PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dayton vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-86 (OT)
31-38 39-32 21-16
Position#30
Record23-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game65.7
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#96
Record19-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dayton v VCU Rams
22 Jan 2027
DAYT v VCU
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DAYT62
VCU 68
07 Feb 2025
DAYT68
VCU 73
08 Mar 2024
DAYT91
VCU 86
13 Jan 2023
DAYT62
VCU 63
05 Jan 2022
DAYT52
VCU 53
09 Feb 2021
DAYT67
VCU 76
14 Jan 2020
DAYT79
VCU 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#238
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-24
45-37
28-30
48-41
34-38
60-41
22-25
25-24
36-33
39-26
44-35
34-35
33-27
34-44
40-21
40-45
35-32
37-45
49-35
51-48
145.8Avg total
77.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.865.7140.4+9.179%
Season at home (15)78.564.2142.7+14.3100%
Season away (14)70.967.2138.1+3.657%
Last 10 (10)77.268.6145.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)79.473.4152.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.168.0140.1+4.165%
vs Weaker (12)78.862.2141.0+16.5100%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A07/02
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H10/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A17/02
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A21/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
23-41
20-18
43-34
32-31
43-29
25-22
24-25
42-35
53-50
26-38
26-36
21-27
52-42
42-21
46-46
29-32
47-47
27-31
32-38
136.1Avg total
69.2Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.966.8138.8+5.163%
Season at home (21)73.866.8140.5+7.067%
Season away (9)67.767.0134.7+0.756%
Last 10 (10)69.266.9136.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)69.671.6141.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.069.7137.7-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (16)65.666.5132.1-0.950%
vs Weaker (11)82.266.5148.7+15.691%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.1+0.1
DaytonVCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#238
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
65.9Avg total
35.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.529.363.8+5.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.229.266.4+8.071%-
Last 30 away (15)32.029.461.4+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.065.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.070.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.031.163.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (12)38.426.364.8+12.183%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A31/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
20-18
20
18
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H10/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
21-27
21
27
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H06/03
NCAA
58.4Avg total
30.3Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.563.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.230.263.4+3.057%-
Last 30 away (9)31.631.162.7+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)30.328.158.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)29.029.858.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.033.064.0-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.630.359.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (11)37.630.167.7+7.582%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
7
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
06/01/22Dayton v VCU Rams52-53
05/03/21VCU Rams v Dayton73-68
09/02/21Dayton v VCU Rams67-76
23/01/21VCU Rams v Dayton66-43
19/02/20VCU Rams v Dayton61-66
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83
02/03/24ALoyola Chicago72-77
28/02/24HDavidson80-66
22/02/24AGeorge Mason67-71
17/02/24HFordham78-70
14/02/24HDuquesne75-59
10/02/24AVCU Rams47-49
07/02/24ASaint Josephs Hawks94-79
03/02/24HSt. Bonaventure76-71
31/01/24HGeorge Washington83-61
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HDuquesne59-69
02/03/24ARichmond Spiders76-79
28/02/24HRhode Island88-67
25/02/24HSaint Josephs Hawks73-69
21/02/24AUMass52-74
17/02/24ASt. Louis Billikens95-85
10/02/24HDayton49-47
07/02/24AFordham75-60
03/02/24HRichmond Spiders63-52
31/01/24ASt. Bonaventure62-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game74.878.570.9
Allowed / game65.764.267.2
Point differential+9.1+14.3+3.6
Avg total140.4142.7138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30219
Win %63%67%56%
Points / game71.973.867.7
Allowed / game66.866.867.0
Point differential+5.1+7.0+0.7
Avg total138.8140.5134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton2923679%74.865.7+9.1
2 Richmond Spiders3023777%73.666.1+7.4
3 Loyola Chicago3022873%73.767.5+6.2
4 George Mason30191163%71.766.6+5.1
5 VCU Rams30191163%71.966.8+5.1
6 Duquesne30191163%71.266.8+4.3
7 St. Bonaventure29181162%74.168.1+6.0
8 Saint Josephs Hawks30181260%76.371.3+5.0
9 Davidson30151550%70.367.1+3.1
10 La Salle30151550%73.773.7-0.1
11 George Washington30151550%77.778.1-0.4
12 Fordham30121840%71.473.3-1.9
13 Rhode Island30111937%73.177.3-4.2
14 St. Louis Billikens30111937%75.180.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Dayton31392191
VCU Rams38321686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.