AEK Larnaca vs Apoel BC Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	87.7	72.8	160.5	+14.8	92%
Season at home (13)	87.8	70.7	158.5	+17.2	100%
Season away (12)	87.5	75.2	162.7	+12.3	83%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	76.7	162.9	+9.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	75.4	162.0	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.8	89.2	165.0	-13.5	25%
vs Similar (4)	87.8	74.5	162.2	+13.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	88.5	73.0	161.5	+15.6	95%

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apoel BC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

99-96

A07/02

Division A

Anorthosis

94-71

+23

H13/02

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

90-80

+10

A06/03

Division A

AEL

64-78

-14

A21/03

Division A

Keravnos

84-94

-10

A26/03

Division A

Apollon

84-75

H01/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

75-80

-5

H05/04

Division A

Paralimni

85-86

-1

H08/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

77-99

-22

A17/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

82-79

H21/04

Division A

16-25

32-19

20-30

31-22

21-24

25-13

25-17

23-17

22-18

29-19

24-22

15-21

18-23

12-14

20-25

14-16

18-24

31-26

21-16

14-28

19-19

24-17

15-22

26-17

30-18

16-23

18-23

11-16

24-23

26-18

15-26

20-19

25-27

25-23

14-27

13-22

22-12

23-17

14-18

23-32

167.2Avg total

83.4Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	80.1	83.5	163.6	-3.4	48%
Season at home (13)	79.6	83.4	163.0	-3.8	46%
Season away (12)	80.6	83.7	164.2	-3.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	83.8	167.2	-0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	83.8	164.4	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	75.4	87.0	162.4	-11.6	18%
vs Similar (14)	82.9	82.3	165.1	+0.6	57%
vs Weaker (5)	85.0	79.4	164.4	+5.6	80%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApoel BC

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.9	42.3	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.9	41.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.8	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	21.7	43.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.5	18%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.1	39.6	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.0	20.5	47.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.7	41.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.9	43.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Achilleas K.

#10

48-40

A06/02

Division A

Apollon

49-34

+15

H13/02

Division A

Keravnos

39-34

A08/03

Division A

Apollon

59-43

+16

H20/03

Division A

Paralimni

45-46

-1

A26/03

Division A

Keravnos

57-35

+22

H01/04

Division A

Apoel BC

41-46

-5

A05/04

Division A

AEL

34-39

-5

H08/04

Division A

Apoel BC

50-50

H17/04

Division A

Apoel BC

29-45

-16

A21/04

Division A

86.3Avg total

45.1Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	38.5	82.7	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	37.1	82.6	+8.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	39.9	82.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	41.2	86.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.0	85.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	42.0	75.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	50.0	39.8	89.8	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.1	37.6	82.8	+7.5	73%	-

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

48-44

A07/02

Division A

Anorthosis

46-37

H13/02

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

51-37

+14

A06/03

Division A

AEL

30-37

-7

A21/03

Division A

Keravnos

49-50

-1

A26/03

Division A

Apollon

43-36

H01/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

46-41

H05/04

Division A

Paralimni

50-41

H08/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

50-50

A17/04

Division A

AEK Larnaca

45-29

+16

H21/04

Division A

86.0Avg total

45.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.5	85.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	42.1	84.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	42.9	86.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	40.2	86.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	39.4	86.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	41.2	45.7	86.9	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.4	40.8	84.1	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	40.0	84.6	+4.6	60%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.6	40.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	18.7	41.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	18.0	40.6	+4.5	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.1	39.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.3	38.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	23.2	38.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	19.5	36.9	-2.0	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.7	37.9	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	24.5	45.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.9	17.3	38.1	+3.6	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.7	21.8	38.5	-5.1	9%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	36.8	79.3	+5.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	35.3	78.3	+7.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	38.4	80.3	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	35.5	76.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	32.4	76.8	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	47.2	89.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.8	34.8	72.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.4	35.3	78.7	+8.1	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	41.1	78.8	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	40.3	77.3	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	41.9	80.2	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	43.6	81.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	44.4	78.2	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.2	41.3	75.5	-7.1	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	39.4	79.8	+1.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	21.3	56.8%	51.5%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.6	33.9%	32.9%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.4	68.3%	71.5%	11.4

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	20.9	55.0%	51.5%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.9	35.7%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.6%	71.5%	11.9

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.6	52.4%	51.5%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	7.9	34.1%	32.9%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.3	71.1%	71.5%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	22.0	56.0%	51.5%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.4	30.8%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.4	70.2%	71.5%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.3	54.4%	51.5%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	10.3	35.4%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.1	73.2%	71.5%	12.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.1	50.7%	51.5%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.5	37.6%	32.9%	31.6
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.1	72.7%	71.5%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	17.4	49.8%	51.5%	34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.6	35.6%	32.9%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.7	72.0%	71.5%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.5	53.5%	51.5%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.3	33.4%	32.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.4	69.2%	71.5%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Larnaca

LWWWWWWLWW

Apoel BC

WLLLWLLWWW

League position

+11.4

Net rating

-0.2

102.2

Offensive rating

97.8

90.7

Defensive rating

98.0

54.1%

Effective FG%

54.4%

51.9%

Opp. effective FG%

52.0%

11.8%

Turnover %

12.1%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.25

33.9%

3-point %

35.7%

68.3%

Assist %

56.2%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ AEK Larnaca ■ Apoel BC

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apoel BC wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/26	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	82-79
17/04/26	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	99-77
05/04/26	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	75-80
05/01/26	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	80-54
19/10/25	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	61-96
22/03/25	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	69-91
08/01/25	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	57-67
03/11/24	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	80-61
08/05/24	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	88-74
30/04/24	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	85-86

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/26	A	Apoel BC	79-82
17/04/26	H	Apoel BC	99-77
08/04/26	H	AEL	78-71
05/04/26	A	Apoel BC	80-75
01/04/26	H	Keravnos	97-72
26/03/26	A	Paralimni	90-74
20/03/26	H	Apollon	91-77
08/03/26	A	Keravnos	71-75
13/02/26	H	Apollon	85-74
06/02/26	A	Achilleas K.	92-90

Apoel BClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/26	H	AEK Larnaca	82-79
17/04/26	A	AEK Larnaca	77-99
08/04/26	H	Paralimni	85-86
05/04/26	H	AEK Larnaca	75-80
01/04/26	H	Apollon	84-75
26/03/26	A	Keravnos	84-94
21/03/26	A	AEL	64-78
06/03/26	A	Achilleas K.	90-80
13/02/26	H	Anorthosis	94-71
07/02/26	A	Paralimni	99-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWL	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	87.7	87.8	87.5
Allowed / game	72.8	70.7	75.2
Point differential	+14.8	+17.2	+12.3
Avg total	160.5	158.5	162.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	77%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Apoel BC

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	48%
Home	WWLLW	46%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	48%	46%	50%
Points / game	80.1	79.6	80.6
Allowed / game	83.5	83.4	83.7
Point differential	-3.4	-3.8	-3.1
Avg total	163.6	163.0	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	8%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	50% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	25	23	2	92%	87.7	72.8	+14.8
2	Keravnos	25	22	3	88%	89.6	73.7	+15.8
3	AEL	25	16	9	64%	81.3	80.3	+1.0
4	Apoel BC	25	12	13	48%	80.1	83.5	-3.4
5	Paralimni	23	9	14	39%	82.1	83.0	-0.9
6	Apollon	23	9	14	39%	83.1	86.1	-3.0
7	Anorthosis	18	7	11	39%	75.1	79.2	-4.2
8	Morphou	18	6	12	33%	78.1	85.4	-7.3
9	ETHA Engomi	18	3	15	17%	82.3	94.0	-11.7
10	Achilleas K.	18	2	16	11%	71.8	82.8	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	29	19	21	20	89
Apoel BC	21	17	17	17	72

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apoel BC Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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