Ancud will host U. De Concepción on 13 November 2026 in the LNB, and the Pythia model names U. De Concepción the clear favourite, rating them 79% to win because of a 38-8 record, 93.0 points per game and only 78.0 allowed, the best in the league, while Ancud sits 10th with a 15-28 record, 80.3 points per game and 83.7 allowed; the model also notes that Ancud has lost its last five games, including two straight defeats to U. De Concepción (69-91 and 80-89) and a 81-91 loss to Leones Quilpue, whereas U. De Concepción is undefeated in its last five, all at home, and has beaten Ancud twice already this season (91-69 and 89-80). In the ten meetings between the sides, U. De Concepción has won eight, with the most recent being the 91-69 victory on 5 November. Pythia projects a 80-89 score, 168.6 total points, a 5.5-point line that the home team covers with 36% probability, a 168.5 total with a 50% over probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The last encounter saw U.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (43) | 80.3 | 83.7 | 164.0 | -3.3 | 35% |
| Season at home (20) | 82.5 | 82.4 | 164.9 | +0.0 | 45% |
| Season away (23) | 78.5 | 84.8 | 163.3 | -6.3 | 26% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.7 | 85.5 | 164.2 | -6.8 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.2 | 86.8 | 166.0 | -7.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 79.6 | 87.4 | 166.9 | -7.8 | 21% |
| vs Similar (14) | 79.6 | 79.4 | 159.0 | +0.1 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 77.5 | 73.5 | 151.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (46) | 93.0 | 78.0 | 171.0 | +15.0 | 83% |
| Season at home (25) | 98.0 | 75.7 | 173.7 | +22.2 | 92% |
| Season away (21) | 87.1 | 80.7 | 167.8 | +6.5 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.0 | 79.4 | 165.4 | +6.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.6 | 73.4 | 165.0 | +18.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (2) | 88.0 | 88.5 | 176.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 90.4 | 78.2 | 168.6 | +12.1 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 41.3 | 80.1 | -2.4 | 37% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.9 | 41.1 | 80.0 | -2.1 | 43% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.8 | 41.4 | 80.2 | -2.6 | 31% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 42.8 | 81.6 | -4.0 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 42.0 | 79.4 | -4.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 38.7 | 44.9 | 83.6 | -6.1 | 21% | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 38.6 | 38.1 | 76.8 | +0.5 | 50% | 14% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 41.5 | 38.0 | 79.5 | +3.5 | 50% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 43.9 | 41.1 | 85.0 | +2.9 | 55% | 48% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.9 | 38.3 | 85.2 | +8.6 | 75% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.3 | 44.5 | 84.8 | -4.2 | 31% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.4 | 41.1 | 81.5 | -0.7 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 36.8 | 79.6 | +6.0 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (2) | 38.5 | 46.5 | 85.0 | -8.0 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 44.3 | 40.7 | 85.0 | +3.7 | 56% | 48% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. De Concepcion over 82 | 76.4% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +27.4pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 81 | 79.4% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +26.8pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 78.5 | 85.1% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +24.0pp | Lost |
| Over 158.5 | 72.7% | 1.80 | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Lost |
| Over 159 | 72.1% | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Lost |
| Over 158 | 74.2% | 1.70 | 1.70 | - | - | - | - | +22.9pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 77.5 | 87.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +22.8pp | Lost |
| Over 159.5 | 70.6% | 1.82 | 1.82 | - | - | - | - | +22.6pp | Lost |
| Over 157.5 | 74.7% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Lost |
| Over 156.5 | 76.6% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +22.0pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion +3.5 | 85.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +21.9pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion -3.5 | 71.0% | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.39 | - | +21.0pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 83 | 73.1% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion -1.5 | 77.3% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +20.4pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 79.5 | 82.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +18.8pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion +1.5 | 81.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion over 80.5 | 80.0% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +16.0pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion -2.5 | 73.8% | 1.56 | 1.80 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Lost |
| Ancud under 86.5 | 75.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Ancud over 73.5 | 72.2% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Ancud over 72.5 | 75.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion over 81.5 | 77.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 83.5 | 70.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 82.5 | 74.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion (regulation) | 77.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| U. De Concepcion win | 79.4% | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.25 | +6.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Ancud under 85.5 | 72.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.3 | 17.5 | 52.2% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.3 | 8.8 | 31.9% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.1 | 13.0 | 71.0% | 13.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.4 | 18.8 | 52.2% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.2 | 9.7 | 31.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.3 | 16.4 | 71.0% | 16.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 91-69 |
| 05/11/26 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 89-80 |
| 22/10/26 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 95-78 |
| 15/10/26 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 91-73 |
| 31/10/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 67-79 |
| 29/10/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 79-70 |
| 19/10/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 63-77 |
| 03/10/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 75-84 |
| 14/09/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 73-82 |
| 29/03/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 99-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 69-91 |
| 05/11/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 80-89 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 81-91 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 92-95 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 74-68 |
| 22/10/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 78-95 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 70-78 |
| 15/10/26 | H | U. De Concepcion | 91-73 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 77-90 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 75-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Ancud | 91-69 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Ancud | 89-80 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Valdivia | 91-76 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 98-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 89-64 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ancud | 95-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Ancud | 73-91 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 75-89 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 85-101 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 74-68 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 35% |
| Home | WWLLL | 45% |
| Away | LLWLL | 26% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 43 | 20 | 23 |
| Win % | 35% | 45% | 26% |
| Points / game | 80.3 | 82.5 | 78.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.7 | 82.4 | 84.8 |
| Point differential | -3.3 | +0.1 | -6.3 |
| Avg total | 164.0 | 164.8 | 163.3 |
| Over 167.5 | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (12) | 20% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 83% |
| Home | WWWWW | 92% |
| Away | WWLLL | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 46 | 25 | 21 |
| Win % | 83% | 92% | 71% |
| Points / game | 93.0 | 98.0 | 87.1 |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 75.7 | 80.7 |
| Point differential | +15.0 | +22.2 | +6.5 |
| Avg total | 171.0 | 173.7 | 167.8 |
| Over 167.5 | 57% | 68% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 59% | 76% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (6) | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 83% | 93.0 | 78.0 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 79% | 83.1 | 75.4 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 79% | 86.5 | 74.9 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52% | 81.2 | 80.5 | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 49% | 78.1 | 78.3 | -0.2 | |
| 7 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 44% | 78.5 | 81.0 | -2.6 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 9 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.2 | -4.5 | |
| 10 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 35% | 80.3 | 83.7 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 18 | 12 | 23 | 76 | |
| 15 | 21 | 17 | 24 | 77 |
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