Arkansas vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2022

Tip-off: 01:20

Final 75-71

34-27 41-44

Position#39

Record25-8

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game68.5

Arkansas 🏆

Vermont

Position#10

Record28-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game60.3

NCAA

Other2021-22

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vermont winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Auburn

#11

80-76 OT

H09/02

NCAA

Alabama

#147

67-68

-1

A12/02

NCAA

Missouri

#288

76-57

+19

A16/02

NCAA

Tennessee

#29

58-48

+10

H19/02

NCAA

Florida

#131

82-74

A23/02

NCAA

Kentucky

#34

75-73

H26/02

NCAA

LSU

#93

77-76

H03/03

NCAA

Tennessee

#29

74-78

-4

A05/03

NCAA

LSU

#93

79-67

+12

H11/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#81

64-82

-18

H12/03

NCAA

28-25

38-41

32-37

35-31

46-27

30-30

24-23

34-25

37-34

45-40

34-28

41-45

35-35

42-41

29-50

45-28

29-26

50-41

24-36

40-46

143.1Avg total

73.2Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	76.9	68.5	145.5	+8.4	76%
Season at home (23)	77.9	68.2	146.0	+9.7	83%
Season away (10)	74.8	69.4	144.2	+5.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	73.2	69.9	143.1	+3.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	75.2	149.0	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	75.0	73.0	148.0	+2.0	100%
vs Similar (14)	72.4	73.6	146.1	-1.2	57%
vs Weaker (15)	79.8	63.2	143.0	+16.6	87%

This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vermont

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albany

#260

76-63

+13

A13/02

NCAA

Hartford

#279

74-75 OT

-1

A15/02

NCAA

New Hampshire

#177

71-50

+21

A17/02

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#158

86-59

+27

H19/02

NCAA

Binghamton

#261

66-49

+17

A24/02

NCAA

UMass Lowell

#207

62-61

H26/02

NCAA

Maine Black Bears

#347

75-56

+19

A02/03

NCAA

NJIT

#277

98-59

+39

H06/03

NCAA

Binghamton

#261

74-42

+32

H10/03

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#158

82-43

+39

H12/03

NCAA

38-28

38-35

33-41

34-26

42-25

29-25

46-27

40-32

37-17

29-32

32-25

30-36

38-24

37-32

48-27

50-32

39-27

35-15

37-20

45-23

132.1Avg total

76.4Scored

55.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	74.9	60.3	135.2	+14.6	85%
Season at home (16)	80.8	59.4	140.2	+21.4	100%
Season away (17)	69.4	61.2	130.6	+8.2	71%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	55.7	132.1	+20.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	52.2	130.4	+26.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	75.5	60.6	136.0	+14.9	87%

This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

ArkansasVermont

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Auburn

#11

28-25

H09/02

NCAA

Alabama

#147

32-37

-5

A12/02

NCAA

Missouri

#288

46-27

+19

A16/02

NCAA

Tennessee

#29

24-23

H19/02

NCAA

Florida

#131

37-34

A23/02

NCAA

Kentucky

#34

34-28

H26/02

NCAA

LSU

#93

35-35

H03/03

NCAA

Tennessee

#29

29-50

-21

A05/03

NCAA

LSU

#93

29-26

H11/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#81

24-36

-12

H12/03

NCAA

63.9Avg total

31.8Scored

32.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	31.7	66.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	34.5	30.4	64.8	+4.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.6	34.5	71.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.8	32.1	63.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	35.0	65.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	34.0	28.0	62.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	30.4	33.2	63.6	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.7	30.6	70.3	+9.1	80%	-

This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albany

#260

38-28

+10

A13/02

NCAA

Hartford

#279

33-41

-8

A15/02

NCAA

New Hampshire

#177

42-25

+17

A17/02

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#158

46-27

+19

H19/02

NCAA

Binghamton

#261

37-17

+20

A24/02

NCAA

UMass Lowell

#207

32-25

H26/02

NCAA

Maine Black Bears

#347

38-24

+14

A02/03

NCAA

NJIT

#277

48-27

+21

H06/03

NCAA

Binghamton

#261

39-27

+12

H10/03

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#158

37-20

+17

H12/03

NCAA

65.1Avg total

39.0Scored

26.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	27.8	64.9	+9.3	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	27.7	67.7	+12.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	27.9	62.1	+6.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	26.1	65.1	+12.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	24.6	63.4	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	37.1	27.8	64.9	+9.3	87%	-

This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	41.1	36.6	77.8	+4.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.2	34.9	73.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	41.0	45.0	86.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.1	39.1	79.2	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.1	32.6	72.7	+7.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	32.5	70.6	+5.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	32.5	73.3	+8.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	32.5	68.0	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	28.8	65.5	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	27.6	67.0	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	38.1	32.5	70.6	+5.6	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Arkansas wins

Vermont wins

No previous meetings.

Arkansaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/22	H	Texas A&M	64-82
11/03/22	H	LSU	79-67
05/03/22	A	Tennessee	74-78
03/03/22	H	LSU	77-76
26/02/22	H	Kentucky	75-73
23/02/22	A	Florida	82-74
19/02/22	H	Tennessee	58-48
16/02/22	A	Missouri	76-57
12/02/22	A	Alabama	67-68
09/02/22	H	Auburn	80-76 OT

Vermontlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/22	H	UMBC Retrievers	82-43
10/03/22	H	Binghamton	74-42
06/03/22	H	NJIT	98-59
02/03/22	A	Maine Black Bears	75-56
26/02/22	H	UMass Lowell	62-61
24/02/22	A	Binghamton	66-49
19/02/22	H	UMBC Retrievers	86-59
17/02/22	A	New Hampshire	71-50
15/02/22	A	Hartford	74-75 OT
13/02/22	A	Albany	76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas

NCAA 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	76%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	23	10
Win %	76%	83%	60%
Points / game	76.9	77.9	74.8
Allowed / game	68.5	68.2	69.4
Point differential	+8.4	+9.7	+5.4
Avg total	145.5	146.0	144.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	52%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	80% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	9%	0%

Vermont

NCAA 2021-22

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	85%	100%	71%
Points / game	74.9	80.8	69.4
Allowed / game	60.3	59.4	61.2
Point differential	+14.6	+21.4	+8.2
Avg total	135.2	140.2	130.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	88%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Auburn	32	27	5	84%	78.7	67.0	+11.7
2	Tennessee	34	27	7	79%	73.6	62.6	+11.1
3	Kentucky	34	26	8	76%	79.4	66.6	+12.9
4	Arkansas	33	25	8	76%	76.9	68.5	+8.4
5	LSU	33	22	11	67%	73.1	63.5	+9.6
6	Texas A&M	35	23	12	66%	72.8	66.9	+5.9
7	Texas	32	21	11	66%	68.3	59.6	+8.7
8	Florida	32	19	13	59%	70.8	66.1	+4.7
9	Alabama	32	19	13	59%	80.0	76.4	+3.6
10	South Carolina	31	18	13	58%	71.0	70.3	+0.7
11	Mississippi St.	33	18	15	55%	70.9	66.4	+4.5
12	Oklahoma	33	18	15	55%	68.5	64.7	+3.8
13	Vanderbilt	33	17	16	52%	70.4	67.5	+2.9
14	Ole Miss	32	13	19	41%	68.1	68.7	-0.5
15	Missouri	33	12	21	36%	65.5	70.5	-5.0
16	Georgia	32	6	26	19%	69.8	78.5	-8.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

America East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vermont	33	28	5	85%	74.9	60.3	+14.6
2	Bryant University	31	21	10	68%	78.3	73.5	+4.8
3	UMBC Retrievers	32	18	14	56%	73.7	72.1	+1.6
4	New Hampshire	28	15	13	54%	68.8	65.0	+3.8
5	UMass Lowell	31	15	16	48%	70.7	65.8	+4.9
6	Albany	31	13	18	42%	61.8	65.9	-4.0
7	Binghamton	29	12	17	41%	67.7	68.4	-0.7
8	NJIT	29	11	18	38%	63.0	70.0	-7.0
9	Maine Black Bears	29	6	23	21%	62.4	71.1	-8.7