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Arkansas vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 103-74
48-28 55-46
Position#36
Record9-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#169
Record7-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
W
93-56
93
56
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H19/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
115-61
115
61
+54
H22/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
108-80
108
80
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
50-22
45-35
34-40
43-41
41-42
47-19
68-42
35-41
36-39
47-29
42-51
34-24
48-34
43-49
50-37
60-36
48-44
41-49
44-45
165.2Avg total
89.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.574.9164.4+14.675%
Season at home (11)91.675.5167.1+16.282%
Season away (1)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)89.975.3165.2+14.680%
Last 5 (5)91.479.6171.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.180.3158.4-2.129%
vs Similar (15)80.775.1155.9+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.068.6154.6+17.488%
This opponent (James Madison) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H26/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
37-38
39-56
40-32
36-36
45-39
41-45
39-27
48-32
40-45
35-32
31-50
35-24
32-38
35-32
33-35
22-34
46-43
39-37
41-43
153.9Avg total
76.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.876.1151.9-0.254%
Season at home (6)76.367.8144.2+8.5100%
Season away (7)75.483.1158.6-7.714%
Last 10 (10)76.177.8153.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)72.276.8149.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.276.8142.0-11.525%
vs Similar (13)75.578.8154.3-3.238%
vs Weaker (12)76.568.4144.9+8.192%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
ArkansasJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/12
NCAA
79.5Avg total
43.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.975.3+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.836.378.1+5.658%-
Last 30 away (11)35.135.470.5-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.835.779.5+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.482.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.175.0-3.329%-
vs Similar (15)39.537.476.9+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.230.472.6+11.975%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A16/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A29/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
36.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.070.4+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.430.065.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.337.674.9-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.273.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.865.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.232.564.8-0.275%-
vs Similar (13)35.336.571.8-1.246%-
vs Weaker (12)38.832.271.0+6.783%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
James Madison wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HHouston85-94
17/12/25HQueens Royals108-80
13/12/25HTexas Tech93-86
06/12/25HFresno State82-58
04/12/25HLouisville89-80
28/11/25HDuke71-80
22/11/25HJackson State115-61
19/11/25HWinthrop84-83
15/11/25HSamford79-75
12/11/25HCentral Arkansas93-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AGeorgia Southern92-96 OT
18/12/25AOld Dominion68-77
06/12/25HNorfolk State68-67
04/12/25HN. Carolina Central67-62
29/11/25AGeorge Mason66-82
26/11/25HNebraska O.88-77
25/11/25AFlorida International80-72
19/11/25HTowson81-75
16/11/25ALIU Sharks79-88
13/11/25ALongwood72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %75%82%0%
Points / game89.591.666.0
Allowed / game74.975.569.0
Point differential+14.6+16.2-3.0
Avg total164.4167.1135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
James Madison
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%100%14%
Points / game75.876.375.4
Allowed / game76.167.883.1
Point differential-0.2+8.5-7.7
Avg total151.9144.2158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt13130100%94.270.7+23.5
2 Georgia1312192%99.072.0+27.0
3 LSU1211192%88.971.8+17.2
4 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
5 Texas A&M129375%95.076.8+18.2
6 Tennessee129375%82.264.5+17.7
7 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
8 Oklahoma129375%86.972.7+14.2
9 Alabama129375%93.981.9+12.0
10 Kentucky139469%84.967.8+17.2
11 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
12 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
13 Mississippi St.139469%81.274.6+6.5
14 South Carolina128467%79.868.3+11.4
15 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
16 Ole Miss127558%74.268.4+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State139469%82.079.2+2.8
2 Georgia Southern1510567%84.078.8+5.2
3 Troy138562%87.578.7+8.8
4 Marshall138562%79.974.8+5.1
5 Appalachian State148657%73.465.9+7.5
6 Texas State148657%73.768.4+5.4
7 Coastal Carolina148657%72.870.7+2.1
8 Southern Miss137654%76.572.5+3.9
9 South Alabama137654%74.070.6+3.4
10 James Madison137654%75.876.1-0.2
11 Old Dominion1441029%73.176.9-3.8
12 Georgia State1441029%68.976.2-7.3
13 Louisiana Monroe1431121%74.082.9-8.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette1431121%57.968.6-10.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas4855103
James Madison284674
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