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TCU vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:05
Final 72-70
37-44 35-26
Position#96
Record21-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game67.9
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#90
Record23-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TCU v Arizona State
05 Jan 2027
TCU v ARIZ
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
TCU90
ARIZ78
16 Dec 2023
TCU79
ARIZ59
17 Mar 2023
TCU72
ARIZ70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A08/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H18/02
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A10/03
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
31-46
34-31
34-41
24-35
35-35
47-27
53-48
29-33
29-30
44-35
39-47
44-32
31-41
21-38
39-36
37-32
43-35
26-34
34-32
142.8Avg total
70.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.267.9143.1+7.364%
Season at home (19)76.962.8139.8+14.179%
Season away (14)72.874.8147.6-2.043%
Last 10 (10)70.472.4142.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)71.672.4144.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)72.571.2143.8+1.255%
vs Weaker (10)81.861.4143.2+20.480%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#369
W
70-62 OT
70
62
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A03/03
NCAA
USC
#73
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H09/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A11/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
25-27
32-32
27-35
25-26
42-33
46-45
43-43
32-36
29-43
20-29
45-39
29-26
34-31
39-25
38-47
28-35
31-43
53-26
45-47
141.1Avg total
70.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)71.167.9139.0+3.366%
Season at home (18)73.064.8137.8+8.272%
Season away (17)69.171.1140.2-1.959%
Last 10 (10)70.870.3141.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)72.469.6142.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.376.5143.8-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.169.6140.7+1.560%
vs Weaker (9)72.961.9134.8+11.089%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
TCUArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A04/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A11/03
NCAA
66.9Avg total
33.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.368.6+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.229.468.6+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)32.935.668.6-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.366.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.268.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)34.534.268.7+0.355%-
vs Weaker (10)39.928.568.4+11.480%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#369
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#192
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H17/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Arizona
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/03
NCAA
USC
#73
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H16/03
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.364.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.729.863.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)31.234.866.0-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.064.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.828.262.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.036.770.7-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.631.263.8+1.447%-
vs Weaker (9)31.131.262.3-0.156%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
Arizona State wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ATexas60-66
10/03/23AKansas State80-67
04/03/23AOklahoma60-74
02/03/23HTexas75-73
25/02/23ATexas Tech83-82
21/02/23HKansas58-63
18/02/23HOklahoma State100-75
16/02/23AIowa State59-70
11/02/23HBaylor68-72
08/02/23AKansas State61-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HNevada98-73
11/03/23AArizona59-78
10/03/23AUSC77-72
09/03/23HOregon State63-57
05/03/23AUSC65-68
03/03/23AUCLA61-79
25/02/23AArizona89-88
18/02/23HUtah Utes67-59
17/02/23HColorado59-67
12/02/23ACalifornia70-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %64%79%43%
Points / game75.276.972.8
Allowed / game67.962.874.8
Point differential+7.3+14.1-2.0
Avg total143.1139.8147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)43% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Arizona State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW66%
HomeLLWWW72%
AwayWLLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %66%72%59%
Points / game71.173.069.1
Allowed / game67.964.871.1
Point differential+3.3+8.2-1.9
Avg total139.0137.8140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)67% (3)70% (10)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3532391%74.756.4+18.3
2 Arizona3528780%81.971.1+10.7
3 Kansas3528780%75.567.9+7.6
4 Kansas State3324973%75.568.9+6.6
5 Baylor33231070%77.169.8+7.2
6 Arizona State35231266%71.167.9+3.3
7 Cincinnati33211264%77.269.2+8.0
8 TCU33211264%75.267.9+7.3
9 Iowa State33191458%67.662.6+5.0
10 UCF Knights32181456%72.266.0+6.2
11 Brigham Young34191556%75.569.9+5.6
12 West Virginia34191556%76.070.9+5.0
13 Oklahoma State33181555%68.566.1+2.4
14 Utah Utes32171553%68.763.8+4.8
15 Colorado33171652%70.066.8+3.3
16 Texas Tech32161650%73.369.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU373572
Arizona State442670
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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