98.32.10.943.5%30.0%
Gabriele ProcidaEuroLeague ACB9513.75.01.40.634.2%28.0%
Gabriel DeckEuroLeague ACB4118.83.03.00.238.5%0.0%
Sergio LlullACB6212.17.30.81.842.4%34.6%
Olivier SarrEuroLeague ACB7010.16.33.10.460.9%42.9%
M. ShulgaEuroLeague ACB409.55.21.01.546.2%44.4%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
6.3
14 rated players
Alberto Abalde5.2 pts10.0
Sergio Llull5.0 pts10.0
Theo Maledon10.8 pts9.8
Mikael Jantunen7.6 pts9.5
Facundo Campazzo10.8 pts8.1
Edy Tavares9.3 pts7.9
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot13.0 pts6.2
Olivier Sarr6.3 pts6.2
Bruno Fernando4.0 pts6.0
Andres Feliz8.1 pts4.6
David Kramer5.2 pts4.5
Gabriele Procida5.3 pts4.3
Jaime Pradilla6.2 pts4.0
Nick Smith8.3 pts3.1
Chuma Okeke6.2 pts2.4
Damian Jones7.1 pts2.4
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
Mario Hezonja79%
Trey Lyles70%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot62%
Theo Maledon56%
Facundo Campazzo55%
Edy Tavares46%
Olivier Sarr43%
Nick Smith40%
Faruk Yurtseven Omer40%
Damian Jones33%
15+ points
Games with 15 or more points
Mario Hezonja52%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot38%
Trey Lyles33%
Facundo Campazzo27%
Theo Maledon23%
Olivier Sarr14%
Edy Tavares14%
Andres Feliz14%
Alex Len9%
Gabriele Procida9%
20+ points
Games with 20 or more points
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot23%
Mario Hezonja21%
Trey Lyles17%
Facundo Campazzo9%
Theo Maledon7%
Edy Tavares3%
David Kramer2%
Sergio Llull1%
Andres Feliz1%
Gabriel Deck0%
5+ rebounds
Games with 5 or more rebounds
Edy Tavares75%
M. Sissoko67%
Trey Lyles56%
Mario Hezonja42%
Jaime Pradilla40%
Bruno Fernando33%
Alex Len30%
Gabriel Deck30%
Chuma Okeke29%
Olivier Sarr29%
5+ assists
Games with 5 or more assists
Facundo Campazzo54%
Theo Maledon25%
Mario Hezonja11%
Andres Feliz11%
Sergio Llull6%
Trey Lyles5%
Gabriel Deck2%
Chuma Okeke1%
Alberto Abalde1%
Edy Tavares0%
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
Facundo Campazzo56%
Mario Hezonja51%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot46%
Trey Lyles45%
Chuma Okeke38%
Mikael Jantunen38%
Sergio Llull27%
M. Shulga25%
Alberto Abalde23%
Andres Feliz22%
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
Mario Hezonja55%
Trey Lyles48%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot46%
Facundo Campazzo36%
Edy Tavares34%
Theo Maledon32%
Olivier Sarr29%
Andres Feliz16%
Jaime Pradilla13%
Alex Len12%
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot31%
Mario Hezonja30%
M. Shulga25%
Facundo Campazzo24%
Trey Lyles18%
Andres Feliz12%
Gabriele Procida11%
Chuma Okeke10%
David Kramer10%
Sergio Llull8%
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Damian Jones77%
Edy Tavares72%
I. Almansa Perez71%
Usman Garuba62%
Alex Len61%
Mikael Jantunen59%
Jaime Pradilla52%
Gabriel Deck50%
Trey Lyles50%
Gabriele Procida50%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Damian Jones80%
Edy Tavares72%
I. Almansa Perez72%
Mikael Jantunen69%
Jaime Pradilla69%
Faruk Yurtseven Omer68%
Gabriele Procida68%
Usman Garuba63%
Gabriel Deck63%
Alex Len62%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Mikael Jantunen50%
Alberto Abalde43%
Trey Lyles43%
Andres Feliz41%
Chuma Okeke39%
Facundo Campazzo39%
Gabriele Procida39%
David Kramer39%
Theo Maledon37%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot37%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot89%
Theo Maledon87%
Facundo Campazzo87%
Mario Hezonja86%
Mikael Jantunen84%
Sergio Llull84%
Nick Smith82%
Jaime Pradilla81%
Trey Lyles81%
Andres Feliz79%
2025-26 + 2026-27, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
65%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
53-28favourite won / lost
Across 81 games of Real Madrid, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 65% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Baskonia
v
Real Madrid
Sun 15 Nov, 18:00 UTC
Pythia: Real Madrid 73%
home 27%away 73%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Baskonia v Real Madrid Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Q2: Over 42.573.7%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81		----+22.1pp
Q2: Real Madrid over 21.570.9%1.74
Marathon Bet
1.74		----+17.1pp
Q2: Baskonia over 2071.6%1.70
Marathon Bet
1.70		----+16.6pp
Real Madrid +482.3%1.23
Bet365
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.16		---+10.5pp
Real Madrid (regulation)70.3%1.44
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42		--+5.9pp
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🔒 204 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=43		2023-24
n=42		2024-25
n=43		2025-26
n=37		2026-27
n=7		Trend
Points scored / game88.288.688.293.8106.3
Points allowed / game78.379.278.786.385.3
Game total166.5167.9166.8180.1191.6
Over 167.547%48%40%84%86%
Over 177.526%21%28%46%57%
Over 187.57%12%14%32%57%
Team points over 88.547%50%44%70%100%
Win %77%86%88%73%100%
Home win %81%91%100%63%100%
Away win %73%80%76%83%100%
Margin / game+10.0+9.4+9.5+7.5+21.0
Won by 10+58%43%47%46%71%
Close games won (5 or fewer)60%100%62%50%100%
Overtime %0%0%2%3%14%
1st half total79.380.579.187.491.0
Won the 1st half74%79%72%65%86%
3-point attempt rate41%46%43%41%49%
Effective FG%56%56%55%56%60%
Pace75.275.675.176.3-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
12 NovReal Madrid v Crvena zvezda Euroleague105-84W
08 NovReal Madrid v Murcia ACB90-71W
04 NovReal Madrid v Panathinaikos Euroleague112-115 OTL
01 NovReal Madrid v San Pablo Burgos ACB90-79W
29 OctReal Madrid v Fenerbahce Euroleague95-76W
27 OctBaskonia v Real Madrid Euroleague86-104W
25 OctForca Lleida v Real Madrid ACB86-122W
22 OctMaccabi Tel Aviv v Real Madrid Euroleague99-113W
18 OctReal Madrid v Bilbao ACB119-84W
15 OctReal Madrid v Lyon-Villeurbanne Euroleague111-92W
Upcoming games
18:00SunR8Baskonia v Real Madrid27%73%BAS3.15MAD1.4117:00WedR12Besiktas v Real Madrid28%72%BES2.60MAD1.5519:15FriR13Olympiacos v Real Madrid60%40%OLY1.87MAD1.9918:00SunR9Real Madrid v Joventut Badalona84%16%MAD-JBA-19:45WedR14Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunasno forecast yetMAD-ZAL-19:45ThuR15Real Madrid v Barcelonano forecast yetMAD-BAR-11:30SunR10Real Madrid v MoraBanc Andorrano forecast yetMAD-AND-16:00TueR11Leyma Coruna v Real Madridno forecast yetLKO-MAD-19:45ThuR16Paris v Real Madridno forecast yetPRS-MAD-20:00SatR12Breogan v Real Madridno forecast yetBRE-MAD-
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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