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Mississippi St. vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-78 (OT)
35-30 26-31 12-17
Position#179
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#273
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Kentucky
20 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
MISS90
KENT95
27 Feb 2024
MISS89
KENT91
15 Feb 2023
MISS68
KENT71
02 Jan 2021
MISS73
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#263
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H26/11
NCAA
Liberty
#18
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H26/11
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H01/12
NCAA
North Texas
#95
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#79
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H09/12
NCAA
Dayton
#112
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A12/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
87-48
87
48
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
30-19
19-26
23-27
41-40
32-44
26-24
42-27
29-20
40-43
34-30
48-29
33-25
31-39
39-35
42-30
42-25
45-23
41-27
42-46
136.1Avg total
73.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.164.6138.7+9.667%
Season at home (7)71.760.4132.1+11.371%
Season away (2)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)73.662.5136.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)83.066.0149.0+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.571.2137.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.170.9145.0+3.259%
vs Weaker (9)75.662.7138.2+12.978%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H29/11
NCAA
Kansas
#55
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H12/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H19/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A26/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
33-29
42-31
31-50
30-40
41-30
45-26
36-19
32-28
32-48
35-29
27-36
27-34
35-45
26-48
37-16
38-34
25-41
27-28
32-34
135.4Avg total
67.1Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.966.6131.4-1.714%
Season at home (5)66.665.0131.6+1.620%
Season away (2)60.570.5131.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)67.168.3135.4-1.230%
Last 5 (5)61.869.0130.8-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.468.0134.4-1.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.568.7138.2+0.860%
vs Weaker (15)74.267.2141.4+7.080%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: -1.9-1.9
Mississippi St.Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#263
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Liberty
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H01/12
NCAA
North Texas
#95
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#79
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Dayton
#112
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#353
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A31/12
NCAA
62.0Avg total
34.3Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.465.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.729.363.1+4.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.434.467.8-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.327.762.0+6.690%-
Last 5 (5)37.828.466.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.528.557.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.732.565.2+0.253%-
vs Weaker (9)37.630.468.0+7.178%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Kansas
#55
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H12/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.731.766.4+3.067%-
Last 30 away (12)32.031.763.7+0.358%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.567.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.665.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.430.265.6+5.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.234.166.3-1.950%-
vs Weaker (15)34.030.664.6+3.467%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
1
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/20AGeorgia83-73
22/12/20HMiss. Valley St.87-48
17/12/20HCentral Arkansas81-65
12/12/20ADayton82-85 OT
09/12/20HJackson State82-59
05/12/20HNorth Texas69-63
01/12/20HTexas State68-51
26/11/20HLiberty73-84
26/11/20HClemson42-53
07/03/20HOle Miss69-44
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/20ALouisville59-62
19/12/20HNorth Carolina63-75
12/12/20HNotre Dame63-64
06/12/20AGeorgia Tech62-79
02/12/20HKansas62-65
29/11/20HRichmond Spiders64-76
25/11/20HMorehead State81-45
07/03/20AFlorida71-70
04/03/20HTennessee73-81
29/02/20HAuburn73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game74.171.782.5
Allowed / game64.660.479.0
Point differential+9.6+11.3+3.5
Avg total138.7132.1161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%50%
Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game64.966.660.5
Allowed / game66.665.070.5
Point differential-1.7+1.6-10.0
Avg total131.4131.6131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee770100%79.752.7+27.0
2 Arkansas109190%88.565.9+22.6
3 Texas98189%75.862.1+13.7
4 Georgia87188%80.167.0+13.1
5 Missouri87188%73.066.6+6.4
6 Florida65183%82.868.8+14.0
7 LSU86275%85.968.4+17.5
8 Oklahoma86275%81.870.9+10.9
9 Texas A&M86275%69.063.4+5.6
10 Ole Miss75271%73.156.9+16.3
11 Mississippi St.96367%74.164.6+9.6
12 Alabama96367%77.370.4+6.9
13 Auburn106460%75.771.8+3.9
14 Vanderbilt74357%73.067.9+5.1
15 South Carolina42250%69.071.0-2.0
16 Kentucky71614%64.966.6-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Mississippi St.35261273
Kentucky30311778
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