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U. De Concepcion vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 58-59
17-23 15-14 15-11 11-11
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#3
Record10-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.3
ChileCopa ChileCopa Chile - Semi-finals· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2024
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Leones Quilpue
25 Oct 2026
U. D89
LEON64
12 Aug 2026
U. D97
LEON76
09 Jun 2026
U. D78
LEON79
31 May 2026
U. D89
LEON78
30 May 2026
U. D88
LEON92
09 Apr 2026
U. D95
LEON73
13 Sep 2025
U. D79
LEON68
08 Jun 2025
U. D73
LEON59
07 Jun 2025
U. D86
LEON68
03 Apr 2025
U. D77
LEON73
20 Dec 2024
U. D58
LEON59
23 Jun 2024
U. D64
LEON66
22 Jun 2024
U. D89
LEON87
29 Mar 2024
U. D88
LEON84
22 Dec 2023
U. D76
LEON66
12 Nov 2023
U. D96
LEON82
15 Jul 2023
U. D74
LEON72
02 Jul 2023
U. D86
LEON88
01 Jul 2023
U. D85
LEON65
14 Apr 2023
U. D92
LEON73
17 Jun 2022
U. D70
LEON66
05 Jun 2022
U. D84
LEON83
04 Jun 2022
U. D104
LEON68
02 Apr 2022
U. D94
LEON61
28 Aug 2021
U. D69
LEON59
19 Aug 2021
U. D93
LEON81
18 Aug 2021
U. D74
LEON66
30 Jul 2021
U. D73
LEON74
12 May 2021
U. D57
LEON77
19 Jan 2020
U. D96
LEON76
05 Oct 2019
U. D100
LEON85
16 Mar 2019
U. D86
LEON93
09 Mar 2019
U. D89
LEON93
16 Feb 2019
U. D95
LEON90
15 Feb 2019
U. D91
LEON89
16 Dec 2018
U. D101
LEON76
14 Oct 2018
U. D65
LEON63
25 Mar 2018
U. D61
LEON80
24 Mar 2018
U. D61
LEON66
09 Dec 2017
U. D91
LEON87
08 Nov 2017
U. D73
LEON77
10 Dec 2016
U. D100
LEON87
30 Nov 2016
U. D95
LEON82
24 Jan 2016
U. D95
LEON80
23 Jan 2016
U. D85
LEON67
22 Nov 2015
U. D85
LEON89
23 Nov 2014
U. D84
LEON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones Quilpue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#10
W
113-90
113
90
+23
113avg 79
H01/11
Copa Chile
Valdivia
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 79
A10/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 79
A10/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 79
H13/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
88-84
88
84
+4
78avg 79
H15/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 79
A30/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
73avg 79
H07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 79
H07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
64-92
64
92
-28
50avg 79
A12/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 79
A13/12
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
29-19
25-25
32-25
19-20
21-27
27-19
14-12
17-12
26-29
20-23
20-17
29-15
17-14
20-26
25-20
25-23
23-27
24-24
16-10
23-19
16-18
25-20
23-19
20-26
26-22
23-17
17-17
23-21
20-16
25-23
12-18
17-27
13-21
22-20
12-24
17-24
28-21
19-19
24-18
167.9Avg total
86.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.180.7166.9+5.493%
Season at home (7)91.081.4172.4+9.6100%
Season away (7)81.380.0161.3+1.386%
Last 10 (10)86.181.8167.9+4.390%
Last 5 (5)81.082.0163.0-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.075.8148.8-2.840%
vs Similar (11)80.280.8161.0-0.673%
vs Weaker (14)92.079.7171.7+12.393%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#8
W
101-69
101
69
+32
96avg 76
H15/11
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 76
A30/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 76
H01/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
82-51
82
51
+31
76avg 76
H05/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
63-81
63
81
-18
55avg 76
H06/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 76
A08/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
76avg 76
A10/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
86-68
86
68
+18
77avg 76
H11/12
Copa Chile
Franca
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
46avg 76
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 76
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-16
30-14
27-20
20-22
17-18
16-19
19-19
19-15
15-19
14-20
24-22
21-17
14-14
26-10
21-10
23-21
13-21
12-18
15-21
25-25
20-24
19-18
20-18
31-12
26-20
14-20
17-32
25-20
10-18
32-17
19-13
18-23
13-16
18-26
15-23
15-23
17-22
16-15
20-17
153.7Avg total
78.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.569.3149.8+11.167%
Season at home (8)82.667.1149.8+15.575%
Season away (7)78.071.9149.9+6.157%
Last 10 (10)78.075.7153.7+2.340%
Last 5 (5)78.080.4158.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.279.0148.2-9.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.969.8148.7+9.169%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
U. De ConcepcionLeones Quilpue
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#10
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H01/11
Copa Chile
Valdivia
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H13/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/11
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/11
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A12/12
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/12
Copa Chile
85.8Avg total
43.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.786.5+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.740.788.4+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.842.784.5-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.285.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.241.076.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (11)43.942.886.7+1.164%-
vs Weaker (14)48.841.189.9+7.686%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/11
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A30/11
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
W
57-32
57
32
+25
A10/12
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/12
Copa Chile
Franca
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
Champions League Americas
77.1Avg total
38.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.374.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.676.4+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)36.335.972.1+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.577.1+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.540.272.8-7.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.035.774.7+3.454%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.3
51.0%
48.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.9
69.0%
69.0%12.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.1
49.2%
48.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.88.8
27.7%
31.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.712.4
66.3%
69.0%12.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLWWWWWWWW
Leones Quilpue
LLWWLLWLLW
#1
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
+2.7
110.1
Offensive rating
98.1
104.8
Defensive rating
95.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
45.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
27.7%
58.6%
Assist %
60.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 98.1Defence104.8 · 95.5Shooting53.2% · 45.8%3-point %37.5% · 27.7%Ball care15.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Leones Quilpue
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24AEspanol Osorno88-82
12/12/24AEspanol Osorno64-92
07/12/24HEspanol Osorno80-78
07/12/24HEspanol Osorno86-82
30/11/24ALas Animas87-76
15/11/24HEspanol Osorno88-84
13/11/24HAncud91-75
10/11/24ACD Puerto Varas83-81
10/11/24AValdivia81-78
01/11/24HLas Animas113-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba68-77
16/12/24AFranca64-88
11/12/24HSportiva Italiana86-68
10/12/24ASportiva Italiana88-84
08/12/24ASportiva Italiana84-85
06/12/24HSportiva Italiana63-81
05/12/24HSportiva Italiana82-51
01/12/24HPuente Alto72-76
30/11/24ASportiva Italiana72-78
15/11/24HColo Colo101-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game86.191.081.3
Allowed / game80.781.480.0
Point differential+5.4+9.6+1.3
Avg total166.9172.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leones Quilpue
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game80.582.678.0
Allowed / game69.367.171.9
Point differential+11.1+15.5+6.1
Avg total149.8149.8149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion1413193%86.180.7+5.4
2 Puente Alto1311285%77.272.4+4.8
3 Leones Quilpue1510567%80.569.3+11.1
4 Ancud159660%77.979.9-2.0
5 CD Puerto Varas158753%78.573.1+5.4
6 Sportiva Italiana158753%76.378.6-2.3
7 Espanol Osorno146843%81.475.9+5.5
8 Colo Colo135838%76.775.9+0.8
9 Catolica103730%67.473.1-5.7
10 Las Animas103730%73.884.3-10.5
11 Espanol de Talca101910%69.183.9-14.8
12 Valdivia100100%75.385.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion1715151158
Leones Quilpue2314111159
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