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UCF Knights vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-59
32-29 42-30
Position#200
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#179
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#297
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#11
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H20/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#70
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H05/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H09/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-31
0-0
38-47
0-0
35-40
0-0
35-49
0-0
42-34
0-0
29-29
0-0
35-32
0-0
34-33
0-0
41-35
0-0
46-36
0-0
54-58
0-0
47-32
0-0
33-37
0-0
31-46
0-0
39-40
0-0
40-25
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-40
0-0
41-36
159.7Avg total
80.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.180.4162.6+1.771%
Season at home (6)78.875.7154.5+3.283%
Season away (1)102.0109.0211.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)80.279.5159.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)87.286.8174.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.573.8143.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.370.9145.2+3.458%
vs Weaker (5)72.465.0137.4+7.480%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
W
74-63 OT
74
63
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
32-30
26-43
31-38
34-43
49-35
42-42
46-42
37-30
32-40
47-40
43-37
28-40
40-39
41-32
38-36
32-45
45-34
37-27
28-38
153.1Avg total
77.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.077.0157.0+3.062%
Season at home (7)79.176.4155.6+2.757%
Season away (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.176.0153.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)80.076.8156.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.771.1134.8-7.411%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.769.5140.2+1.160%
vs Weaker (6)75.867.7143.5+8.267%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
UCF KnightsCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#297
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H20/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#70
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/11
NCAA
74.6Avg total
37.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.9-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.632.667.3+2.063%-
Last 30 away (11)30.635.566.2-4.918%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.874.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.935.066.9-3.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.232.066.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)33.231.664.8+1.660%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A28/11
NCAA
72.4Avg total
35.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.665.0-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.833.766.5-0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)29.633.563.1-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.272.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.735.264.9-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.333.765.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker (6)34.330.865.2+3.567%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
0
California Baptist wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee84-76
24/11/24ALSU102-109 OT
22/11/24HWisconsin70-86
20/11/24HTennessee Tech80-69
13/11/24HFlorida Atlantic100-94
09/11/24HIPFW75-68
05/11/24HTexas A&M64-61
20/03/24HSouth Florida77-83
13/03/24ABrigham Young73-87
12/03/24HOklahoma State77-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24AFresno State86-81 OT
27/11/24HSMU Mustangs77-79
24/11/24HEast. Washington79-68
21/11/24HNorthern Colorado68-79
16/11/24HLIU Sharks90-77
13/11/24HUC Riverside69-70
10/11/24HKennesaw State88-84
05/11/24HIncarnate Word83-78
15/03/24ASeattle57-81
14/03/24AUtah Valley State74-63 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%83%0%
Points / game82.178.8102.0
Allowed / game80.475.7109.0
Point differential+1.7+3.2-7.0
Avg total162.6154.5211.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%100%
California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%57%100%
Points / game80.079.186.0
Allowed / game77.076.481.0
Point differential+3.0+2.7+5.0
Avg total157.0155.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cincinnati660100%85.356.0+29.3
2 Kansas770100%82.765.9+16.9
3 Arizona State87188%78.873.4+5.4
4 Utah Utes76186%90.463.7+26.7
5 Texas Tech76186%88.465.0+23.4
6 Brigham Young76186%87.465.1+22.3
7 Iowa State65183%86.865.0+21.8
8 Kansas State86275%81.667.0+14.6
9 Baylor75271%85.073.0+12.0
10 West Virginia75271%78.470.0+8.4
11 Colorado75271%76.772.3+4.4
12 UCF Knights75271%82.180.4+1.7
13 Oklahoma State64267%81.779.2+2.5
14 Houston74357%78.959.3+19.6
15 TCU74357%72.464.3+8.1
16 Arizona73443%85.073.7+11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah97278%78.370.2+8.1
2 Abilene Christian85362%78.270.8+7.5
3 California Baptist85362%80.077.0+3.0
4 Utah Valley State74357%77.972.9+5.0
5 UT Arlington83538%79.676.5+3.1
6 Tarleton82625%58.276.6-18.4
7 Utah Tech92722%68.174.1-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights324274
California Baptist293059
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