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Aris vs BC Dnipro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-61
24-12 19-14 32-26 11-9
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game73.8
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#31
Record2-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Dnipro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#10
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A03/10
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#13
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A07/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H13/10
Basket League
Kataja
#21
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#12
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A21/10
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H29/10
Basket League
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#21
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A10/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
17-21
11-14
18-25
21-24
15-11
15-16
22-19
17-22
17-24
19-21
17-17
29-16
13-26
11-16
17-21
22-24
10-21
17-13
17-12
15-22
13-11
14-11
13-7
12-25
16-19
19-12
17-12
12-24
29-24
13-17
12-12
26-16
20-19
16-20
24-33
15-16
11-18
21-13
25-14
142.1Avg total
68.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.273.8143.0-4.525%
Season at home (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
Season away (3)69.072.0141.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)68.773.4142.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)68.669.0137.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.075.7142.7-8.711%
vs Similar (8)66.265.9132.1+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.767.1139.8+5.650%
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A19/10
FBU Superleague
Mykolaiv
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A21/10
FBU Superleague
Aris
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H26/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H28/10
FBU Superleague
Kataja
#21
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Avantazh-Politechnik
#8
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/11
FBU Superleague
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykolaiv
#5
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H09/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H11/11
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
10-25
19-21
23-21
16-25
20-10
22-25
14-18
22-15
11-13
11-14
7-13
19-25
20-25
25-17
22-26
19-16
28-19
23-25
27-22
18-18
12-15
24-26
23-25
10-16
22-15
23-16
18-18
24-30
17-28
17-7
14-23
15-11
20-19
19-12
20-23
27-19
20-21
15-22
21-17
154.2Avg total
76.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.977.2149.1-5.425%
Season at home (4)73.269.8143.0+3.550%
Season away (4)70.584.8155.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)76.477.8154.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)75.876.2152.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.277.5148.7-6.333%
vs Similar (10)76.578.9155.4-2.430%
vs Weaker (14)81.473.9155.3+7.486%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
ArisBC Dnipro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/10
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/10
Basket League
Kataja
#21
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H29/10
Basket League
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#21
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A10/11
Basket League
75.8Avg total
34.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.935.570.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)34.038.072.0-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.975.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.439.171.6-6.722%-
vs Similar (8)33.135.168.2-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.635.472.0+1.250%-
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Zaporozhye
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/10
FBU Superleague
Mykolaiv
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/10
FBU Superleague
Aris
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/10
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H28/10
FBU Superleague
Kataja
#21
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Avantazh-Politechnik
#8
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/11
FBU Superleague
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykolaiv
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H09/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/11
FBU Superleague
76.4Avg total
37.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.475.7+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.634.974.6+4.772%-
Last 30 away (12)36.241.277.4-4.942%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.776.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.742.578.2-6.850%-
vs Similar (10)37.639.977.5-2.350%-
vs Weaker (14)39.933.573.4+6.471%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aris wins
0
BC Dnipro wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18BC Dnipro v Aris51-55
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18AKolossos Rhodes72-61
07/11/18AKataja86-88
31/10/18ALukoil Levski66-77
29/10/18HOlympiacos64-68
24/10/18ABC Dnipro55-51
21/10/18APanionios66-70
17/10/18HKataja70-79
13/10/18HPanathinaikos70-84
07/10/18ALavrio73-70
03/10/18APromitheas65-86
BC Dniprolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HBK Zaporozhye83-79
09/11/18HMykolaiv74-65
07/11/18HLukoil Levski72-88
04/11/18AAvantazh-Politechnik73-65
31/10/18AKataja77-84
28/10/18HCherkaski Mavpy97-82
26/10/18HKyiv Basket86-93
24/10/18HAris51-55
21/10/18AMykolaiv72-78
19/10/18ABK Zaporozhye79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game69.270.069.0
Allowed / game73.879.072.0
Point differential-4.5-9.0-3.0
Avg total143.0149.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Dnipro
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.973.270.5
Allowed / game77.269.884.8
Point differential-5.4+3.5-14.2
Avg total149.1143.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears440100%103.072.0+31.0
2 Sassari660100%99.776.5+23.2
3 Lukoil Levski550100%88.876.8+12.0
4 Alba Fehervar76186%87.080.4+6.6
5 Leiden65183%78.370.5+7.8
6 Saratov54180%97.888.4+9.4
7 Z-Mobile Prishtina54180%85.882.6+3.2
8 Karsiyaka43175%80.268.2+12.0
9 Varese43175%85.573.8+11.8
10 Nes Ziona86275%90.179.1+11.0
11 Donar Groningen43175%77.071.0+6.0
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg43175%79.273.8+5.5
13 Szolnoki Olaj43175%84.579.8+4.8
14 Kataja96367%84.480.7+3.8
15 Minsk53260%84.082.2+1.8
16 Balkan74357%79.174.4+4.7
17 Spirou Charleroi42250%80.275.5+4.8
18 Den Bosch63350%80.277.0+3.2
19 Cherkaski Mavpy84450%80.279.4+0.9
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 AEK Larnaca42250%76.080.2-4.2
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 Istanbul BB83538%75.277.0-1.8
26 Sakarya BB41325%79.080.8-1.8
27 FC Porto41325%81.283.2-2.0
28 Belfius Mons41325%78.082.2-4.2
29 Aris41325%69.273.8-4.5
30 BC Dnipro82625%71.977.2-5.4
31 CSM Oradea41325%78.286.8-8.5
32 Szombathely41325%72.882.8-10.0
33 Rilski Sportist71614%77.489.1-11.7
34 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
35 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
36 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
37 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
38 Leicester Riders4040%70.586.8-16.2
39 BC Steaua Bucuresti5050%68.289.8-21.6
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice5050%76.0100.2-24.2
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2419321186
BC Dnipro121426961
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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