PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arizona State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 98-73
53-26 45-47
Position#90
Record22-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game67.7
Arizona State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#74
Record22-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#260
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A10/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
70-62 OT
70
62
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A03/03
NCAA
USC
#73
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H09/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
36-32
32-30
25-27
32-32
27-35
25-26
42-33
46-45
43-43
32-36
29-43
20-29
45-39
29-26
34-31
39-25
38-47
28-35
31-43
137.4Avg total
67.9Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)70.367.7138.0+2.665%
Season at home (17)71.564.4135.9+7.271%
Season away (17)69.171.1140.2-1.959%
Last 10 (10)67.969.5137.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)65.070.8135.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.376.5143.8-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.468.9139.3+1.560%
vs Weaker (9)72.961.9134.8+11.089%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
H04/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
34-32
43-34
47-32
19-43
24-28
42-23
34-30
26-26
37-40
34-40
21-31
35-25
26-31
39-34
138.0Avg total
70.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.666.9139.5+5.869%
Season at home (18)76.064.8140.8+11.289%
Season away (14)68.369.5137.8-1.243%
Last 10 (10)70.867.2138.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)68.267.4135.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)72.571.2143.6+1.353%
vs Weaker (8)70.862.4133.1+8.488%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
Arizona StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#260
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/02
NCAA
California
#369
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/03
NCAA
USC
#73
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/03
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.464.6-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.229.963.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)31.234.866.0-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.763.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.259.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.036.770.7-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.131.363.5+0.847%-
vs Weaker (9)31.131.262.3-0.156%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H04/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H09/03
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.464.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.429.861.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)35.033.368.3+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.365.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.060.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.526.050.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)33.533.066.5+0.542%-
vs Weaker (8)33.030.863.8+2.262%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arizona State wins
0
Nevada wins
No previous meetings.
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AArizona59-78
10/03/23AUSC77-72
09/03/23HOregon State63-57
05/03/23AUSC65-68
03/03/23AUCLA61-79
25/02/23AArizona89-88
18/02/23HUtah Utes67-59
17/02/23HColorado59-67
12/02/23ACalifornia70-62 OT
10/02/23AStanford69-65
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HSan Jose State77-81 OT
04/03/23HUNLV67-69 OT
28/02/23AWyoming71-80
25/02/23AFresno State60-56
22/02/23HSan Jose State66-51
19/02/23AUtah State66-75
11/02/23HFresno State77-66
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game70.371.569.1
Allowed / game67.764.471.1
Point differential+2.6+7.2-1.9
Avg total138.0135.9140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)67% (3)70% (10)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL69%
HomeWWWLL89%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game72.676.068.3
Allowed / game66.964.869.5
Point differential+5.8+11.2-1.2
Avg total139.5140.8137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %12%17%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3431391%75.056.5+18.5
2 Arizona3428682%82.771.5+11.2
3 Kansas3427779%74.967.9+7.0
4 Kansas State3223972%75.569.0+6.5
5 Baylor32221069%77.270.2+6.9
6 Arizona State34221265%70.367.7+2.6
7 Cincinnati33211264%77.269.2+8.0
8 TCU33211264%75.267.9+7.3
9 Iowa State32191359%68.462.8+5.7
10 West Virginia33191458%76.371.1+5.2
11 UCF Knights32181456%72.266.0+6.2
12 Brigham Young34191556%75.569.9+5.6
13 Oklahoma State33181555%68.566.1+2.4
14 Utah Utes32171553%68.763.8+4.8
15 Colorado33171652%70.066.8+3.3
16 Texas Tech32161650%73.369.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3327682%72.163.6+8.5
2 Utah State3426876%78.669.7+8.9
3 Boise State3324973%72.264.3+7.9
4 Nevada32221069%72.666.9+5.8
5 Grand Canyon34231168%71.666.1+5.5
6 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State534598
Nevada264773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.