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Arizona vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 78-68
40-33 38-35
Position#31
Record26-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game72.0
Arizona 🏆
USA
vs
Position#30
Record25-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A29/02
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H02/03
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
88-65
88
65
+23
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#249
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A10/03
NCAA
USC
#249
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H16/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-31
56-29
33-34
41-43
52-35
39-40
41-27
44-40
51-30
52-53
44-27
44-38
30-34
35-44
28-16
42-33
33-23
26-44
41-35
44-30
151.1Avg total
82.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.972.0159.9+15.876%
Season at home (20)89.865.8155.6+23.990%
Season away (14)85.180.9166.0+4.357%
Last 10 (10)82.568.6151.1+13.970%
Last 5 (5)73.464.8138.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.472.3158.8+14.176%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#96
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-25
25-24
36-33
39-26
44-35
34-35
33-27
34-44
40-21
40-45
35-32
37-45
49-35
51-48
31-38
39-32
28-30
29-35
25-34
38-26
141.6Avg total
73.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.466.1140.5+8.378%
Season at home (18)77.165.2142.3+11.994%
Season away (14)70.967.2138.1+3.657%
Last 10 (10)73.068.6141.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar (18)73.068.2141.2+4.872%
vs Weaker (11)80.263.6143.8+16.5100%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
ArizonaDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H18/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/03
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A08/03
NCAA
USC
#249
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A10/03
NCAA
USC
#249
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/03
NCAA
69.4Avg total
40.2Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.073.9+7.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.232.373.5+8.982%-
Last 30 away (13)40.533.974.4+6.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.229.269.4+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.227.062.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.032.473.4+8.679%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#96
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/03
NCAA
65.3Avg total
34.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.429.864.1+4.655%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.130.466.6+5.756%-
Last 30 away (13)32.228.961.2+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.065.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.867.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (17)31.531.562.9+0.041%-
vs Weaker (11)39.526.566.0+12.982%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arizona wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HLong Beach State85-65
16/03/24HOregon59-67
14/03/24HUSC70-49
10/03/24AUSC65-78
08/03/24AUCLA88-65
02/03/24HOregon103-83
29/02/24AArizona State85-67
24/02/24HWashington91-75
23/02/24HWashington State74-77
18/02/24HArizona State105-60
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HNevada63-60
14/03/24HDuquesne57-65
09/03/24HVCU Rams91-86 OT
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83
02/03/24ALoyola Chicago72-77
28/02/24HDavidson80-66
22/02/24AGeorge Mason67-71
17/02/24HFordham78-70
14/02/24HDuquesne75-59
10/02/24AVCU Rams47-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342014
Win %76%90%57%
Points / game87.989.885.1
Allowed / game72.065.880.9
Point differential+15.8+23.9+4.3
Avg total159.9155.6166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%85%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %78%94%57%
Points / game74.477.170.9
Allowed / game66.165.267.2
Point differential+8.3+11.9+3.6
Avg total140.5142.3138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)100% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3531489%73.456.7+16.7
2 Iowa State3528780%75.761.4+14.3
3 Arizona3426876%87.972.0+15.8
4 Colorado36261072%79.471.5+7.9
5 Baylor34241071%80.971.1+9.8
6 Kansas33231070%75.869.3+6.5
7 Brigham Young34231168%81.469.9+11.5
8 Texas Tech34231168%75.369.6+5.7
9 TCU34211362%79.071.7+7.3
10 Cincinnati34201459%74.667.9+6.7
11 Utah Utes33191458%78.172.6+5.4
12 Kansas State33191458%71.970.5+1.4
13 UCF Knights32171553%71.567.5+4.1
14 Arizona State32141844%69.074.0-5.0
15 Oklahoma State32122038%71.072.7-1.7
16 West Virginia3292328%69.876.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton3225778%74.466.1+8.3
2 Richmond Spiders3223972%72.366.1+6.2
3 Loyola Chicago3223972%73.467.3+6.1
4 Duquesne36251169%70.866.1+4.7
5 VCU Rams35221363%71.566.7+4.8
6 George Mason32201262%71.065.9+5.1
7 Saint Josephs Hawks34211362%75.670.4+5.1
8 St. Bonaventure33201361%73.568.6+4.8
9 La Salle33161748%72.773.1-0.4
10 Davidson32151747%70.167.9+2.1
11 George Washington32151747%76.877.2-0.5
12 Fordham33132039%70.572.4-1.9
13 St. Louis Billikens33132039%74.979.4-4.5
14 Rhode Island32122038%72.676.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona403878
Dayton333568
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