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UC Davis vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-60
31-25 44-35
Position#150
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#278
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game58.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#321
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H20/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
H25/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H09/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A11/03
NCAA
California
#369
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A08/11
NCAA
California Maritime
#434
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
43-40
31-25
28-34
36-24
32-25
32-25
33-43
23-30
36-32
27-24
36-29
27-37
28-36
41-36
34-29
43-26
47-41
31-40
44-45
137.7Avg total
70.0Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.072.3152.3+7.767%
Season at home (1)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Season away (2)75.075.0150.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)70.067.7137.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)71.668.6140.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.568.0131.5-4.550%
vs Similar (12)67.069.6136.6-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)68.865.8134.6+3.167%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
42-50
25-45
26-25
29-48
38-36
26-22
32-27
33-36
36-38
30-34
32-26
39-42
42-35
40-28
46-27
26-31
26-30
44-34
38-24
135.2Avg total
68.5Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.358.0131.3+15.367%
Season at home (2)84.056.5140.5+27.5100%
Season away (1)52.061.0113.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)68.566.7135.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)72.662.2134.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.572.0135.5-8.538%
vs Similar (8)64.266.6130.9-2.438%
vs Weaker (11)76.966.8143.7+10.191%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
UC DavisArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#321
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H25/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H09/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A11/03
NCAA
California
#369
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/11
NCAA
California Maritime
#434
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A13/11
NCAA
63.5Avg total
32.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.863.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.629.163.6+5.562%-
Last 30 away (14)30.432.863.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.663.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.666.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.030.561.5+0.575%-
vs Similar (12)32.231.263.5+1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)31.831.963.8-0.142%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
32.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.768.1-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.566.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.238.469.6-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.967.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.640.170.8-9.512%-
vs Similar (8)29.030.459.4-1.438%-
vs Weaker (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Davis wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22ALoyola Marymount75-85
10/11/22HCalifornia Maritime90-67
08/11/22ACalifornia75-65
11/03/22ACS Fullerton55-73
09/03/22HCal Poly63-53
06/03/22ACS Fullerton59-62
04/03/22ALong Beach State65-68
27/02/22HCS Northridge68-49
25/02/22HUC Santa Barbara69-76 OT
20/02/22HCSU Bakersfield81-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HLyon82-58
12/11/22ALSU52-61
08/11/22HHarding86-55
03/03/22HLouisiana Monroe81-77
26/02/22HAppalachian State62-60
24/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-74
19/02/22AUT Arlington58-49
18/02/22ATexas State67-84
13/02/22ASouth Alabama51-70
11/02/22ATroy77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.090.075.0
Allowed / game72.367.075.0
Point differential+7.7+23.0+0.0
Avg total152.3157.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.384.052.0
Allowed / game58.056.561.0
Point differential+15.3+27.5-9.0
Avg total131.3140.5113.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%81.356.7+24.7
2 Hawaii32167%67.355.7+11.7
3 UC Davis32167%80.072.3+7.7
4 CSU Bakersfield32167%54.750.0+4.7
5 UC Santa Barbara32167%63.358.7+4.7
6 CS Fullerton32167%75.078.7-3.7
7 Cal Poly21150%71.059.5+11.5
8 CS Northridge31233%69.362.0+7.3
9 Long Beach State31233%68.375.7-7.3
10 UC Riverside31233%66.080.3-14.3
11 UC San Diego41325%64.872.5-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
3 Southern Miss440100%74.256.0+18.2
4 Troy54180%82.262.6+19.6
5 Appalachian State43175%85.067.8+17.2
6 Coastal Carolina32167%95.056.3+38.7
7 Marshall32167%89.372.3+17.0
8 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
9 Old Dominion53260%73.669.2+4.4
10 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
11 Georgia State42250%69.865.8+4.0
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 South Alabama41325%71.567.0+4.5
14 Georgia Southern41325%58.565.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis314475
Arkansas State253560
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