AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 88-65

33-14 16-17 19-16 20-18

Position#1

Record15-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game67.4

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Apollon

Position#5

Record9-9

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game75.6

Division ARound 5

Other2015-16

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apollon winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Anagennisi Germasogias

91-55

+36

A30/01

Division A

Minsk

84-86

-2

A03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

ETHA Engomi

87-82

H07/02

Division A

Frankfurt

60-83

-23

A17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Keravnos

62-57

A21/02

Division A

Frankfurt

44-56

-12

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

87-81

H29/02

Division A

Keravnos

59-48

+11

H06/03

Division A

Apollon

80-62

+18

A11/03

Division A

Keravnos

72-81

-9

A16/03

Division A

34-10

13-11

22-22

22-12

19-22

29-24

13-18

23-22

22-20

20-18

17-25

28-19

10-20

14-23

19-17

17-23

17-15

10-11

17-18

18-13

12-12

8-15

9-8

15-21

39-23

9-17

17-21

22-20

17-10

10-11

23-20

9-7

16-18

13-15

26-18

25-11

15-27

19-21

10-12

28-21

141.7Avg total

72.6Scored

69.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.7	67.4	144.2	+9.3	83%
Season at home (9)	74.8	66.6	141.3	+8.2	89%
Season away (9)	78.7	68.3	147.0	+10.3	78%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	69.1	141.7	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	65.6	134.0	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	65.2	73.2	138.5	-8.0	25%
vs Similar (3)	73.0	74.0	147.0	-1.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	77.4	68.0	145.3	+9.4	83%

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apollon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

74-76

-2

H08/01

Division A

Omonia

82-66

+16

A17/01

Division A

Anagennisi Germasogias

91-64

+27

H24/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

85-91 OT

-6

A30/01

Division A

Keravnos

55-57

-2

H05/02

Division A

Paralimni

98-92

A19/02

Division A

Keravnos

64-81

-17

A27/02

Division A

Apoel BC

65-82

-17

A06/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

62-80

-18

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

67-76

-9

H15/03

Division A

24-28

28-18

13-12

9-18

–

29-21

19-15

22-10

21-18

19-25

18-20

19-20

17-8

18-17

8-9

17-15

12-16

28-14

20-20

16-23

34-35

10-24

14-16

18-23

22-18

19-31

18-13

13-20

15-18

18-16

15-13

18-26

11-25

14-16

17-30

19-14

17-16

150.8Avg total

74.3Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.5	75.6	152.1	+0.9	50%
Season at home (9)	76.1	73.6	149.7	+2.6	44%
Season away (9)	76.9	77.6	154.4	-0.7	56%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	76.5	150.8	-2.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	82.2	153.4	-11.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	70.6	82.3	152.9	-11.7	30%
vs Similar (4)	85.2	75.2	160.5	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker (6)	61.0	46.3	107.3	+14.7	83%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApollon

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	16.5	36.2	+3.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	17.2	34.8	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.7	18.0	32.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.2	21.7	39.0	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	15.7	40.0	+8.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	17.0	35.0	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	16.2	33.6	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	16.6	31.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.8	15.8	27.6	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	17.1	34.6	+0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	15.2	33.0	+2.5	100%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Anagennisi Germasogias

47-21

+26

A30/01

Division A

Minsk

48-46

A03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

ETHA Engomi

42-38

H07/02

Division A

Frankfurt

24-43

-19

A17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Keravnos

27-26

A21/02

Division A

Frankfurt

20-27

-7

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

48-40

H29/02

Division A

Keravnos

27-21

H06/03

Division A

Apollon

29-33

-4

A11/03

Division A

Keravnos

34-48

-14

A16/03

Division A

68.9Avg total

34.6Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.3	34.0	71.2	+3.3	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.1	32.7	69.8	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	35.1	72.5	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	34.3	68.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	33.8	65.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	29.7	39.7	69.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.8	32.4	71.2	+6.3	81%	-

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

52-46

H08/01

Division A

Anagennisi Germasogias

48-36

+12

H24/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

37-45

-8

A30/01

Division A

Keravnos

26-26

H05/02

Division A

Paralimni

48-34

+14

A19/02

Division A

Keravnos

24-40

-16

A27/02

Division A

Apoel BC

37-44

-7

A06/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

33-29

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

31-46

-15

H15/03

Division A

75.8Avg total

37.3Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	36.2	39.7	75.9	-3.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	40.3	77.2	-3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	39.0	74.5	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.3	38.4	75.8	-1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.6	41.3	75.9	-6.6	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	45.0	34.7	79.7	+10.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.5	35.2	72.8	+2.2	50%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.2	17.2	34.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.3	16.8	34.1	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.8	13.5	27.2	+0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	14.7	35.0	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	20.1	37.8	-2.5	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	16.2	39.8	+7.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.1	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.1	36.8	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.6	17.2	37.9	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	21.2	39.2	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.1	19.2	35.3	-3.1	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.1	34.8	70.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	35.9	74.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	34.8	72.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	31.8	68.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.0	35.5	65.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.3	34.3	77.7	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.0	35.5	73.5	+2.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	36.1	39.1	75.2	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	36.5	73.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.3	41.8	77.2	-6.5	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.8	37.2	72.0	-2.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.6	80.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.8	39.4	73.1	-5.6	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	43.7	85.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	34.2	78.2	+9.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apollon wins

Date	Game	Score
11/03/16	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	62-80
02/01/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	76-63
13/11/15	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	89-78 OT
07/03/15	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	110-49
18/01/15	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	89-68
03/12/14	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	84-78
26/02/14	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	71-81
22/02/14	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	76-68
19/02/14	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	92-83
15/02/14	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	68-61

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/16	A	Keravnos	72-81
11/03/16	A	Apollon	80-62
06/03/16	H	Keravnos	59-48
29/02/16	H	Apoel BC	87-81
24/02/16	H	Frankfurt	44-56
21/02/16	A	Keravnos	62-57
17/02/16	A	Frankfurt	60-83
07/02/16	H	ETHA Engomi	87-82
03/02/16	A	Minsk	84-86
30/01/16	A	Anagennisi Germasogias	91-55

Apollonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/16	H	Apoel BC	67-76
11/03/16	H	AEK Larnaca	62-80
06/03/16	A	Apoel BC	65-82
27/02/16	A	Keravnos	64-81
19/02/16	A	Paralimni	98-92
05/02/16	H	Keravnos	55-57
30/01/16	A	ETHA Engomi	85-91 OT
24/01/16	H	Anagennisi Germasogias	91-64
17/01/16	A	Omonia	82-66
08/01/16	H	Apoel BC	74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	83%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	83%	89%	78%
Points / game	76.7	74.8	78.7
Allowed / game	67.4	66.6	68.3
Point differential	+9.3	+8.2	+10.3
Avg total	144.2	141.3	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	56%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Apollon

Division A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	50%
Home	LWLLL	44%
Away	WLWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	44%	56%
Points / game	76.5	76.1	76.9
Allowed / game	75.6	73.6	77.6
Point differential	+0.9	+2.6	-0.7
Avg total	152.1	149.7	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	22%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	11%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	18	15	3	83%	76.7	67.4	+9.3
2	Keravnos	18	14	4	78%	72.2	63.6	+8.6
3	ETHA Engomi	18	12	6	67%	87.6	81.0	+6.6
4	Apoel BC	18	12	6	67%	75.2	69.6	+5.6
5	Apollon	18	9	9	50%	76.5	75.6	+0.9
6	Paralimni	18	6	12	33%	73.7	77.1	-3.4
7	Omonia	18	4	14	22%	76.6	81.9	-5.3
8	Anagennisi Germasogias	18	0	18	0%	69.9	92.2	-22.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	33	16	19	20	88
Apollon	14	17	16	18	65

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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