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Alabama vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-79
0-0 43-40 0-0 45-39
Position#34
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game54.0
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#54
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alabama v Arkansas State
06 Nov 2026
ALAB v ARKA
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
ALAB88
ARKA79
04 Dec 2023
ALAB89
ARKA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
109-96
109
96
+13
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H24/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A29/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H31/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A07/04
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H05/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-39
0-0
33-42
0-0
35-44
0-0
52-61
0-0
36-42
0-0
38-32
0-0
33-48
0-0
55-54
0-0
51-34
0-0
58-62
0-0
38-30
0-0
34-31
0-0
46-54
0-0
43-33
0-0
35-32
0-0
54-50
0-0
40-44
0-0
32-42
0-0
50-29
0-0
60-25
172.4Avg total
88.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)110.054.0164.0+56.0100%
Season at home (1)110.054.0164.0+56.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.284.2172.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)86.474.0160.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.487.8166.2-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.783.4173.1+6.360%
vs Weaker (10)95.477.1172.5+18.3100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H09/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-36
0-0
48-42
0-0
38-31
0-0
33-29
0-0
29-43
0-0
28-37
0-0
48-33
0-0
41-29
0-0
39-29
0-0
28-36
0-0
32-42
0-0
39-49
0-0
40-35
0-0
46-50
0-0
42-23
0-0
32-38
0-0
39-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
32-42
150.8Avg total
77.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.073.8150.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)78.278.6156.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.278.9153.1-4.650%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.575.8156.3+4.757%
vs Weaker (7)85.172.4157.6+12.786%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
AlabamaArkansas State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H24/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A29/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H31/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/04
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/11
NCAA
80.1Avg total
40.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.781.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.534.977.4+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.585.6-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.680.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.879.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.843.486.2-0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.639.581.1+2.153%-
vs Weaker (10)41.738.179.8+3.670%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/03
CBI
Montana
#6
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A25/03
CBI
High Point
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H26/03
CBI
Akron
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.575.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.980.1+6.267%-
Last 30 away (15)35.636.171.7-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.874.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.273.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.238.272.5-4.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.537.777.2+1.857%-
vs Weaker (7)44.932.477.3+12.486%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alabama wins
0
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Alabama v Arkansas State89-65
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HUNC Asheville110-54
07/04/24AUconn72-86
31/03/24HClemson89-82
29/03/24ANorth Carolina89-87
24/03/24HGrand Canyon72-61
22/03/24HCharleston109-96
16/03/24HFlorida88-102
09/03/24HArkansas92-88 OT
06/03/24AFlorida87-105
03/03/24HTennessee74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HAkron80-75 OT
26/03/24HHigh Point80-81
25/03/24AMontana74-61
23/03/24HBethune-Cookman86-85
11/03/24AJames Madison71-91
10/03/24AAppalachian State67-65
09/03/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-62
01/03/24AAppalachian State57-80
29/02/24ACoastal Carolina71-60
24/02/24HSouth Alabama95-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game110.0110.0-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+56.0+56.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama110100%110.054.0+56.0
2 Auburn110100%94.043.0+51.0
3 Kentucky110100%103.062.0+41.0
4 Vanderbilt110100%102.063.0+39.0
5 LSU110100%95.060.0+35.0
6 Mississippi St.220100%98.063.0+35.0
7 Oklahoma110100%93.060.0+33.0
8 Florida220100%89.571.5+18.0
9 Arkansas110100%76.060.0+16.0
10 Ole Miss220100%78.062.0+16.0
11 Tennessee110100%80.064.0+16.0
12 Georgia110100%83.078.0+5.0
13 South Carolina21150%78.569.0+9.5
14 Texas A&M1010%61.064.0-3.0
15 Missouri1010%75.083.0-8.0
16 Texas1010%72.080.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall110100%90.057.0+33.0
2 Texas State110100%64.044.0+20.0
3 James Madison110100%88.078.0+10.0
4 Troy110100%84.074.0+10.0
5 Arkansas State110100%80.075.0+5.0
6 Coastal Carolina110100%60.056.0+4.0
7 Appalachian State21150%85.565.5+20.0
8 Louisiana Lafayette21150%74.067.5+6.5
9 Georgia Southern21150%82.078.5+3.5
10 South Alabama21150%70.069.0+1.0
11 Southern Miss21150%80.583.0-2.5
12 Georgia State21150%68.583.5-15.0
13 Louisiana Monroe31233%78.378.7-0.3
14 Old Dominion1010%82.083.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alabama04304588
Arkansas State04003979
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