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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 80-57
43-29 37-28
Position#14
Record25-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#186
Record16-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Appalachian State v Arkansas State
10 Mar 2024
APPA65
ARKA67
01 Mar 2024
APPA80
ARKA57
28 Jan 2023
APPA63
ARKA51
27 Jan 2022
APPA61
ARKA54
16 Jan 2020
APPA83
ARKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
46-48
30-30
51-41
35-41
39-33
26-29
30-34
46-47
44-43
31-29
42-29
37-39
48-34
36-29
46-38
23-29
42-29
51-26
38-38
152.5Avg total
80.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.666.4145.0+12.283%
Season at home (16)82.164.6146.6+17.594%
Season away (14)74.768.5143.2+6.271%
Last 10 (10)80.771.8152.5+8.990%
Last 5 (5)78.864.0142.8+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)71.663.4135.0+8.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.868.3147.1+10.483%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
33-48
36-37
42-34
57-37
38-43
22-35
51-42
51-39
49-48
34-41
48-30
36-31
40-42
39-28
40-43
47-36
48-42
38-31
33-29
158.4Avg total
83.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.877.5157.3+2.353%
Season at home (13)87.678.2165.8+9.477%
Season away (17)73.876.9150.7-3.235%
Last 10 (10)83.175.3158.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)80.670.6151.2+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.879.0158.8+0.860%
vs Similar (15)77.979.6157.5-1.740%
vs Weaker (10)82.573.6156.1+8.970%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.1+2.1
Appalachian StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H28/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.768.5+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.131.071.1+9.175%-
Last 30 away (14)32.932.665.5+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.132.767.8+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.466.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.628.259.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.933.069.9+3.958%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
40.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.575.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.536.880.4+6.769%-
Last 30 away (17)36.136.272.2-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.174.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.472.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.838.473.2-3.640%-
vs Similar (15)37.939.076.9-1.147%-
vs Weaker (10)43.731.775.4+12.090%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Appalachian State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HOld Dominion89-64
24/02/24AMarshall65-58
23/02/24AOld Dominion82-67
17/02/24HLouisiana Lafayette85-73
15/02/24HMarshall73-58
10/02/24HToledo109-104 OT
08/02/24ATexas State56-63
03/02/24AGeorgia Southern85-84 OT
02/02/24AGeorgia State81-71
27/01/24HJames Madison82-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24ACoastal Carolina71-60
24/02/24HSouth Alabama95-78
23/02/24HTroy79-71
17/02/24ASouth Alabama76-73
16/02/24ATroy82-71
10/02/24HOhio100-87
08/02/24HJames Madison73-77
03/02/24HLouisiana Monroe95-80
01/02/24HSouthern Miss78-71
28/01/24ALouisiana Monroe82-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %83%94%71%
Points / game78.682.174.7
Allowed / game66.464.668.5
Point differential+12.2+17.5+6.2
Avg total145.0146.6143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%69%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %13%6%21%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLLWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %53%77%35%
Points / game79.887.673.8
Allowed / game77.578.276.9
Point differential+2.3+9.4-3.2
Avg total157.3165.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%54%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison3027390%84.669.1+15.5
2 Appalachian State3025583%78.666.4+12.2
3 Troy30201067%80.070.2+9.8
4 Louisiana Lafayette30171357%76.271.6+4.5
5 Arkansas State30161453%79.877.5+2.3
6 Southern Miss30161453%70.570.7-0.2
7 South Alabama30151550%73.975.9-2.0
8 Georgia State29131645%76.374.3+2.1
9 Texas State30131743%68.569.7-1.2
10 Marshall30121840%73.576.5-2.9
11 Louisiana Monroe28111739%69.974.2-4.4
12 Coastal Carolina2882029%73.778.5-4.8
13 Old Dominion3072323%70.376.0-5.7
14 Georgia Southern3072323%72.479.5-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State433780
Arkansas State292857
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