PythiaBasketballBETA
Premier leagueRound 7· Laugardalsholl
Armann will host Stjarnan on 19 November 2026 in the Premier league, and the Pythia model names Stjarnan the clear favourite, assigning them an 84% chance to win because their 3-3 record and 97.5 points per game contrast sharply with Armann's 0-6 record and 85.3 points per game. Armann's six games have yielded 85.3 points scored and 103.2 allowed, placing them 12th, while their two home outings produced 85.5 points and 104.0 allowed, a 0-2 record. Their last five games ended in five losses, including defeats to Njardvik 97-107, Grindavik 81-100, and Valur 84-87. Stjarnan's season totals show 97.5 points scored and 93.3 allowed over six games, with a 7th-place position; their three road games yielded 90.7 points and 89.0 allowed, a 1-2 record. Their last five games included three wins, notably 113-94 over Keflavik, 103-79 over Njardvik, and 102-96 over IR Reykjavik. In head-to-head history Stjarnan has won all three meetings, most recently 90-88 on 20 February 2026. Pythia projects a 91-102 score, a 193.3 total, and a 3% chance of overtime, with Armann's 16% win probability and Stjarnan's 84% win probability. The model favours Stjarnan, who will likely cover the spread and push the game over the projected total.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 85.3 | 103.2 | 188.5 | -17.8 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.5 | 104.0 | 189.5 | -18.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 85.2 | 102.8 | 188.0 | -17.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.8 | 98.7 | 187.5 | -9.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 102.2 | 186.6 | -17.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 86.0 | 100.9 | 186.9 | -14.9 | 19% |
| vs Similar (2) | 104.5 | 93.0 | 197.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 97.5 | 93.3 | 190.8 | +4.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 104.3 | 97.7 | 202.0 | +6.7 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 90.7 | 89.0 | 179.7 | +1.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 96.6 | 96.9 | 193.5 | -0.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 101.6 | 94.0 | 195.6 | +7.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 84.0 | 100.0 | 184.0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (11) | 98.4 | 97.6 | 196.0 | +0.7 | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 105.9 | 95.6 | 201.6 | +10.3 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.1 | 50.5 | 96.5 | -4.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.6 | 48.9 | 94.5 | -3.2 | 29% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 46.4 | 51.9 | 98.3 | -5.4 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.8 | 50.3 | 98.1 | -2.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 52.4 | 95.0 | -9.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 46.2 | 51.3 | 97.5 | -5.2 | 35% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 57.5 | 42.0 | 99.5 | +15.5 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 52.2 | 48.3 | 100.5 | +3.9 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 54.8 | 47.7 | 102.4 | +7.1 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 49.3 | 49.0 | 98.3 | +0.3 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.3 | 49.1 | 94.4 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.6 | 45.0 | 93.6 | +3.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 43.0 | 56.0 | 99.0 | -13.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 47.5 | 49.2 | 96.6 | -1.7 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 55.6 | 47.3 | 102.9 | +8.3 | 78% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.2 | 18.9 | 56.2% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.8 | 11.2 | 33.0% | 33.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 16.0 | 73.9% | 16.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.8 | 20.2 | 56.2% | 40.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.6 | 11.6 | 33.0% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 29.2 | 21.2 | 73.9% | 21.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 | Armann v Stjarnan | 88-90 |
| 13/11/25 | Stjarnan v Armann | 114-88 |
| 10/12/23 | Armann v Stjarnan | 74-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Njardvik | 97-107 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Grindavik | 81-100 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Valur | 84-87 |
| 22/10/26 | A | KR Basket | 74-108 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Tindastoll | 86-109 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Keflavik | 90-108 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Akranes IA | 107-103 |
| 19/03/26 | H | Grindavik | 103-87 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Thorl | 79-74 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Njardvik | 87-104 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Keflavik | 113-94 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Njardvik | 103-79 |
| 29/10/26 | H | IR Reykjavik | 102-96 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Grindavik | 92-98 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Hottur | 98-103 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Valur | 77-90 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Tindastoll | 91-100 |
| 03/05/26 | H | Tindastoll | 97-103 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Tindastoll | 88-103 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Tindastoll | 105-103 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.3 | 85.5 | 85.2 |
| Allowed / game | 103.2 | 104.0 | 102.8 |
| Point differential | -17.8 | -18.5 | -17.5 |
| Avg total | 188.5 | 189.5 | 188.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 50% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Points / game | 97.5 | 104.3 | 90.7 |
| Allowed / game | 93.3 | 97.7 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +6.7 | +1.7 |
| Avg total | 190.8 | 202.0 | 179.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KR Basket | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 100.7 | 85.8 | +14.8 |
| 2 |  Alftanes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 107.0 | 91.7 | +15.3 |
| 3 |  Tindastoll | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.8 | 83.7 | +8.2 |
| 4 |  Valur | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 84.2 | 78.8 | +5.3 |
| 5 |  Keflavik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 105.0 | 102.0 | +3.0 |
| 6 |  Grindavik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.0 | 87.3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 97.5 | 93.3 | +4.2 |
| 8 |  Hottur | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 92.0 | 101.5 | -9.5 |
| 9 |  Njardvik | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 87.3 | 94.3 | -7.0 |
| 10 |  IR Reykjavik | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 92.3 | 102.3 | -10.0 |
| 11 | Sindri | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 83.8 | 93.0 | -9.2 |
| 12 | Armann | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 85.3 | 103.2 | -17.8 |
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