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Arkansas vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 61-45
28-22 33-23
Position#20
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#179
Record10-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Arkansas v Mississippi St.
08 Mar 2025
ARKA93
MISS92
11 Feb 2023
ARKA64
MISS70
05 Feb 2022
ARKA63
MISS55
02 Feb 2021
ARKA61
MISS45
15 Feb 2020
ARKA77
MISS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#194
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A31/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-41
50-44
30-33
38-48
40-33
34-46
43-37
56-32
31-51
45-41
19-42
40-48
31-43
44-30
45-35
47-36
37-25
37-34
34-38
43-43
157.1Avg total
79.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.970.7154.7+13.272%
Season at home (12)86.364.6150.9+21.892%
Season away (6)79.283.0162.2-3.833%
Last 10 (10)79.178.0157.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.474.8150.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (12)74.976.9151.8-2.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.472.2158.5+14.271%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#156
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H20/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#352
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
42-46
35-30
26-31
27-39
51-24
36-35
48-46
33-23
22-33
32-29
40-40
21-29
25-35
35-40
38-41
23-26
30-30
44-28
51-28
138.9Avg total
71.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.065.8137.8+6.256%
Season at home (13)70.862.2133.1+8.662%
Season away (5)75.075.2150.2-0.240%
Last 10 (10)71.267.7138.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)67.865.2133.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)68.072.8140.8-4.820%
vs Similar (16)73.970.6144.4+3.369%
vs Weaker (9)74.163.6137.7+10.667%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
ArkansasMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#194
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A30/01
NCAA
73.5Avg total
35.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.772.1+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.131.871.9+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)33.339.072.3-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.873.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (12)33.834.868.7-1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.434.874.1+4.659%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#156
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H06/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#352
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H30/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
32.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.464.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.229.963.1+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)34.133.767.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)32.730.663.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.461.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.231.461.6-1.240%-
vs Similar (16)32.631.964.6+0.762%-
vs Weaker (9)37.030.467.4+6.678%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Arkansas v Mississippi St.77-78
23/01/20Mississippi St. v Arkansas77-70
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21AOklahoma State77-81
28/01/21HOle Miss74-59
23/01/21AVanderbilt92-71
21/01/21HAuburn75-73
16/01/21AAlabama59-90
14/01/21ALSU76-92
09/01/21HGeorgia99-69
07/01/21ATennessee74-79
02/01/21HMissouri68-81
31/12/20AAuburn97-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HIowa State95-56
27/01/21ATennessee53-56
23/01/21AAlabama73-81
20/01/21HOle Miss46-64
16/01/21HFlorida72-69
14/01/21HTexas A&M55-56
09/01/21AVanderbilt84-81
06/01/21HMissouri78-63
02/01/21HKentucky73-78 OT
31/12/20AGeorgia83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %72%92%33%
Points / game83.986.379.2
Allowed / game70.764.683.0
Point differential+13.2+21.8-3.8
Avg total154.7150.9162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %56%62%40%
Points / game72.070.875.0
Allowed / game65.862.275.2
Point differential+6.2+8.6-0.2
Avg total137.8133.1150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%8%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1411379%75.270.2+5.0
2 Alabama1814478%79.969.7+10.2
3 Tennessee1612475%71.858.9+12.8
4 Texas1511473%75.967.3+8.6
5 Arkansas1813572%83.970.7+13.2
6 Florida1410471%78.471.0+7.4
7 LSU1611569%82.974.1+8.8
8 Oklahoma1611569%75.366.7+8.6
9 Georgia1711665%77.975.4+2.5
10 Mississippi St.1810856%72.065.8+6.2
11 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
12 Ole Miss179853%68.162.2+5.9
13 Auburn1910953%78.875.7+3.1
14 South Carolina104640%75.476.5-1.1
15 Vanderbilt135838%74.074.5-0.5
16 Kentucky1551033%67.568.3-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas283361
Mississippi St.222345
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