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Arkansas State vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 59-49
30-24 29-25
Position#54
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#244
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game61.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas State v Stephen F. Austin
16 Nov 2024
ARKA59
STEP49
30 Nov 2019
ARKA57
STEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H09/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-43
0-0
28-37
0-0
48-33
0-0
41-29
0-0
39-29
0-0
28-36
0-0
32-42
0-0
39-49
0-0
40-35
0-0
46-50
0-0
42-23
0-0
32-38
0-0
39-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
32-42
0-0
40-43
0-0
39-45
0-0
33-27
0-0
47-36
151.4Avg total
76.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.775.3155.0+4.367%
Season at home (2)80.069.0149.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)76.375.1151.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)78.673.6152.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar (14)79.977.2157.1+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.571.2155.8+13.288%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A24/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
62-60 OT
62
60
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A03/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
78-109
78
109
-31
A15/03
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#541
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-37
38-34
28-20
23-31
24-43
34-37
44-35
43-25
34-23
50-48
29-23
31-34
27-48
51-61
47-23
38-28
26-25
25-41
42-35
45-33
140.7Avg total
71.4Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.361.7136.0+12.767%
Season at home (2)86.059.5145.5+26.5100%
Season away (1)51.066.0117.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.469.3140.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)72.270.2142.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)52.263.8116.0-11.50%
vs Similar (11)71.075.7146.7-4.736%
vs Weaker (15)81.068.1149.1+12.980%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
Arkansas StateStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H13/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
38.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.075.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.278.5+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.435.772.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.173.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.872.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar (14)39.138.177.1+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.431.875.1+11.688%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A24/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A01/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A03/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H14/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A15/03
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#541
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#448
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
32.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.965.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.628.165.7+9.588%-
Last 30 away (13)30.634.665.2-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.263.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.865.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)24.230.054.2-5.850%-
vs Similar (11)32.132.564.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker (15)39.130.069.1+9.180%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateGameScore
30/11/19Arkansas State v Stephen F. Austin57-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HUALR80-63
09/11/24AAlabama79-88
05/11/24HAkron80-75 OT
26/03/24HHigh Point80-81
25/03/24AMontana74-61
23/03/24HBethune-Cookman86-85
11/03/24AJames Madison71-91
10/03/24AAppalachian State67-65
09/03/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-62
01/03/24AAppalachian State57-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HLe Tourneau87-68
10/11/24ADrake51-66
05/11/24HDallas Univ.85-51
15/03/24AUT Arlington78-109
14/03/24HAbilene Christian60-57
09/03/24HUtah Tech84-71
08/03/24HSouthern Utah87-60
03/03/24AGrand Canyon58-80
01/03/24ACalifornia Baptist62-60 OT
24/02/24AUtah Valley State62-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.780.079.0
Allowed / game75.369.088.0
Point differential+4.3+11.0-9.0
Avg total155.0149.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game74.386.051.0
Allowed / game61.759.566.0
Point differential+12.7+26.5-15.0
Avg total136.0145.5117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia Southern43175%80.875.2+5.5
2 Texas State32167%79.060.7+18.3
3 James Madison32167%85.771.0+14.7
4 Marshall32167%82.370.0+12.3
5 Southern Miss32167%88.377.0+11.3
6 Arkansas State32167%79.775.3+4.3
7 Troy32167%70.366.7+3.7
8 Louisiana Monroe52340%79.070.0+9.0
9 Appalachian State31233%75.772.7+3.0
10 South Alabama31233%64.767.3-2.7
11 Coastal Carolina31233%63.067.0-4.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette31233%64.375.3-11.0
13 Georgia State31233%68.079.7-11.7
14 Old Dominion41325%68.585.8-17.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Incarnate Word32167%86.372.3+14.0
2 Stephen F. Austin32167%74.361.7+12.7
3 UTRGV53260%86.476.0+10.4
4 Lamar21150%92.069.5+22.5
5 Nicholls State52340%70.270.0+0.2
6 McNeese State31233%82.769.7+13.0
7 SE Louisiana31233%74.071.7+2.3
8 Northwestern St.31233%72.771.3+1.3
9 Houston Christian31233%62.775.7-13.0
10 Texas A&M-CC41325%80.877.2+3.5
11 New Orleans41325%65.580.2-14.8
12 TX A&M Commerce41325%68.883.8-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State302959
Stephen F. Austin242549
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