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Ancud vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-66
19-13 22-18 14-11 18-24
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.3
Ancud 🏆
Chile
vs
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game68.6
ChileCopa ChileCopa Chile - Final· Gimnasio Colegio Los Leones
Other2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Ancud v Leones Quilpue
29 Oct 2026
ANCU81
LEON91
04 May 2025
ANCU58
LEON56
03 May 2025
ANCU73
LEON68
16 Mar 2025
ANCU76
LEON84
21 Dec 2024
ANCU73
LEON66
04 Feb 2024
ANCU71
LEON66
30 Apr 2023
ANCU77
LEON99
17 Dec 2022
ANCU83
LEON65
06 Mar 2022
ANCU70
LEON68
09 Feb 2020
ANCU116
LEON88
18 Nov 2018
ANCU79
LEON90
22 Oct 2017
ANCU92
LEON84
09 Oct 2016
ANCU97
LEON88
11 Oct 2015
ANCU88
LEON76
19 Oct 2014
ANCU76
LEON57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ancud winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones Quilpue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AncudChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAncud
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
67avg 76
A13/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
85avg 76
H15/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
70avg 76
A29/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
65-103
65
103
-38
54avg 76
A30/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 76
H06/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
62-69
62
69
-7
48avg 76
H07/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
61avg 76
A12/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
75avg 76
A13/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 76
H15/12
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 76
H20/12
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
14-17
26-20
20-25
27-21
14-28
24-16
20-17
24-17
21-24
11-23
18-14
21-28
18-24
12-31
14-20
23-21
19-18
22-14
14-19
24-25
13-12
16-13
9-19
20-18
23-21
9-16
16-11
17-19
17-19
18-24
23-23
25-17
14-20
18-13
23-22
27-18
17-28
22-11
18-14
153.5Avg total
74.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.279.3157.6-1.162%
Season at home (9)79.775.8155.4+3.978%
Season away (7)76.483.9160.3-7.443%
Last 10 (10)74.678.9153.5-4.350%
Last 5 (5)73.872.6146.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.079.6153.6-5.645%
vs Similar (7)77.981.3159.1-3.429%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.0+8.583%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 75
A30/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 75
H01/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
82-51
82
51
+31
76avg 75
H05/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
63-81
63
81
-18
55avg 75
H06/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 75
A08/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
76avg 75
A10/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
86-68
86
68
+18
77avg 75
H11/12
Copa Chile
Franca
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
46avg 75
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 75
A17/12
Champions League Americas
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
59-58
59
58
+1
49avg 75
A20/12
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-18
16-19
19-19
19-15
15-19
14-20
24-22
21-17
14-14
26-10
21-10
23-21
13-21
12-18
15-21
25-25
20-24
19-18
20-18
31-12
26-20
14-20
17-32
25-20
10-18
32-17
19-13
18-23
13-16
18-26
15-23
15-23
17-22
16-15
20-17
23-17
14-15
11-15
11-11
148.4Avg total
73.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.168.6147.8+10.569%
Season at home (8)82.667.1149.8+15.575%
Season away (8)75.670.1145.8+5.562%
Last 10 (10)73.874.6148.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)73.075.0148.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.279.0148.2-9.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.769.2147.9+9.473%
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
AncudLeones Quilpue
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A29/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A30/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A13/12
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/12
Copa Chile
81.7Avg total
39.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.784.9+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.240.285.4+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)40.543.784.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.481.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.841.381.1-1.545%-
vs Similar (7)36.939.376.1-2.429%-
vs Weaker (12)49.843.693.4+6.258%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A30/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
57-32
57
32
+25
A10/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/12
Copa Chile
Franca
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
Champions League Americas
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/12
Copa Chile
76.1Avg total
37.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.974.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.276.3+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.335.671.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.276.1-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.275.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.540.272.8-7.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.135.274.3+3.858%-
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ancudtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ancud: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.4
46.7%
48.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
31.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
69.0%13.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.2
47.5%
48.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.88.1
25.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
69.0%11.9
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ancud
WWLWLWLLWL
Leones Quilpue
WLLWWLLWLL
#4
League position
#3
-5.7
Net rating
-1.8
97.7
Offensive rating
94.2
103.4
Defensive rating
96.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
43.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
25.5%
65.1%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 94.2Defence103.4 · 96.0Shooting48.2% · 43.3%3-point %33.9% · 25.5%Ball care18.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ancud   ■ Leones Quilpue
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ancud wins
5
Leones Quilpue wins
DateGameScore
15/04/24Leones Quilpue v Ancud102-87
04/02/24Ancud v Leones Quilpue71-66
30/04/23Ancud v Leones Quilpue77-99
18/02/23Leones Quilpue v Ancud20-0
18/12/22Ancud v Leones Quilpue83-65
02/05/22Leones Quilpue v Ancud109-65
06/03/22Ancud v Leones Quilpue70-68
09/02/20Ancud v Leones Quilpue116-88
21/12/19Leones Quilpue v Ancud87-91 OT
13/01/19Leones Quilpue v Ancud108-97
Ancudlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HPuente Alto84-71
15/12/24HCD Puerto Varas80-72
13/12/24ACD Puerto Varas75-85
12/12/24ACD Puerto Varas68-66
07/12/24HCD Puerto Varas62-69
06/12/24HCD Puerto Varas78-72
30/11/24AEspanol Osorno65-103
29/11/24ACD Puerto Varas74-78
15/11/24HLas Animas85-82
13/11/24AU. De Concepcion75-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AU. De Concepcion59-58
17/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba68-77
16/12/24AFranca64-88
11/12/24HSportiva Italiana86-68
10/12/24ASportiva Italiana88-84
08/12/24ASportiva Italiana84-85
06/12/24HSportiva Italiana63-81
05/12/24HSportiva Italiana82-51
01/12/24HPuente Alto72-76
30/11/24ASportiva Italiana72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ancud
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game78.279.776.4
Allowed / game79.375.883.9
Point differential-1.1+3.9-7.4
Avg total157.6155.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leones Quilpue
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game79.182.675.6
Allowed / game68.667.170.1
Point differential+10.5+15.5+5.5
Avg total147.8149.8145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion1614288%83.778.3+5.4
2 Puente Alto1511473%75.973.3+2.6
3 Leones Quilpue1611569%79.168.6+10.5
4 Ancud1610662%78.279.3-1.1
5 CD Puerto Varas158753%78.573.1+5.4
6 Sportiva Italiana158753%76.378.6-2.3
7 Espanol Osorno146843%81.475.9+5.5
8 Colo Colo135838%76.775.9+0.8
9 Catolica103730%67.473.1-5.7
10 Las Animas103730%73.884.3-10.5
11 Espanol de Talca101910%69.183.9-14.8
12 Valdivia100100%75.385.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ancud1922141873
Leones Quilpue1318112466
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