PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Araberri vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-94
19-25 20-28 18-17 28-24
Position#18
Record5-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Ourense 🏆
Spain
Position#4
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game71.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 16
Other2018-19
Meetings · Araberri v Ourense
06 Jan 2019
ARAB85
OURE94
17 Feb 2018
ARAB90
OURE97
04 Mar 2017
ARAB73
OURE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Araberri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AraberriSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iberojet Palma
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A04/11
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H10/11
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A17/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/11
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A27/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H02/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#14
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A07/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#11
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H14/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A21/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H29/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-19
15-15
22-22
25-15
21-32
12-31
23-18
23-17
18-16
23-17
24-25
23-26
17-11
16-13
18-22
13-23
19-17
22-20
23-16
26-19
16-17
14-26
24-16
25-15
13-26
11-16
15-20
19-26
15-20
16-16
23-27
23-28
22-16
21-26
21-22
20-26
21-22
16-18
24-21
159.7Avg total
78.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.586.1166.5-5.633%
Season at home (8)81.489.4170.8-8.025%
Season away (7)79.482.3161.7-2.943%
Last 10 (10)78.481.3159.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)77.084.6161.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.488.1168.5-7.727%
vs Similar (14)82.283.4165.6-1.143%
vs Weaker (1)112.092.0204.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#11
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H02/11
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A09/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#12
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H17/11
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A23/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
H28/11
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/12
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H09/12
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A16/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H19/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A30/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
9-20
15-15
16-19
17-22
20-15
13-26
24-16
26-17
19-14
24-20
27-24
18-14
16-13
18-17
20-22
12-24
17-26
21-25
15-19
16-21
20-16
17-22
19-18
19-10
21-20
10-13
24-16
16-20
18-9
14-22
12-22
28-24
24-17
11-16
22-16
24-7
17-25
27-18
20-26
149.0Avg total
74.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.171.8145.9+2.353%
Season at home (7)74.370.7145.0+3.657%
Season away (8)73.972.8146.6+1.150%
Last 10 (10)74.874.2149.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)75.871.6147.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.075.8143.8-7.850%
vs Similar (19)74.775.5150.2-0.837%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.666.4147.0+14.1100%
This opponent (Araberri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
AraberriOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AraberriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iberojet Palma
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A17/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H24/11
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A27/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H02/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H14/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H29/12
Primera FEB
80.7Avg total
40.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.285.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.543.986.5-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.583.6-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.680.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.545.184.6-5.727%-
vs Similar (14)43.041.184.1+1.957%-
vs Weaker (1)60.044.0104.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H02/11
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/11
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A23/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H28/11
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/12
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/12
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A16/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
Primera FEB
72.9Avg total
37.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.374.4-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.537.474.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.737.273.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.072.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.874.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.839.068.8-9.225%-
vs Similar (19)37.037.774.7-0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.435.476.9+6.086%-
This opponent (Araberri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Araberri wins
3
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
17/02/18Araberri v Ourense90-97
27/10/17Ourense v Araberri98-75
04/03/17Araberri v Ourense73-79
12/11/16Ourense v Araberri71-76
Araberrilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/18HHuesca81-87
21/12/18APalencia87-92
14/12/18HForca Lleida73-89
07/12/18ACaceres64-77
02/12/18HCastello80-78
27/11/18ABilbao77-76
24/11/18HOviedo74-72
17/11/18APrat Joventut88-75
10/11/18HBarcelona B81-96
04/11/18AIberojet Palma79-71
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18APalencia88-76
19/12/18HCaceres85-73
16/12/18ABilbao60-73
09/12/18HPrat Joventut74-59
02/12/18AIberojet Palma72-77
28/11/18HReal Betis65-94
23/11/18AValladolid72-66
17/11/18HLeyma Coruna96-75
09/11/18AHuesca74-79
02/11/18HForca Lleida62-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Araberri
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%25%43%
Points / game80.581.479.4
Allowed / game86.189.482.3
Point differential-5.6-8.0-2.9
Avg total166.5170.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game74.174.373.9
Allowed / game71.870.772.8
Point differential+2.3+3.6+1.1
Avg total145.9145.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Betis1614288%84.673.4+11.2
2 Bilbao1612475%77.369.5+7.8
3 Huesca1612475%80.475.9+4.5
4 Palencia1611569%85.381.4+3.9
5 Oviedo1610662%74.871.2+3.6
6 Melilla1610662%74.175.6-1.4
7 Forca Lleida169756%73.870.2+3.5
8 Granada169756%74.271.1+3.1
9 Ourense158753%74.171.8+2.3
10 Valladolid168850%77.876.9+0.8
11 Iberojet Palma168850%76.676.0+0.6
12 Real Canoe167944%69.976.6-6.8
13 Leyma Coruna1661038%79.079.8-0.8
14 Araberri1551033%80.586.1-5.6
15 Barcelona B1641225%75.176.4-1.2
16 Castello1641225%72.278.2-6.0
17 Caceres1641225%68.976.1-7.2
18 Prat Joventut1621412%71.183.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Araberri1920182885
Ourense2528172494
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.