Apollon vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 70-77

22-13 18-21 15-18 15-25

Position#5

Record11-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game75.6

Apollon

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Position#1

Record18-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game67.9

Division ADivision A - Semi-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Apollon v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apollon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

98-92

A19/02

Division A

Keravnos

64-81

-17

A27/02

Division A

Apoel BC

65-82

-17

A06/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

62-80

-18

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

67-76

-9

H15/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

65-88

-23

A19/03

Division A

Keravnos

57-65

-8

H25/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

81-68

+13

H28/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

91-74

+17

A30/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

76-83

-7

A05/04

Division A

28-14

20-20

16-23

34-35

10-24

14-16

18-23

22-18

19-31

18-13

13-20

15-18

18-16

15-13

18-26

11-25

14-16

17-30

19-14

17-16

14-33

17-16

16-19

18-20

8-22

9-20

25-8

15-15

15-20

22-17

21-15

23-16

20-17

25-21

23-25

23-11

15-25

19-9

21-20

21-29

151.5Avg total

72.6Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.0	75.6	151.5	+0.4	48%
Season at home (11)	74.8	72.3	147.1	+2.5	45%
Season away (12)	77.0	78.6	155.6	-1.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	78.9	151.5	-6.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	75.6	149.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	71.2	80.8	152.0	-9.6	32%
vs Similar (4)	85.2	75.2	160.5	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker (4)	67.5	55.8	123.2	+11.8	75%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

60-83

-23

A17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Keravnos

62-57

A21/02

Division A

Frankfurt

44-56

-12

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

87-81

H29/02

Division A

Keravnos

59-48

+11

H06/03

Division A

Apollon

80-62

+18

A11/03

Division A

Keravnos

72-81

-9

A16/03

Division A

Apollon

88-65

+23

H19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

90-70

+20

A25/03

Division A

Apollon

83-76

H05/04

Division A

10-20

14-23

19-17

17-23

17-15

10-11

17-18

18-13

12-12

8-15

9-8

15-21

39-23

9-17

17-21

22-20

17-10

10-11

23-20

9-7

16-18

13-15

26-18

25-11

15-27

19-21

10-12

28-21

33-14

16-17

19-16

20-18

22-12

21-26

26-13

21-19

25-15

9-19

20-21

29-21

140.4Avg total

72.5Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.2	67.9	146.0	+10.3	86%
Season at home (11)	76.7	67.3	144.0	+9.5	91%
Season away (10)	79.8	68.5	148.3	+11.3	80%
Last 10 (10)	72.5	67.9	140.4	+4.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	70.8	153.4	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	65.2	73.2	138.5	-8.0	25%
vs Similar (3)	73.0	74.0	147.0	-1.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	78.8	66.3	145.1	+12.5	91%

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ApollonAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	21.1	38.3	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	21.8	37.9	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	23.4	37.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.2	21.9	38.1	-5.6	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	15.7	40.0	+8.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	15.7	37.4	+6.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	17.2	34.8	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.7	18.0	32.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.8	16.1	37.9	+5.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.1	17.4	34.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.9	17.5	30.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+1.0	52%	-

ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

48-34

+14

A19/02

Division A

Keravnos

24-40

-16

A27/02

Division A

Apoel BC

37-44

-7

A06/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

33-29

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

31-46

-15

H15/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

31-49

-18

A19/03

Division A

Keravnos

17-42

-25

H25/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

37-37

H28/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

45-38

A30/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

34-34

A05/04

Division A

73.0Avg total

33.7Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.6	41.1	76.8	-5.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	38.5	74.0	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	39.3	73.0	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	40.0	72.8	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	33.6	40.8	74.5	-7.2	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	45.0	34.7	79.7	+10.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankfurt

24-43

-19

A17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Keravnos

27-26

A21/02

Division A

Frankfurt

20-27

-7

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

48-40

H29/02

Division A

Keravnos

27-21

H06/03

Division A

Apollon

29-33

-4

A11/03

Division A

Keravnos

34-48

-14

A16/03

Division A

Apollon

49-31

+18

H19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

43-38

A25/03

Division A

Apollon

34-34

H05/04

Division A

67.6Avg total

33.5Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.5	33.9	71.3	+3.6	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.3	31.7	69.0	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	35.7	73.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	34.1	67.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	29.7	39.7	69.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	81%	-

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	16.8	34.4	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.3	35.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.8	13.5	27.2	+0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	14.7	35.0	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.1	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.5	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	17.9	39.5	+3.8	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.0	38.9	75.8	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	35.9	72.1	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	41.8	79.6	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	39.6	78.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.6	76.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.5	38.5	74.0	-3.0	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	43.7	85.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	36.7	79.7	+6.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.7	34.8	73.5	+3.9	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.4	34.4	71.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	35.2	75.0	+4.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.8	72.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	34.0	78.8	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.0	35.5	65.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.3	34.3	77.7	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.7	34.8	74.4	+4.9	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apollon wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
05/04/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	83-76
19/03/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	88-65
11/03/16	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	62-80
02/01/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	76-63
13/11/15	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	89-78 OT
07/03/15	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	110-49
18/01/15	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	89-68
03/12/14	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	84-78
26/02/14	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	71-81
22/02/14	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	76-68

Apollonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/16	A	AEK Larnaca	76-83
30/03/16	A	ETHA Engomi	91-74
28/03/16	H	ETHA Engomi	81-68
25/03/16	H	Keravnos	57-65
19/03/16	A	AEK Larnaca	65-88
15/03/16	H	Apoel BC	67-76
11/03/16	H	AEK Larnaca	62-80
06/03/16	A	Apoel BC	65-82
27/02/16	A	Keravnos	64-81
19/02/16	A	Paralimni	98-92

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/16	H	Apollon	83-76
25/03/16	A	Apoel BC	90-70
19/03/16	H	Apollon	88-65
16/03/16	A	Keravnos	72-81
11/03/16	A	Apollon	80-62
06/03/16	H	Keravnos	59-48
29/02/16	H	Apoel BC	87-81
24/02/16	H	Frankfurt	44-56
21/02/16	A	Keravnos	62-57
17/02/16	A	Frankfurt	60-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apollon

Division A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	48%
Home	LLLLW	45%
Away	LLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	45%	50%
Points / game	76.0	74.8	77.0
Allowed / game	75.6	72.3	78.6
Point differential	+0.4	+2.5	-1.6
Avg total	151.5	147.1	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	27%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	9%	8%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	86%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	86%	91%	80%
Points / game	78.2	76.7	79.8
Allowed / game	67.9	67.3	68.5
Point differential	+10.3	+9.5	+11.3
Avg total	146.0	144.0	148.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	55%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	21	18	3	86%	78.2	67.9	+10.3
2	Keravnos	21	16	5	76%	71.0	63.2	+7.8
3	Apoel BC	23	15	8	65%	73.7	67.4	+6.3
4	ETHA Engomi	22	14	8	64%	86.5	81.2	+5.3
5	Apollon	23	11	12	48%	76.0	75.6	+0.4
6	Omonia	22	7	15	32%	79.0	81.7	-2.7
7	Paralimni	22	7	15	32%	71.0	76.2	-5.3
8	Anagennisi Germasogias	22	0	22	0%	70.2	91.8	-21.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apollon	22	18	15	15	70
AEK Larnaca	13	21	18	25	77

← all games of the day

Apollon vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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