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Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-61
24-26 44-35
Position#278
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#187
Record5-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harding
#484
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
46-27
26-31
26-30
44-34
38-24
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
131.4Avg total
67.9Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.963.5131.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)74.257.8132.0+16.383%
Season away (4)58.572.0130.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)67.963.5131.4+4.450%
Last 5 (5)65.864.4130.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.971.0135.9-6.138%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.167.2131.3-3.133%
vs Weaker (11)73.663.2136.8+10.582%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
83-46
83
46
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/11
NCAA
William Woods
#546
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H23/11
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H26/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A29/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A04/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
68-89
68
89
-21
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
34-31
34-13
49-33
36-23
31-38
36-42
24-31
49-21
38-28
28-18
35-34
32-32
39-41
31-46
37-38
40-50
49-46
29-41
39-48
140.4Avg total
72.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.068.4140.4+3.650%
Season at home (4)75.259.0134.2+16.275%
Season away (6)69.874.7144.5-4.833%
Last 10 (10)72.068.4140.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)71.878.8150.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.284.7156.9-12.411%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.874.8151.6+2.150%
vs Weaker (4)75.055.2130.2+19.8100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.7+0.7
Arkansas StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harding
#484
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
62.8Avg total
33.1Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.865.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.229.663.8+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)30.136.466.5-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)33.129.762.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.428.862.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.237.666.9-8.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.730.860.4-1.144%-
vs Weaker (11)34.731.165.8+3.664%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#249
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A08/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
34-13
34
13
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A17/11
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/11
NCAA
William Woods
#546
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H23/11
NCAA
Boston University
#230
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H26/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A29/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.971.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.627.263.8+9.485%-
Last 30 away (17)35.940.876.7-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.666.1+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.469.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.943.279.1-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.034.669.6+0.444%-
vs Weaker (4)38.820.859.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
0
Southeast Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75
15/11/22HLyon82-58
12/11/22ALSU52-61
08/11/22HHarding86-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22HIPFW68-89
04/12/22AMissouri89-96
29/11/22AWisc. Milwaukee68-84
27/11/22AUC Davis71-73
26/11/22HBoston University63-52
23/11/22HWilliam Woods87-49
19/11/22ABradley60-73
17/11/22AEvansville67-61
12/11/22HLyon83-46
08/11/22ASouth Florida64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%83%0%
Points / game67.974.258.5
Allowed / game63.557.872.0
Point differential+4.4+16.3-13.5
Avg total131.4132.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game72.075.269.8
Allowed / game68.459.074.7
Point differential+3.6+16.2-4.8
Avg total140.4134.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1110191%79.958.9+21.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette109190%85.169.7+15.4
3 Marshall119282%80.767.7+13.0
4 James Madison118373%90.561.8+28.7
5 Troy117464%79.764.7+15.0
6 Old Dominion117464%67.664.0+3.6
7 Coastal Carolina95456%78.863.1+15.7
8 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
9 Appalachian State116555%77.866.5+11.3
10 Georgia Southern116555%70.565.1+5.5
11 Texas State116555%66.566.3+0.3
12 Arkansas State105550%67.963.5+4.4
13 South Alabama104640%71.369.8+1.5
14 Louisiana Monroe113827%72.372.3+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville117464%75.568.8+6.6
2 Tennessee State106460%75.971.0+4.9
3 Western Illinois106460%77.574.4+3.1
4 UT Martin116555%82.675.5+7.1
5 Morehead State116555%73.368.6+4.6
6 Southern Indiana105550%75.972.0+3.9
7 Southeast Missouri State105550%72.068.4+3.6
8 Lindenwood104640%70.772.1-1.4
9 Tennessee Tech103730%70.974.7-3.8
10 UALR103730%73.280.9-7.7
11 Eastern Illinois112918%66.668.6-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State244468
Southeast Missouri State263561
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