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Apolonia Fier vs Skenderbeu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 74-76 (OT)
19-20 14-11 21-16 10-17 10-12
Position#4
Record9-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game74.5
Apolonia Fier
Albania
vs
Skenderbeu 🏆
Albania
Position#7
Record5-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game85.6
AlbaniaSuperliga
Other2025-26
Meetings · Apolonia Fier v Skenderbeu
15 Apr 2026
APOL84
SKEN76
18 Jan 2026
APOL74
SKEN76
15 Dec 2023
APOL111
SKEN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apolonia Fier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Skenderbeu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apolonia FierAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFier
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
69avg 89
H13/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
85-61
85
61
+24
128avg 89
A18/10
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
98-57
98
57
+41
83avg 89
H25/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
75avg 89
A03/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
99-71
99
71
+28
102avg 89
A09/11
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 89
H15/11
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 89
A05/12
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
100-67
100
67
+33
86avg 89
H14/12
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
120-59
120
59
+61
124avg 89
A21/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
88-100
88
100
-12
74avg 89
A11/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-21
26-12
27-22
19-16
19-16
21-16
26-13
5-1
44-27
19-13
30-16
14-27
27-21
29-24
22-16
14-19
21-18
28-17
36-17
25-23
12-27
24-16
22-21
23-26
31-15
24-17
33-22
18-18
22-21
27-10
33-18
33-18
30-12
40-11
17-18
19-19
19-18
16-38
34-25
171.8Avg total
96.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.274.5169.7+20.682%
Season at home (4)92.873.2166.0+19.575%
Season away (7)96.675.3171.9+21.386%
Last 10 (10)96.675.2171.8+21.480%
Last 5 (5)100.478.6179.0+21.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.893.4177.1-9.625%
vs Similar (12)80.882.3163.1-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)99.973.1173.0+26.890%
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 80
A11/10
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
49avg 80
A18/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
122-93
122
93
+29
120avg 80
H26/10
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
111-66
111
66
+45
105avg 80
A01/11
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
106-83
106
83
+23
97avg 80
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
46avg 80
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
71avg 80
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
61avg 80
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 80
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
100avg 80
H10/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
24-16
22-29
24-19
15-25
19-24
17-18
16-27
33-20
29-19
30-29
30-25
20-10
29-14
32-18
30-24
27-21
35-13
22-24
22-25
19-32
13-32
17-23
15-28
34-20
11-29
18-16
18-17
17-27
24-21
23-21
13-25
24-25
23-25
24-21
10-14
29-9
20-27
30-18
21-19
175.7Avg total
89.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.685.6173.3+2.045%
Season at home (5)94.684.8179.4+9.860%
Season away (6)81.886.3168.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)89.686.1175.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)80.689.8170.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)64.5105.1169.6-40.70%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (5)105.278.2183.4+27.0100%
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +9.2+9.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +9.2+9.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Apolonia FierSkenderbeu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apolonia FierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H13/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A18/10
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H25/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/11
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H15/11
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A05/12
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/12
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A21/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/01
Superliga
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.242.082.2-1.745%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.041.279.2-3.246%-
Last 30 away (16)42.142.684.6-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.844.581.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (12)37.843.981.8-6.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.637.183.7+9.478%-
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A11/10
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A18/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H26/10
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A01/11
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
32-64
32
64
-32
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/01
Superliga
88.3Avg total
46.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.951.686.5-16.620%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.345.584.8-6.230%-
Last 30 away (15)32.055.687.6-23.613%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.188.3+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.492.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.656.786.4-27.10%-
vs Similar (1)47.050.097.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (5)52.632.284.8+20.4100%-
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apolonia Fiertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apolonia Fier: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.924.2
67.4%
56.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.211.4
43.5%
34.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.314.0
65.7%
67.8%14.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.1
55.5%
56.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.4
41.0%
34.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
67.8%14.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apolonia Fier
LWWWLWWWWW
Skenderbeu
WLLLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#7
+27.7
Net rating
+4.7
123.9
Offensive rating
121.3
96.2
Defensive rating
116.6
66.5%
Effective FG%
57.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
43.5%
3-point %
41.0%
44.9%
Assist %
36.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.9 · 121.3Defence96.2 · 116.6Shooting66.5% · 57.9%3-point %43.5% · 41.0%Ball care17.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 26.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Apolonia Fier   ■ Skenderbeu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Apolonia Fier wins
0
Skenderbeu wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Skenderbeu v Apolonia Fier68-81
11/04/24Skenderbeu v Apolonia Fier64-89
15/12/23Apolonia Fier v Skenderbeu111-75
Apolonia Fierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABeselidhja88-100
21/12/25AFieri120-59
14/12/25HPogradeci100-67
05/12/25AElbasani111-80
15/11/25HTirana83-87
09/11/25APartizani Tirana99-71
03/11/25AKamza Basket92-88
25/10/25HPBC Flamurtari98-57
18/10/25ATeuta Durres85-61
13/10/25HVllaznia90-82
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HPBC Flamurtari100-73
21/12/25ATeuta Durres81-85
14/12/25HVllaznia77-94
07/12/25AKamza Basket81-82
14/11/25ABeselidhja64-115
09/11/25HFieri106-83
01/11/25APogradeci111-66
26/10/25HElbasani122-93
18/10/25ATirana67-94
11/10/25APartizani Tirana87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apolonia Fier
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL82%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %82%75%86%
Points / game95.292.896.6
Allowed / game74.573.275.3
Point differential+20.6+19.5+21.3
Avg total169.7166.0171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Skenderbeu
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game87.694.681.8
Allowed / game85.684.886.3
Point differential+2.0+9.8-4.5
Avg total173.3179.4168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja12120100%114.864.8+50.0
2 Tirana1211192%100.077.7+22.3
3 Apolonia Fier119282%95.274.5+20.6
4 Vllaznia118373%84.574.5+9.9
5 Teuta Durres128467%82.781.4+1.2
6 Kamza Basket126650%89.681.6+8.0
7 Skenderbeu115645%87.685.6+2.0
8 Elbasani123925%86.5102.9-16.4
9 Fieri123925%74.291.0-16.8
10 Partizani Tirana1221017%69.893.0-23.2
11 Pogradeci1221017%76.299.8-23.5
12 PBC Flamurtari111109%64.799.0-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Apolonia Fier191421101074
Skenderbeu201116171276
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