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LSU vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 61-52
31-26 30-26
Position#264
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game63.0
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#278
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game55.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A03/03
NCAA
Alabama
#147
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H10/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H18/03
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-22
46-43
42-36
33-41
31-23
35-48
30-24
45-31
35-35
41-42
36-38
36-34
39-23
37-45
26-29
41-50
19-24
35-35
41-34
33-29
141.8Avg total
72.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.769.1141.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)70.269.2139.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.465.5132.9+1.957%
vs Weaker (16)73.265.4138.6+7.862%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
30-34
34-23
33-35
35-29
42-50
25-45
26-25
29-48
38-36
26-22
32-27
33-36
36-38
30-34
32-26
39-42
42-35
40-28
46-27
134.3Avg total
67.7Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.055.0141.0+31.0100%
Season at home (1)86.055.0141.0+31.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.766.6134.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)71.263.0134.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.071.9135.9-7.933%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.067.4133.4-1.443%
vs Weaker (10)76.467.7144.1+8.790%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
LSUArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/03
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H10/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H18/03
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
33.7Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.462.5+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.328.163.4+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)30.531.061.5-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)33.728.862.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.229.661.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.128.860.9+3.464%-
vs Weaker (16)33.930.063.9+3.950%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
32.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.568.0-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.030.965.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)31.738.670.3-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)32.033.365.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.466.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.939.470.3-8.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.430.359.7-0.943%-
vs Weaker (10)35.735.070.7+0.750%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LSU wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HUMKC74-63
18/03/22HIowa State54-59
11/03/22AArkansas67-79
10/03/22HMissouri76-68
05/03/22HAlabama80-77 OT
03/03/22AArkansas76-77
27/02/22HMissouri75-55
24/02/22AKentucky66-71
19/02/22ASouth Carolina75-77
17/02/22HGeorgia84-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HHarding86-55
03/03/22HLouisiana Monroe81-77
26/02/22HAppalachian State62-60
24/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-74
19/02/22AUT Arlington58-49
18/02/22ATexas State67-84
13/02/22ASouth Alabama51-70
11/02/22ATroy77-79
05/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette67-58
04/02/22HLouisiana Monroe59-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game55.055.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas220100%77.044.0+33.0
2 Tennessee110100%75.043.0+32.0
3 Alabama220100%85.056.5+28.5
4 Kentucky220100%86.057.5+28.5
5 Texas A&M220100%82.056.0+26.0
6 Florida220100%84.561.5+23.0
7 Arkansas220100%75.053.0+22.0
8 Ole Miss220100%76.562.5+14.0
9 Auburn220100%68.555.5+13.0
10 LSU110100%74.063.0+11.0
11 Missouri220100%94.588.0+6.5
12 South Carolina220100%70.067.5+2.5
13 Oklahoma21150%58.555.0+3.5
14 Georgia21150%69.568.0+1.5
15 Mississippi St.21150%58.558.5+0.0
16 Vanderbilt2020%57.568.0-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison330100%108.752.7+56.0
3 Troy220100%91.554.5+37.0
4 Appalachian State220100%110.574.0+36.5
5 Louisiana Lafayette220100%90.558.0+32.5
6 Arkansas State110100%86.055.0+31.0
7 Southern Miss220100%67.545.0+22.5
8 Georgia State110100%76.059.0+17.0
9 Texas State32167%67.367.3+0.0
10 South Alabama21150%85.569.5+16.0
11 Louisiana Monroe21150%82.573.0+9.5
12 Old Dominion21150%71.568.0+3.5
13 Marshall1010%82.083.0-1.0
14 Georgia Southern2020%55.070.5-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU313061
Arkansas State262652
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