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Tennessee vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-74
50-29 28-45
Position#29
Record22-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game63.0
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#39
Record24-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tennessee v Arkansas
16 Jan 2027
TENN v ARKA
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
TENN76
ARKA52
28 Feb 2023
TENN75
ARKA57
05 Mar 2022
TENN78
ARKA74
06 Jan 2021
TENN79
ARKA74
11 Feb 2020
TENN82
ARKA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#94
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A30/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H02/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A05/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A10/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-27
26-25
43-35
47-45
33-29
48-28
35-33
37-30
44-32
29-32
46-32
30-31
23-24
25-34
36-27
44-34
25-31
42-31
35-35
40-33
134.1Avg total
71.3Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.563.0136.4+10.576%
Season at home (17)75.560.1135.6+15.488%
Season away (12)70.667.0137.6+3.658%
Last 10 (10)71.362.8134.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)69.262.4131.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.667.1131.7-2.540%
vs Weaker (19)77.160.6137.7+16.489%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#206
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A03/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H26/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
39-39
53-47
46-26
25-25
38-30
28-25
38-41
32-37
35-31
46-27
30-30
24-23
34-25
37-34
45-40
34-28
41-45
35-35
42-41
142.2Avg total
75.4Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.467.8145.2+9.680%
Season at home (21)78.567.6146.0+10.986%
Season away (9)74.968.4143.3+6.467%
Last 10 (10)75.466.8142.2+8.690%
Last 5 (5)73.665.6139.2+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.173.3148.4+1.869%
vs Weaker (16)79.463.1142.5+16.488%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
TennesseeArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#94
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A01/03
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.163.9+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.228.462.6+5.761%-
Last 30 away (12)33.232.565.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.530.565.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.862.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.021.055.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.032.862.8-2.830%-
vs Weaker (19)35.829.164.9+6.768%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#206
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H26/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/03
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.367.4+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (21)35.530.766.2+4.867%-
Last 30 away (9)37.432.870.2+4.756%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.066.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.464.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.028.062.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.832.164.8+0.746%-
vs Weaker (16)38.930.969.9+8.075%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Arkansas v Tennessee58-48
07/01/21Tennessee v Arkansas79-74
27/02/20Arkansas v Tennessee86-69
12/02/20Tennessee v Arkansas82-61
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/22AGeorgia75-68
26/02/22HAuburn67-62
23/02/22AMissouri80-61
19/02/22AArkansas48-58
16/02/22HKentucky76-63
12/02/22HVanderbilt73-64
10/02/22AMississippi St.72-63
05/02/22ASouth Carolina81-57
02/02/22HTexas A&M90-80
30/01/22ATexas51-52
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HLSU77-76
26/02/22HKentucky75-73
23/02/22AFlorida82-74
19/02/22HTennessee58-48
16/02/22AMissouri76-57
12/02/22AAlabama67-68
09/02/22HAuburn80-76 OT
06/02/22HMississippi St.63-55
03/02/22AGeorgia99-73
29/01/22HWest Virginia77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %76%88%58%
Points / game73.575.570.6
Allowed / game63.060.167.0
Point differential+10.5+15.4+3.6
Avg total136.4135.6137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%59%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30219
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game77.478.574.9
Allowed / game67.867.668.4
Point differential+9.6+10.9+6.4
Avg total145.2146.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%52%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3026487%79.266.9+12.3
2 Kentucky3024680%80.465.8+14.6
3 Arkansas3024680%77.467.8+9.6
4 Tennessee2922776%73.563.0+10.5
5 Texas3021970%68.859.1+9.7
6 LSU30201067%73.062.4+10.6
7 Texas A&M30191163%73.366.8+6.5
8 Florida30191163%70.765.4+5.4
9 Alabama30191163%80.276.1+4.1
10 South Carolina29181162%71.769.8+1.9
11 Mississippi St.30171357%71.466.7+4.7
12 Oklahoma30161453%68.564.7+3.8
13 Vanderbilt29141548%69.767.7+2.0
14 Ole Miss30131743%68.668.7-0.1
15 Missouri30102033%64.770.7-6.0
16 Georgia3062420%70.578.2-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee502878
Arkansas294574
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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