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Apoel BC vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 85-78
Projected total 163.3
Final 71-89
16-34 20-17 15-21 20-17
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.4
Vs
72%
28%
■ APO 72%■ PARA 28%
Pythia win probability
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.8
CyprusDivision ARound 6· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Apoel BC v Paralimni
13 Nov 2026
APO71
PARA89
08 Apr 2026
APO85
PARA86
21 Nov 2025
APO68
PARA88
28 Feb 2025
APO83
PARA65
12 Oct 2024
APO89
PARA71
02 Mar 2024
APO111
PARA38
02 Nov 2022
APO78
PARA71
06 Dec 2021
APO74
PARA62
22 Nov 2020
APO67
PARA38
02 Feb 2020
APO68
PARA71
28 Jan 2019
APO57
PARA65
02 Nov 2018
APO82
PARA75
25 Mar 2018
APO90
PARA83
29 Oct 2017
APO65
PARA59
14 Jan 2017
APO78
PARA73
26 Nov 2016
APO68
PARA61
28 Mar 2016
APO71
PARA53
04 Dec 2015
APO70
PARA60
07 Mar 2015
APO87
PARA67
17 Jan 2015
APO72
PARA60
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Apoel BC will host Paralimni on 13 November 2026 in Division A, with the model favouring the home side at 72% to win, 28% for the visitors. Both clubs sit at 3-2 for the season, with Apoel averaging 78.6 points and allowing 72.4, while Paralimni scores 83.8 and concedes 80.8; Apoel is 4th, Paralimni 5th in the league. Apoel's home record is 2-1, 79.0 points for and 71.7 against, and they have won three of their last five games, though they fell 73-80 to Keravnos at home on 7 November; Paralimni's road record is 1-1, 86.5 points for and 85.5 against, and they too have won three of five, with a recent 96-82 win over Achilleas K. away on 1 November. In head-to-head history, Apoel has won eight of ten meetings, but Paralimni edged them 86-85 on 8 April 2026. Pythia projects a 85-78 score for the match, totalling 163.3 points, and the home team line is -9.5 with a 40% chance of covering; the total line is 160.5 with a 56% probability of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Apoel's defence hold Paralimni to 78 points, while the visitors' offence will aim to push the total over the line.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winLost
72.5%fair 1.38
Best odds1.22
Implied76.3%
Edge-3.8pp
Paralimni winWon
27.5%fair 3.63
Best odds4.00
Implied23.7%
Edge+3.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 73
A17/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 73
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 73
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 73
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 73
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 73
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 73
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
84-62
84
62
+22
79avg 73
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H07/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-23
14-27
13-22
22-12
23-17
14-18
23-32
21-29
17-19
17-21
17-20
14-21
30-23
23-21
28-22
14-22
25-25
20-23
12-15
19-25
24-17
14-17
23-14
18-30
20-19
23-21
18-13
19-10
28-22
21-13
16-17
21-20
22-16
18-20
16-8
21-17
19-23
11-24
22-16
159.1Avg total
79.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.672.4151.0+6.260%
Season at home (3)79.071.7150.7+7.367%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.080.1159.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)78.672.4151.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.884.2160.0-8.523%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.282.0165.2+1.258%
vs Weaker (5)85.275.2160.4+10.080%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 73
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 73
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
72avg 73
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
62avg 73
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 73
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
85avg 73
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 73
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
67avg 73
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 73
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H09/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
23-30
21-17
12-21
19-15
27-30
18-26
10-19
22-31
24-19
23-24
13-25
15-15
19-22
21-20
21-19
23-24
18-26
26-15
19-20
19-16
26-19
24-18
23-26
22-20
22-22
20-24
13-23
16-18
22-30
21-15
15-22
26-30
29-15
24-20
17-17
15-17
23-7
17-23
25-22
167.7Avg total
81.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.880.8164.6+3.060%
Season at home (3)82.077.7159.7+4.367%
Season away (2)86.585.5172.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.586.2167.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)83.880.8164.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.385.3159.7-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.282.5163.8-1.233%
vs Weaker (9)89.679.2168.8+10.389%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
67.6%
Under 155.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
56.0%
@ 1.91+6.5pp
Under 160.5
44.0%
@ 1.84-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
43.9%
Under 165.5
56.1%
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Apoel BC total 81Actual: Apoel BC under 81
Over 81
66.0%
Under 81
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel BC total 85 · main lineActual: Apoel BC under 85
Over 85
50.0%
@ 1.83+0.0pp
Under 85
50.0%
@ 1.83-0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Apoel BC total 89Actual: Apoel BC under 89
Over 89
34.0%
Under 89
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paralimni total 71.5Actual: Paralimni over 71.5
Over 71.5
74.1%
Under 71.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paralimni total 75.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni over 75.5
Over 75.5
60.0%
@ 1.88+10.3pp
Under 75.5
40.0%
@ 1.82-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Paralimni total 79.5Actual: Paralimni over 79.5
Over 79.5
44.6%
Under 79.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Apoel BC -12.5Actual: Paralimni +12.5
APO -12.5
30.4%
PARA +12.5
69.6%
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
APO
No market prices yet.
PARA
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Apoel BC -9.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni +9.5
APO -9.5
40.4%
@ 1.84-9.6pp
PARA +9.5
59.6%
@ 1.85+9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
APO
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
BetVictor
1.83
PARA
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Spread Apoel BC -6.5Actual: Paralimni +6.5
APO -6.5
51.5%
@ 1.53
PARA +6.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
APO
Marathon Be
1.53
PARA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.6-4.6
Apoel BCParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/11
Division A
84.4Avg total
42.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)43.141.884.9+1.253%67%
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.784.5+3.060%60%
Last 30 away (15)42.442.985.3-0.547%73%
Last 10 (10)42.741.784.4+1.040%60%
Last 5 (5)42.239.882.0+2.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.444.284.6-3.823%69%
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.940.684.5+3.367%67%
vs Weaker (5)48.038.686.6+9.4100%60%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H21/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H09/11
Division A
86.3Avg total
42.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)41.940.682.5+1.353%60%
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.681.2-0.150%56%
Last 30 away (14)43.440.684.0+2.957%64%
Last 10 (10)42.843.586.3-0.750%70%
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.280%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.644.384.9-3.844%67%
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.839.480.2+1.450%67%
vs Weaker (9)44.738.483.1+6.267%44%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Paralimni win
APO win
no forecast
@ 1.36
PARA win
no forecast
@ 3.00
1st half Spread Apoel BC -4.5 · main lineActual: Paralimni +4.5
APO -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
PARA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 80 · main lineActual: Over 80
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Apoel BC 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Apoel BC under 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Paralimni 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Paralimni over 38
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Paralimni (regulation)
APO
no forecast
@ 1.40
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
PARA
no forecast
@ 3.10

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Apoel BC win72.5%1.21
1xBet
1.22
WilliamHill
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
--3.8ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.9%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.4%
34.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
72.9%18.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apoel BC
LWWLWLWLWL
Paralimni
WWLLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#4
-3.1
Net rating
-6.3
93.6
Offensive rating
93.4
96.6
Defensive rating
99.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.0%
3-point %
28.4%
65.3%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 93.4Defence96.6 · 99.8Shooting52.8% · 48.8%3-point %34.0% · 28.4%Ball care13.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Apoel BC   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Apoel BC wins
2
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Apoel BC v Paralimni85-86
07/02/26Paralimni v Apoel BC96-99
21/11/25Apoel BC v Paralimni68-88
28/02/25Apoel BC v Paralimni83-65
11/02/25Paralimni v Apoel BC66-80
12/10/24Apoel BC v Paralimni89-71
02/03/24Apoel BC v Paralimni111-38
08/12/23Paralimni v Apoel BC68-92
22/01/23Paralimni v Apoel BC81-82
02/11/22Apoel BC v Paralimni78-71
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HKeravnos73-80
02/11/26AApollon77-64
23/10/26HAchilleas K.84-62
18/10/26AAEK Larnaca79-83
12/10/26HAEL80-73
01/05/26AAEK Larnaca71-85
28/04/26HAEK Larnaca95-87
24/04/26AAEK Larnaca72-89
21/04/26HAEK Larnaca82-79
17/04/26AAEK Larnaca77-99
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HApollon80-69
01/11/26AAchilleas K.96-82
24/10/26HAEK Larnaca74-85
17/10/26AAEL77-89
11/10/26HAnorthosis92-79
08/04/26AApoel BC86-85
05/04/26HApollon80-87 OT
31/03/26AAEL82-99
26/03/26HAEK Larnaca74-90
21/03/26HKeravnos74-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.679.078.0
Allowed / game72.471.773.5
Point differential+6.2+7.3+4.5
Avg total151.0150.7151.5
Over 160.520%0%50%
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.882.086.5
Allowed / game80.877.785.5
Point differential+3.0+4.3+1.0
Avg total164.6159.7172.0
Over 160.560%33%100%
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Apoel BC53260%78.672.4+6.2
5 Paralimni53260%83.880.8+3.0
6 ETHA Engomi53260%73.473.6-0.2
7 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
8 Apollon51420%70.885.0-14.2
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apoel BC1620152071
Paralimni3417211789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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