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Dayton vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 63-60
25-34 38-26
Position#30
Record24-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.3
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#25
Record26-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
60-41
22-25
25-24
36-33
39-26
44-35
34-35
33-27
34-44
40-21
40-45
35-32
37-45
49-35
51-48
31-38
39-32
28-30
29-35
146.6Avg total
76.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.766.3141.0+8.577%
Season at home (17)77.965.5143.5+12.494%
Season away (14)70.967.2138.1+3.657%
Last 10 (10)76.170.5146.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)80.075.4155.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.268.8142.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (11)80.263.6143.8+16.5100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A06/03
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
30-33
35-45
47-38
28-36
41-30
44-21
32-37
34-29
50-34
39-28
38-46
37-24
37-42
35-29
41-37
39-31
36-34
33-43
45-42
145.3Avg total
76.1Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.467.1143.5+9.479%
Season at home (18)78.464.3142.7+14.283%
Season away (15)74.070.4144.4+3.673%
Last 10 (10)76.169.2145.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)76.071.2147.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.370.2141.6+1.162%
vs Weaker (14)80.965.1146.0+15.993%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.4+2.4
DaytonNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/02
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.429.864.2+4.655%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.930.267.1+6.760%-
Last 30 away (14)31.729.461.1+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.466.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.267.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.531.563.0-0.141%-
vs Weaker (11)39.526.566.0+12.982%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A06/03
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H15/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
35.4Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.330.465.7+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.028.265.2+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)33.432.966.2+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.366.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.531.463.9+1.156%-
vs Weaker (14)38.529.267.7+9.386%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Nevada wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HDuquesne57-65
09/03/24HVCU Rams91-86 OT
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83
02/03/24ALoyola Chicago72-77
28/02/24HDavidson80-66
22/02/24AGeorge Mason67-71
17/02/24HFordham78-70
14/02/24HDuquesne75-59
10/02/24AVCU Rams47-49
07/02/24ASaint Josephs Hawks94-79
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HColorado State78-85
10/03/24HUNLV75-65
06/03/24ABoise State76-66
02/03/24HFresno State74-66
28/02/24AColorado State77-74
24/02/24ASan Jose State84-63
21/02/24HWyoming76-58
18/02/24AUNLV69-66
14/02/24HNew Mexico82-83
10/02/24HSan Diego State70-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%94%57%
Points / game74.777.970.9
Allowed / game66.365.567.2
Point differential+8.5+12.4+3.6
Avg total141.0143.5138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeLWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %79%83%73%
Points / game76.478.474.0
Allowed / game67.164.370.4
Point differential+9.4+14.2+3.6
Avg total143.5142.7144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%72%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton3124777%74.766.3+8.5
2 Richmond Spiders3223972%72.366.1+6.2
3 Loyola Chicago3223972%73.467.3+6.1
4 Duquesne36251169%70.866.1+4.7
5 VCU Rams35221363%71.566.7+4.8
6 George Mason32201262%71.065.9+5.1
7 Saint Josephs Hawks34211362%75.670.4+5.1
8 St. Bonaventure33201361%73.568.6+4.8
9 La Salle33161748%72.773.1-0.4
10 Davidson32151747%70.167.9+2.1
11 George Washington32151747%76.877.2-0.5
12 Fordham33132039%70.572.4-1.9
13 St. Louis Billikens33132039%74.979.4-4.5
14 Rhode Island32122038%72.676.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3329488%79.866.9+12.9
2 Utah State3327682%79.870.3+9.5
3 Nevada3326779%76.467.1+9.4
4 New Mexico3526974%81.770.5+11.2
5 Colorado State35251071%76.167.6+8.5
6 San Diego State34241071%74.666.6+8.0
7 Boise State33221167%75.167.3+7.8
8 UNLV31191261%73.267.8+5.4
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton253863
Nevada342660
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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