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Arges Pitesti vs CSM Targu Mures Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game86.0
Arges Pitesti
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
CSM Targu Mures
Romania
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game83.7
RomaniaDivizia ARound 22· Trivale Pitesti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures
20 Mar 2027
ARGE v CSM
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
ARGE95
CSM 98
18 Apr 2025
ARGE86
CSM 73
19 Jan 2024
ARGE82
CSM 84
29 Oct 2022
ARGE108
CSM 106
07 Mar 2018
ARGE111
CSM 60
04 Dec 2016
ARGE84
CSM 71
06 Nov 2015
ARGE70
CSM 62
25 Jan 2015
ARGE82
CSM 89
03 May 2014
ARGE52
CSM 80
02 May 2014
ARGE84
CSM 79
12 Oct 2013
ARGE84
CSM 74
14 Mar 2013
ARGE71
CSM 95
17 Mar 2012
ARGE78
CSM 84
27 Oct 2010
ARGE79
CSM 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arges Pitesti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Mures win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arges PitestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPitesti
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
107-100
107
100
+7
105avg 78
H21/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
88avg 78
A24/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
109avg 78
H27/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
63avg 78
H03/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#5
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 78
A10/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 78
H17/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
83avg 78
A26/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 78
H31/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
A06/11
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A15/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
31-30
26-26
23-21
23-20
29-24
23-24
18-32
37-24
21-32
25-25
22-25
27-23
17-13
28-22
18-28
24-25
19-31
30-22
19-20
20-28
26-22
23-22
26-12
17-26
25-23
23-15
21-22
10-17
23-26
19-19
12-15
14-22
21-16
21-14
18-23
20-15
11-25
24-19
26-23
180.6Avg total
89.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.786.0170.7-1.329%
Season at home (3)83.082.3165.3+0.767%
Season away (4)86.088.8174.8-2.80%
Last 10 (10)89.890.8180.6-1.030%
Last 5 (5)82.283.6165.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.485.7163.1-8.30%
vs Similar (19)87.288.3175.4-1.137%
vs Weaker (4)91.882.5174.2+9.275%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 88
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 88
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 88
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 88
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#2
W
91-83
91
83
+8
90avg 88
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 88
H22/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
110-81
110
81
+29
106avg 88
A31/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
H09/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
24-36
20-25
26-16
34-20
27-5
30-24
27-29
26-22
28-21
22-18
20-20
17-21
11-20
31-14
19-17
24-23
19-26
22-18
20-24
14-22
23-15
20-17
34-29
21-29
25-23
30-19
16-18
27-18
21-18
35-18
27-27
31-16
22-26
20-22
32-16
16-21
32-16
24-31
25-22
181.0Avg total
97.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.083.7177.7+10.386%
Season at home (4)94.887.5182.2+7.275%
Season away (3)93.078.7171.7+14.3100%
Last 10 (10)97.084.0181.0+13.090%
Last 5 (5)99.084.6183.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
vs Similar (13)97.695.8193.4+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.187.1181.1+7.069%
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
Arges PitestiCSM Targu Mures
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arges PitestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H21/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A24/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H27/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H17/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A26/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H31/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/11
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A15/11
Divizia A
90.7Avg total
44.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.087.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.342.186.4+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.743.887.5-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)44.246.590.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.081.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.342.782.0-3.429%-
vs Similar (19)45.443.488.8+2.058%-
vs Weaker (4)45.241.887.0+3.550%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
61-25
61
25
+36
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H22/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A31/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H09/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H14/11
Divizia A
88.6Avg total
47.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.292.4+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.645.497.0+6.365%-
Last 30 away (13)41.345.086.3-3.715%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.688.6+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.887.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (13)46.245.291.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.645.293.8+3.350%-
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arges Pitestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arges Pitesti: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.025.1
59.8%
56.7%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
75.1%15.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.6
58.0%
56.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.4
39.9%
32.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.415.1
82.1%
75.1%15.1
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arges Pitesti
LLLLWLWLLW
CSM Targu Mures
WWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+14.5
99.9
Offensive rating
110.8
104.9
Defensive rating
96.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
58.7%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.9%
3-point %
39.9%
59.0%
Assist %
57.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 110.8Defence104.9 · 96.3Shooting54.3% · 58.7%3-point %29.9% · 39.9%Ball care14.2% · 11.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Arges Pitesti   ■ CSM Targu Mures
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Arges Pitesti wins
3
CSM Targu Mures wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures95-98 OT
05/01/26CSM Targu Mures v Arges Pitesti92-96
18/04/25Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures86-73
21/12/24CSM Targu Mures v Arges Pitesti77-79
19/01/24Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures82-84
17/11/23CSM Targu Mures v Arges Pitesti81-85
11/12/22CSM Targu Mures v Arges Pitesti76-83
29/10/22Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures108-106 OT
07/03/18Arges Pitesti v CSM Targu Mures111-60
09/12/17CSM Targu Mures v Arges Pitesti84-74
Arges Pitestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti81-82
06/11/26AValcea74-75
31/10/26HVoluntari64-77
26/10/26ASCM Timisoara97-100 OT
17/10/26HSCM Craiova95-84
10/10/26ACSM Oradea92-98
03/10/26HCSU Sibiu90-86
27/05/26HCSU Sibiu105-106
24/05/26ACSU Sibiu93-100
21/05/26HCSU Sibiu107-100
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCorona Brasov97-90
09/11/26HRapid Bucuresti105-80
31/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti110-81
22/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti92-89
17/10/26AValcea91-83
10/10/26HVoluntari85-91
04/10/26ASCM Timisoara78-72
23/05/26ACorona Brasov96-81
21/05/26HCorona Brasov118-78
16/05/26ACSM Targu Jiu98-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arges Pitesti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game84.783.086.0
Allowed / game86.082.388.8
Point differential-1.3+0.7-2.8
Avg total170.7165.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game94.094.893.0
Allowed / game83.787.578.7
Point differential+10.3+7.2+14.3
Avg total177.7182.2171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Valcea76186%86.076.7+9.3
3 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
4 Dinamo Bucharest64267%84.077.3+6.7
5 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
6 SCM Craiova53260%103.2101.2+2.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 BC Steaua Bucuresti73443%87.789.6-1.9
9 Rapid Bucuresti73443%92.396.0-3.7
10 Arges Pitesti72529%84.786.0-1.3
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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