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Angola vs Mali Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-74
21-21 22-20 22-17 23-16
Position#23
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.2
Angola 🏆
vs
Position#25
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game71.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda
Other2027
Meetings · Angola v Mali
05 Jul 2026
ANGO88
MALI74
26 Aug 2013
ANGO82
MALI36
05 Aug 2009
ANGO79
MALI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Angola winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mali winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AngolaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H25/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H29/08
World Cup
China
#20
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H31/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
78-101
78
101
-23
H02/09
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Mali
#25
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A01/03
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H04/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-20
17-18
10-20
12-19
24-14
20-19
24-18
11-20
21-17
18-12
17-26
27-24
18-21
14-24
17-14
16-30
23-23
18-20
21-28
27-13
18-14
28-19
17-22
25-16
21-22
16-20
21-14
20-19
24-27
18-19
17-15
19-14
23-21
31-11
22-16
23-24
19-12
21-24
10-19
155.9Avg total
78.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.072.2156.2+11.860%
Season at home (2)81.573.5155.0+8.050%
Season away (3)85.771.3157.0+14.367%
Last 10 (10)78.877.1155.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)84.072.2156.2+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.693.4167.0-19.80%
vs Similar (9)68.469.6138.0-1.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.164.9143.9+14.281%
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
19-21
25-19
15-17
15-16
24-14
16-23
15-19
17-12
16-18
14-19
17-9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
23-17
22-31
24-13
15-12
19-20
27-24
19-18
15-17
21-19
22-16
15-11
20-24
18-11
21-14
21-18
22-16
121.4Avg total
62.0Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.071.6153.6+10.4100%
Season at home (3)82.771.7154.3+11.0100%
Season away (2)81.071.5152.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)62.059.4121.4+2.670%
Last 5 (5)82.071.6153.6+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)56.971.0127.9-14.112%
vs Similar (5)80.472.2152.6+8.2100%
vs Weaker (8)69.264.1133.4+5.162%
This opponent (Angola) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
AngolaMali
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AngolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A27/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/08
World Cup
China
#20
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/09
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A28/02
World Cup
Mali
#25
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/03
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/07
World Cup
80.4Avg total
41.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.873.3+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.237.776.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.733.969.7+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.380.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.480.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.051.285.2-17.20%-
vs Similar (9)34.431.365.8+3.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.233.673.8+6.775%-
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A28/11
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/07
World Cup
75.4Avg total
40.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.936.068.9-3.032%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.936.068.9-3.136%-
Last 30 away (14)32.935.968.9-3.029%-
Last 10 (8)40.934.575.4+6.488%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.281.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.537.465.9-8.912%-
vs Similar (5)36.432.669.0+3.860%-
vs Weaker (7)40.635.175.7+5.457%-
This opponent (Angola) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Angola wins
1
Mali wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Mali v Angola80-79
26/08/13Angola v Mali82-36
05/08/09Angola v Mali79-74
Angolalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/26HEgypt73-79
02/07/26AUganda95-62
01/03/26AMali79-80
28/02/26AEgypt83-72
26/02/26HUganda90-68
02/09/23HSouth Sudan78-101
31/08/23HChina76-83
29/08/23HDominican Republic67-75
27/08/23APhilippines80-70
25/08/23HItaly67-81
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/26HUganda82-59
02/07/26AEgypt78-70
01/03/26HAngola80-79
28/02/26AUganda84-73
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20
01/07/22AUganda0-20
28/11/21ACape Verde64-58
27/11/21ANigeria70-72
26/11/21HUganda76-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Angola
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game84.081.585.7
Allowed / game72.273.571.3
Point differential+11.8+8.0+14.3
Avg total156.2155.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.082.781.0
Allowed / game71.671.771.5
Point differential+10.4+11.0+9.5
Avg total153.6154.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Mali550100%82.071.6+10.4
8 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
9 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
12 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
13 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
14 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
15 Senegal54180%88.068.6+19.4
16 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
17 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
18 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
23 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
24 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
25 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
30 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
31 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
32 Angola53260%84.072.2+11.8
33 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
34 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
35 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
36 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
37 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
38 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
39 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
40 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
41 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
42 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
47 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
50 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
53 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
56 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
57 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
58 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
59 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
60 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
61 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
62 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
63 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
66 D.R. Congo52340%67.081.2-14.2
67 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
87 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Angola2122222388
Mali2120171674
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