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Aris vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-82
28-20 7-18 20-19 11-25
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Aris
vs
Gran Canaria 🏆
Position#6
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 68
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 68
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 68
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
103-64
103
64
+39
99avg 68
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 68
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 68
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
H22/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-17
24-12
21-25
4-22
20-17
13-21
14-22
19-19
16-20
12-23
31-21
16-16
18-20
22-14
13-19
19-22
18-18
14-22
19-19
26-17
31-17
27-14
19-16
18-15
14-26
26-17
32-38
28-17
23-23
25-17
19-22
12-28
24-25
18-20
19-24
9-18
18-24
14-18
17-22
159.3Avg total
77.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.781.6159.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)83.883.6167.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.288.1161.3-14.910%
vs Similar (9)76.674.2150.8+2.356%
vs Weaker (9)82.771.9154.6+10.867%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
W
71-67
71
67
+4
60avg 78
H03/05
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
no box
A07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
95avg 78
A11/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
55avg 78
H14/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
75-105
75
105
-30
65avg 78
A24/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
55avg 78
A28/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 78
H31/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
97-92
97
92
+5
95avg 78
H24/09
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-88
64
88
-24
52avg 78
A28/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 78
A01/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
21-10
11-22
10-12
20-19
23-26
33-28
15-18
21-22
30-21
34-21
12-17
21-23
22-31
16-17
8-24
17-22
13-26
24-29
21-28
13-22
12-29
22-19
21-25
18-21
19-18
19-28
25-22
22-24
17-20
38-22
20-26
15-32
15-20
16-20
18-16
16-28
26-15
14-21
19-25
169.4Avg total
79.2Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.290.2169.4-11.030%
Last 5 (5)77.090.6167.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.291.3169.5-13.20%
vs Similar (7)84.683.7168.3+0.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.978.7162.6+5.269%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
ArisGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/04
Basket League
77.1Avg total
37.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.074.5-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.136.674.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)32.741.574.2-8.77%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.177.1-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.343.874.1-13.510%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.177.0+0.856%-
vs Weaker (9)38.034.172.1+3.933%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H03/05
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A11/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H14/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A24/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A28/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H31/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H24/09
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A28/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A01/10
ACB
84.2Avg total
39.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.439.984.3+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.543.378.8-7.821%-
Last 10 (10)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.880.4-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.545.280.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (7)42.040.982.9+1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.439.680.9+1.856%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.6
51.4%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
35.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.2
68.9%
74.5%12.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.2
50.7%
54.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
35.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
74.5%13.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWLWLLLLW
Gran Canaria
LLWLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#6
-1.2
Net rating
-13.4
104.8
Offensive rating
101.4
106.0
Defensive rating
114.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
20.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
33.1%
66.0%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 101.4Defence106.0 · 114.8Shooting52.4% · 50.2%3-point %35.9% · 33.1%Ball care20.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.7% · 25.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Aris   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Gran Canaria wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23HOlympiacos58-82
20/04/23AOlympiacos73-97
09/04/23HPromitheas95-79
01/04/23AKolossos Rhodes90-96
25/03/23HIonikos103-64
18/03/23ALavrio70-81
12/03/23AAS Karditsas77-78 OT
05/03/23HPeristeri78-83
17/02/23AOlympiacos51-82
12/02/23AApollon Patras82-74
Gran Canarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23AJoventut Badalona75-89
28/09/23ABasquet Girona64-88
24/09/23HManresa97-92
31/05/23HReal Madrid81-89
28/05/23AReal Madrid68-95
24/05/23AManresa75-105
14/05/23HReal Madrid67-95
11/05/23AFuenlabrada97-81
07/05/23ABaskonia97-101 OT
03/05/23HTurk Telekom71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gran Canaria
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Paris110100%105.078.0+27.0
3 Prometey110100%97.077.0+20.0
4 Ulm110100%80.070.0+10.0
5 Cluj-Napoca110100%80.071.0+9.0
6 Turk Telekom1010%71.080.0-9.0
7 Trento1010%70.080.0-10.0
8 Hamburg1010%77.097.0-20.0
9 BC Wolves1010%78.0105.0-27.0
10 Cedevita Olimpija1010%73.0100.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris287201166
Gran Canaria2018192582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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