PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Argentina vs Bahamas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#42
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game92.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2027
Meetings · Argentina v Bahamas
26 Nov 2026
ARGE v BAHA
upcoming
30 Aug 2022
ARGE95
BAHA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Argentina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bahamas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H24/02
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
105-49
105
49
+56
H01/12
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H28/02
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H02/03
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A03/07
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A06/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
23-13
21-19
22-22
24-19
18-16
22-19
11-25
21-13
20-19
20-17
19-19
19-18
22-9
34-13
30-9
15-16
7-14
13-11
9-20
29-18
19-23
23-17
30-17
25-20
16-24
28-16
22-16
26-18
25-19
29-19
16-15
25-21
18-21
21-12
25-21
29-23
24-25
16-25
23-24
157.9Avg total
85.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.271.5158.8+15.875%
Season at home (4)84.865.0149.8+19.875%
Season away (4)89.878.0167.8+11.875%
Last 10 (10)85.672.3157.9+13.370%
Last 5 (5)93.878.8172.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.093.4173.4-13.420%
vs Similar (6)73.077.7150.7-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.768.4154.2+17.389%
This opponent (Bahamas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahamasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A23/02
World Cup
Panama
#61
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A27/02
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H29/11
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A02/12
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A26/02
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/03
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
123-74
123
74
+49
H04/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
L
92-115
92
115
-23
H06/07
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
A27/08
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
16-34
14-25
19-23
20-21
14-22
15-25
17-20
24-34
14-24
17-28
20-25
11-23
25-29
26-23
26-19
26-28
27-27
24-26
22-15
11-22
19-17
14-19
22-13
28-18
33-14
29-16
33-26
23-34
24-23
20-28
25-30
23-20
31-28
21-20
28-26
27-17
25-17
28-33
20-15
182.2Avg total
88.2Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.292.1185.4+1.150%
Season at home (4)97.595.5193.0+2.050%
Season away (4)89.088.8177.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)88.294.0182.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)96.887.2184.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.695.2171.8-18.616%
vs Similar (4)79.881.8161.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (7)94.784.6179.3+10.171%
This opponent (Argentina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
ArgentinaBahamas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArgentinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/02
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/11
World Cup
Cuba
#87
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/12
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H28/02
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/03
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/07
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A06/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/08
World Cup
Canada
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/08
World Cup
78.9Avg total
42.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.979.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.9+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)42.237.980.1+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.778.9+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.489.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.644.882.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (6)40.241.781.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.134.978.0+8.279%-
This opponent (Bahamas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BahamasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A23/02
World Cup
Panama
#61
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/02
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H29/11
World Cup
Canada
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/12
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A26/02
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/03
World Cup
Jamaica
#64
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H04/07
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#68
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H06/07
World Cup
Uruguay
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A27/08
World Cup
Panama
#74
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H01/09
World Cup
92.7Avg total
44.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.5-4.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.784.1-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.846.184.9-7.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.248.592.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.090.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.346.483.6-9.132%-
vs Similar (4)40.841.081.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)47.641.088.6+6.657%-
This opponent (Argentina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Argentina wins
0
Bahamas wins
DateGameScore
14/11/22Bahamas v Argentina76-80
30/08/22Argentina v Bahamas95-77
Argentinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26ACanada92-97
27/08/26HPuerto Rico89-75
06/07/26APanama96-71
03/07/26AUruguay91-76
02/03/26HPanama101-75
28/02/26HUruguay44-61
01/12/25HCuba105-49
27/11/25ACuba80-68
27/02/23HDominican Republic75-79
24/02/23HCanada83-72
Bahamaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/26HPanama100-82
27/08/26AUruguay103-94
06/07/26HPuerto Rico92-115
04/07/26HJamaica123-74
01/03/26APuerto Rico66-71
26/02/26AJamaica99-96
02/12/25ACanada88-94
29/11/25HCanada75-111
27/02/23APanama66-88
23/02/23AVenezuela70-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Argentina
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.284.889.8
Allowed / game71.565.078.0
Point differential+15.8+19.8+11.8
Avg total158.8149.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bahamas
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game93.297.589.0
Allowed / game92.195.588.8
Point differential+1.1+2.0+0.2
Avg total185.4193.0177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.