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Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 97-73
28-12 25-24 20-18 24-19
Position#1
Record22-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#7
Record11-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game76.3
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris
18 Apr 2027
OLY v ARI
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
OLY92
ARI81
13 Oct 2024
OLY102
ARI72
31 Mar 2024
OLY85
ARI77
31 Dec 2023
OLY85
ARI71
20 Apr 2023
OLY97
ARI73
17 Feb 2023
OLY82
ARI51
29 Jan 2023
OLY89
ARI75
07 Apr 2022
OLY89
ARI67
04 Mar 2019
OLY76
ARI67
05 Mar 2018
OLY86
ARI66
25 May 2017
OLY79
ARI65
10 May 2017
OLY84
ARI54
15 Feb 2017
OLY69
ARI55
29 May 2015
OLY92
ARI57
27 May 2015
OLY98
ARI53
12 Jan 2015
OLY84
ARI68
06 May 2014
OLY77
ARI44
30 Nov 2013
OLY93
ARI61
03 Dec 2012
OLY100
ARI65
25 Feb 2012
OLY85
ARI66
23 May 2011
OLY87
ARI64
19 May 2011
OLY95
ARI63
23 Jan 2011
OLY97
ARI70
01 May 2010
OLY75
ARI63
31 Jan 2010
OLY82
ARI77
18 Oct 2008
OLY74
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
103-75
103
75
+28
no box
A21/03
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
74avg 87
A24/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
100-70
100
70
+30
106avg 87
H26/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
81-55
81
55
+26
83avg 87
H29/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
80avg 87
H31/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-61
92
61
+31
88avg 87
H02/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A06/04
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
94avg 87
A09/04
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 87
H13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
25-17
13-20
17-16
29-18
25-30
25-15
24-12
22-27
12-21
18-12
23-30
30-22
19-8
17-22
34-18
22-13
15-16
19-10
25-16
16-17
17-21
24-10
24-25
21-22
17-10
25-15
29-14
30-26
17-19
12-20
20-22
22-19
16-16
29-18
18-25
19-11
26-22
21-22
20-23
159.9Avg total
85.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)92.271.2163.5+21.0100%
Season at home (11)94.968.4163.3+26.5100%
Season away (11)89.574.1163.6+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.874.1159.9+11.780%
Last 5 (5)84.675.4160.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)86.674.0160.6+12.689%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 68
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 68
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 68
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 68
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
103-64
103
64
+39
99avg 68
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 68
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H09/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
18-29
24-22
20-22
26-19
13-16
19-16
16-13
20-20
17-17
24-12
21-25
4-22
20-17
13-21
14-22
19-19
16-20
12-23
31-21
16-16
18-20
22-14
13-19
19-22
18-18
14-22
19-19
26-17
31-17
27-14
19-16
18-15
14-26
26-17
32-38
28-17
23-23
25-17
19-22
158.5Avg total
79.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.976.3155.2+2.550%
Season at home (11)79.369.8149.1+9.573%
Season away (11)78.582.8161.3-4.427%
Last 10 (10)79.579.0158.5+0.540%
Last 5 (5)87.079.6166.6+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.187.8162.9-12.612%
vs Similar (11)76.073.7149.7+2.364%
vs Weaker (9)82.771.9154.6+10.867%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
OlympiacosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/03
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H26/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/04
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A09/04
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H13/04
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
42.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.376.0+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.630.972.5+10.888%-
Last 30 away (14)41.838.179.9+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.679.7+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.527.560.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.535.177.6+7.374%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/04
Basket League
76.3Avg total
37.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.274.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.275.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)32.940.273.1-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.676.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.280.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.042.972.9-12.912%-
vs Similar (11)38.837.576.4+1.364%-
vs Weaker (9)38.034.172.1+3.933%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.520.1
63.8%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.1
73.9%
71.9%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.3
49.5%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
71.9%13.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWLWW
Aris
WLWLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+16.1
Net rating
+3.9
117.0
Offensive rating
108.4
100.9
Defensive rating
104.5
58.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
35.9%
77.0%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 108.4Defence100.9 · 104.5Shooting58.3% · 51.2%3-point %34.7% · 35.9%Ball care19.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.7% · 34.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
17/02/23Olympiacos v Aris82-51
29/01/23Olympiacos v Aris89-75
24/10/22Aris v Olympiacos66-83
07/04/22Olympiacos v Aris89-67
07/02/22Aris v Olympiacos76-87
04/03/19Olympiacos v Aris76-67
29/10/18Aris v Olympiacos64-68
05/03/18Olympiacos v Aris86-66
05/11/17Aris v Olympiacos49-56
29/10/17Aris v Olympiacos55-80
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23HBaskonia86-78
09/04/23AAEK Athens85-78
06/04/23ACrvena zvezda79-87
02/04/23HAS Karditsas92-61
31/03/23HPanathinaikos81-73
29/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne81-55
26/03/23HPAOK100-70
24/03/23APartizan75-90
21/03/23ALavrio103-75
19/03/23APanathinaikos76-74
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HPromitheas95-79
01/04/23AKolossos Rhodes90-96
25/03/23HIonikos103-64
18/03/23ALavrio70-81
12/03/23AAS Karditsas77-78 OT
05/03/23HPeristeri78-83
17/02/23AOlympiacos51-82
12/02/23AApollon Patras82-74
04/02/23HAEK Athens74-64
29/01/23AOlympiacos75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.294.989.5
Allowed / game71.268.474.1
Point differential+21.0+26.5+15.5
Avg total163.5163.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%91%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%73%27%
Points / game78.979.378.5
Allowed / game76.369.882.8
Point differential+2.5+9.5-4.4
Avg total155.2149.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos22220100%92.271.2+21.0
2 Panathinaikos2216673%84.671.4+13.2
3 Peristeri2214864%84.278.7+5.5
4 PAOK2213959%80.277.3+2.9
5 AEK Athens22121055%75.876.6-0.8
6 Promitheas22121055%76.777.6-1.0
7 Aris22111150%78.976.3+2.5
8 Kolossos Rhodes22111150%78.178.9-0.8
9 Lavrio2271532%76.282.6-6.4
10 Apollon Patras2251723%69.579.3-9.8
11 AS Karditsas2251723%72.081.8-9.8
12 Ionikos2241818%73.890.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2825202497
Aris1224181973
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