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Arizona State vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 89-95
47-49 42-46
Position#285
Record10-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#200
Record11-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arizona State v UCF Knights
09 Jan 2027
ARIZ v UCF
upcoming
14 Jan 2025
ARIZ89
UCF 95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H29/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H14/12
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A09/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-38
47-51
34-37
51-45
32-34
36-30
40-33
50-20
32-41
34-42
31-33
47-29
26-31
30-45
40-27
41-34
42-36
13-38
20-32
41-29
145.4Avg total
73.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.871.2146.0+3.667%
Season at home (10)78.570.4148.9+8.180%
Season away (5)67.472.8140.2-5.440%
Last 10 (10)73.871.6145.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)67.269.0136.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.575.9145.4-6.339%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.073.0151.0+5.067%
vs Weaker (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H01/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
48-99
48
99
-51
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
30-45
43-40
41-36
32-29
42-30
29-21
37-30
45-39
43-36
47-29
39-37
47-41
40-42
25-44
23-55
34-37
41-37
42-45
38-43
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.677.2155.8+1.473%
Season at home (12)75.873.2149.0+2.783%
Season away (3)89.793.3183.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.070%
Last 5 (5)75.282.0157.2-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.079.7152.7-6.738%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.971.9148.8+5.067%
vs Weaker (4)71.865.2137.0+6.575%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -1.7-1.7
Arizona StateUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H29/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H14/12
NCAA
UMass
#303
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H12/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.669.0-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.234.268.4-0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.369.8-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)34.334.268.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.863.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)33.035.768.7-2.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.235.569.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
38.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.270.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.534.469.8+1.165%-
Last 30 away (10)36.137.073.1-0.930%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.073.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.338.273.5-2.846%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.131.868.8+5.367%-
vs Weaker (4)33.032.865.8+0.250%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arizona State wins
0
UCF Knights wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HBaylor66-72 OT
09/01/25AKansas55-74
04/01/25HColorado81-61
31/12/24ABrigham Young56-76
21/12/24AUMass78-62
14/12/24HFlorida66-83
04/12/24HSan Diego Toreros90-53
30/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-64
29/11/24HNew Mexico85-82
21/11/24HCal Poly93-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AArizona80-88
09/01/25HColorado75-74
05/01/25HKansas48-99
31/12/24ATexas Tech87-83
21/12/24HJacksonville Dolphins86-66
14/12/24HTulsa88-75
08/12/24HTarleton66-51
01/12/24HCalifornia Baptist74-59
28/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee84-76
24/11/24ALSU102-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%80%40%
Points / game74.878.567.4
Allowed / game71.270.472.8
Point differential+3.6+8.1-5.4
Avg total146.0148.9140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %73%83%33%
Points / game78.675.889.7
Allowed / game77.273.293.3
Point differential+1.4+2.7-3.7
Avg total155.8149.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State1514193%86.265.9+20.3
2 Houston1512380%77.154.2+22.9
3 Kansas1512380%77.362.1+15.2
4 West Virginia1512380%74.563.9+10.6
5 Texas Tech1612475%83.966.1+17.8
6 Baylor1511473%82.167.3+14.8
7 UCF Knights1511473%78.677.2+1.4
8 Brigham Young1611569%80.866.6+14.1
9 Arizona1510567%84.468.5+15.9
10 Cincinnati1510567%73.160.5+12.5
11 Arizona State1510567%74.871.2+3.6
12 Utah Utes159660%81.170.2+10.9
13 TCU159660%70.565.7+4.8
14 Colorado159660%74.571.0+3.5
15 Oklahoma State169756%73.474.0-0.6
16 Kansas State167944%73.271.1+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State474289
UCF Knights494695
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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