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Lavrio vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-70
22-19 18-18 22-14 19-19
Position#9
Record4-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game82.1
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#7
Record9-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game75.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lavrio v Aris
05 Apr 2025
LAV75
ARI89
07 Dec 2024
LAV93
ARI84
23 Dec 2023
LAV91
ARI86
18 Mar 2023
LAV81
ARI70
19 Mar 2022
LAV68
ARI64
09 Dec 2020
LAV92
ARI71
11 Apr 2020
LAV v ARI
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
LAV70
ARI73
21 Oct 2017
LAV70
ARI71
08 Apr 2017
LAV75
ARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
61-87
61
87
-26
59avg 69
A04/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
95-63
95
63
+32
96avg 69
H02/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 69
A08/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A14/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 69
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 69
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
89avg 69
A11/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
79avg 69
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
54avg 69
A11/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
17-23
16-17
10-22
18-26
20-16
22-22
21-16
19-20
21-12
30-9
25-22
20-28
29-20
22-16
16-26
17-26
12-15
19-18
23-15
25-18
17-21
25-28
17-19
17-26
15-31
19-22
17-14
23-20
19-16
25-20
28-25
13-15
21-16
26-21
14-16
21-19
15-20
14-20
16-18
158.1Avg total
78.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.382.1156.4-7.824%
Season at home (8)78.878.9157.6-0.138%
Season away (9)70.384.9155.2-14.611%
Last 10 (10)78.279.9158.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.481.0158.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.184.8157.9-11.812%
vs Similar (12)72.379.9152.2-7.633%
vs Weaker (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 66
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
48avg 66
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
65avg 66
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
64avg 66
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 66
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 66
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 66
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
19-13
14-14
22-25
16-19
15-17
16-13
14-15
7-24
17-21
25-29
30-22
20-16
19-22
20-15
18-17
13-16
18-29
24-22
20-22
26-19
13-16
19-16
16-13
20-20
17-17
24-12
21-25
4-22
20-17
13-21
14-22
19-19
16-20
12-23
31-21
16-16
18-20
22-14
13-19
149.6Avg total
72.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
Season at home (9)74.969.4144.3+5.467%
Season away (9)78.181.6159.7-3.433%
Last 10 (10)72.277.4149.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)72.476.2148.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.287.9162.1-13.711%
vs Similar (12)73.172.3145.4+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.671.7153.3+9.971%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
LavrioAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A08/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A14/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/03
Basket League
79.0Avg total
37.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.279.1-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.577.3-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.945.080.9-9.113%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.379.0-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.543.881.2-6.324%-
vs Similar (12)35.840.976.7-5.225%-
vs Weaker (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/03
Basket League
71.1Avg total
32.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.072.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)33.239.572.8-6.219%-
Last 10 (10)32.638.571.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.271.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.342.773.0-12.311%-
vs Similar (12)38.136.774.8+1.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.433.368.7+2.129%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
71.9%14.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.7
31.1%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.511.5
65.7%
71.9%11.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LWWLLLLWWL
Aris
LLLWWLWLLL
#9
League position
#7
-3.1
Net rating
+3.6
104.0
Offensive rating
101.5
107.1
Defensive rating
97.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.7%
3-point %
31.1%
68.3%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 101.5Defence107.1 · 97.9Shooting51.4% · 46.8%3-point %32.7% · 31.1%Ball care17.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Lavrio   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lavrio wins
6
Aris wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
09/12/20Lavrio v Aris92-71
21/12/19Aris v Lavrio81-70
19/01/19Aris v Lavrio84-70
07/10/18Lavrio v Aris70-73
14/02/18Aris v Lavrio80-69
21/10/17Lavrio v Aris70-71
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23APeristeri66-77
04/03/23HApollon Patras74-68
11/02/23AAEK Athens95-81
29/01/23APAOK68-93
22/01/23HPanathinaikos84-86
14/01/23APromitheas71-74
08/01/23AKolossos Rhodes87-90
02/01/23HIonikos95-63
10/12/22HAS Karditsas81-80
04/12/22AAris61-87
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AAS Karditsas77-78 OT
05/03/23HPeristeri78-83
17/02/23AOlympiacos51-82
12/02/23AApollon Patras82-74
04/02/23HAEK Athens74-64
29/01/23AOlympiacos75-89
22/01/23HPAOK77-70
15/01/23APanathinaikos79-96
07/01/23APromitheas61-64
26/12/22HKolossos Rhodes68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL24%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game74.378.870.3
Allowed / game82.178.984.9
Point differential-7.8-0.1-14.6
Avg total156.4157.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.574.978.1
Allowed / game75.569.481.6
Point differential+1.0+5.4-3.4
Avg total152.0144.3159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos17170100%92.571.1+21.4
2 Panathinaikos1714382%83.669.8+13.9
3 Peristeri1811761%82.477.7+4.7
4 AEK Athens1811761%76.175.8+0.2
5 PAOK1810856%80.176.9+3.1
6 Promitheas1810856%76.477.2-0.8
7 Aris189950%76.575.5+1.0
8 Kolossos Rhodes178947%76.577.1-0.6
9 Lavrio1741324%74.382.1-7.8
10 Apollon Patras1841422%69.678.0-8.4
11 AS Karditsas1841422%71.680.7-9.1
12 Ionikos1841422%73.389.4-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio2218221981
Aris1918141970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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